Realized P&L
-$89
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
25.3%
Resolved
40
Trades
1,957
lifetime
Volume
$3.14K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$31
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-17
last 06-09 16:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
48% 0% $-41
Other
44% 26% $-45
Crypto
5% 0% $-2
Tech
2%
Sports
1% 0% $-1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 208 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? Yes -492 $-8 $-16 $-8 05-30 02:15
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Yes +275 $6 $6 +$0 06-09 20:31
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +1,486 $6 $4 $-2 06-09 23:56
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? Yes +115 $2 $3 +$1 06-09 19:16
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +1,000 $1 $1 +$0 06-08 02:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes -37 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-01 14:13
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 05-28 01:52