Realized P&L
-$89
Unrealized P&L
-$36
Hit rate
25.3%
Resolved
40
Trades
2,737
lifetime
Volume
$5.59K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$38
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-17
last 06-30 04:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
64% 0% $-41
Other
31% 26% $-45
Crypto
3% 0% $-2
Tech
2%
Sports
0% 0% $-1
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 208 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +401 $4 $7 +$3 06-28 17:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1,083 $8 $6 $-2 06-29 00:52
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No +4,600 $5 $5 +$0 06-28 19:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +4,587 $13 $5 $-9 06-29 16:55
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +3,849 $15 $4 $-11 06-28 09:00
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,017 $7 $3 $-4 06-29 17:12
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +1,000 $1 $2 +$2 06-30 00:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +801 $9 $2 $-7 06-29 17:06
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +351 $4 $2 $-3 06-29 00:53
Will Trump be impeached by June 30? Yes +1,128 $3 $1 $-2 06-24 19:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes +500 $1 $1 +$0 06-28 19:01
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Yes +250 $1 $1 $-1 06-30 04:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +252 $1 $0 $-1 06-28 18:51
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30? Yes -183 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-13 05:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes -37 $1 $-0 $-1 06-22 03:10
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 05-28 01:52