Realized P&L (30d)
-$293
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
27.2%
Resolved (30d)
154
Trades (30d)
523
7,742 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$784
$11.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$45
25 positions
First seen
2026-04-17
last 10-26 08:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 189 days
Categories
Politics
51% 6% -$640
Other
44% 10% -$1,652
Crypto
2% 3% -$62
Tech
2% 6% -$136
Sports
1% 15% -$30
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,114 $19 1¢ $9 -$10 10-23 08:48
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,750 $6 0¢ $4 -$1 10-05 10:22
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +2,222 $2 0¢ $3 +$1 09-21 19:57
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,133 $2 0¢ $3 +$1 10-04 19:24
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +1,200 $1 0¢ $3 +$2 09-22 17:44
us iran final nuclear deal by october 31 2026 Yes +293 $4 1¢ $2 -$2 10-23 08:31
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +60 -$5 3¢ $2 +$7 10-04 20:03
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,051 $0 0¢ $2 +$1 10-23 08:30
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,036 $7 0¢ $2 -$5 10-05 10:21
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 10-04 19:02
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes — +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 10-04 19:04
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 10-04 19:02
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? Yes +74 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 10-12 07:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +32 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-10 18:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? Yes +332 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-08 02:02
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +28 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 10-23 08:47
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +38 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 10-15 01:42
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-04 18:57
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-06 19:06
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes +17 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-05 16:36
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +583 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 10-15 03:50
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +361 $3 0¢ $1 -$2 10-05 10:22
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +333 $1 0¢ $1 $0 09-16 18:21
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $0 $0 09-16 18:13
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +89 -$12 1¢ $0 +$12 10-04 20:03