Flawless-Down — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$104

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

Trades

4,378

lifetime

Volume

$95.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-28

last 07-21 17:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

44% 67% +$83

Other

39% 42% $-186

Crypto

12% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 873 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Camila Cabello perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No		+0	$-5	50¢	$0	+$5	06-30 10:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	26	$7.3K	59,636	60,708	-1,072	open	—	06-01 21:24
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	66	$4.3K	16,725	6,170	+10,556	open	—	07-04 05:57
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	52	$3.5K	12,899	13,099	-200	open	—	04-23 17:50
over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	27	$2.7K	2,614	2,614	+0	open	—	07-17 16:29
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	39	$2.6K	6,103	6,103	+0	open	—	07-06 22:28
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	5	$2.4K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	07-13 16:02
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	17	$2.1K	1,989	1,689	+300	open	—	05-29 18:54
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	62	$2.0K	36,986	36,986	+0	open	—	07-17 16:27
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	15	$1.9K	1,397	1,487	-90	Yes	+$133	04-19 15:00
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	73	$1.7K	4,387	4,331	+56	open	—	04-27 06:46
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	6	$1.6K	943	943	+0	open	—	07-13 21:11
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	40	$1.5K	40,599	40,255	+344	open	—	05-31 17:55
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	29	$1.5K	2,660	2,660	+0	open	—	03-31 15:45
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	10	$1.4K	849	849	+0	open	—	04-15 21:15
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	27	$1.2K	2,243	2,243	+0	open	—	04-09 12:16
highest temperature in helsinki on april 16 2026 9c	15	$1.2K	651	647	+4	open	—	04-16 10:34
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	36	$1.2K	1,624	1,624	+0	open	—	04-20 16:29
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	23	$1.2K	3,437	5,602	-2,165	open	—	04-23 16:07
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	64	$1.1K	4,104	4,104	+0	open	—	06-20 21:19
will iran strike uae again in march	9	$1.1K	725	725	+0	open	—	03-31 06:03
Joao Fonseca vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5	3	$1.0K	863	863	+0	open	—	05-29 17:25
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	14	$953	4,207	4,207	+0	open	—	04-10 06:45
Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?	8	$937	632	632	+0	open	—	05-13 14:41
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic	6	$894	1,209	1,209	+0	open	—	05-31 12:41
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	22	$891	16,234	16,234	+0	open	—	04-16 18:19
Geneva Open: Cameron Norrie vs Mariano Navone	9	$875	1,850	1,850	+0	open	—	05-20 10:28
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	57	$870	129,052	129,052	+0	open	—	04-03 14:19
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima	2	$854	680	680	+0	open	—	05-30 20:05
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	10	$836	1,228	1,228	+0	open	—	07-20 15:05
Trump kiss by May 31?	18	$828	1,114	1,114	+0	open	—	05-20 08:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 17:21:40	will elon post claude on x this week 20260717142156669	No	BUY	83	0¢	$0	0x74c2db…
07-21 17:19:04	will elon post claude on x this week 20260717142156669	No	BUY	211	0¢	$1	0x600367…
07-21 17:10:52	will elon post claude on x this week 20260717142156669	No	BUY	47	0¢	$0	0x23d9f5…
07-21 17:09:25	will elon post claude on x this week 20260717142156669	No	BUY	346	1¢	$2	0xe63a6d…
07-21 14:42:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	SELL	1,432	6¢	$86	0xd46f9a…
07-21 14:29:00	cs2 eac ent2 2026 07 21 game3 round handicap eac 6pt5	Esport Academy Copenhagen	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0xdefd00…
07-21 14:29:00	cs2 eac ent2 2026 07 21 game3 round handicap eac 6pt5	Esport Academy Copenhagen	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2c3b7a…
07-21 11:55:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	213	5¢	$10	0xf5b4c2…
07-21 11:54:57	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	1,144	6¢	$66	0xeb1006…
07-20 15:05:22	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	341	38¢	$129	0x24ab99…
07-20 15:05:15	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	310	38¢	$118	0x49e70e…
07-20 15:05:01	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	79	38¢	$30	0x65f390…
07-20 14:42:06	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	730	30¢	$219	0xd8721c…
07-20 14:14:52	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	63	37¢	$23	0x96200f…
07-20 14:14:48	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	378	37¢	$140	0x1f4e94…
07-20 14:14:36	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x894679…
07-20 14:14:31	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	58	39¢	$22	0x976b64…
07-20 14:08:51	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	497	31¢	$154	0x133c31…
07-20 14:07:28	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	27¢	$0	0x422018…
07-20 08:49:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	55	1¢	$0	0xc04819…
07-20 08:47:19	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$5	0x4a0a75…
07-20 08:45:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x542285…
07-20 08:44:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x4aac4a…
07-20 08:44:19	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	1,200	0¢	$6	0x8015e1…
07-20 08:42:40	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x2e99b6…
07-20 08:42:31	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xf4724f…
07-20 08:42:27	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	153	1¢	$1	0x2d1c12…
07-20 08:42:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$50	0xd9a01e…
07-20 08:41:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xd954ee…
07-20 08:41:09	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	378	0¢	$2	0x4afa24…
07-20 08:40:27	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x7a62f0…
07-20 08:40:18	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	6,297	0¢	$31	0xdb1f69…
07-20 08:32:27	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x2cd6da…
07-20 08:32:25	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xda437a…
07-20 08:31:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2828e0…
07-20 08:27:51	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xa05f3b…
07-20 08:27:16	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe39358…
07-20 08:26:04	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x1355d2…
07-20 08:22:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	177	0¢	$1	0x607e51…
07-20 08:12:48	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	12,866	0¢	$64	0x5b98bf…
07-20 07:54:04	will leonardo dicaprio attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357133	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xb7e9e3…
07-20 07:00:54	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	2,234	1¢	$16	0x97c4f7…
07-20 06:59:06	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	203	1¢	$1	0x6a774d…
07-20 06:59:00	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0x0ee2bf…
07-20 06:58:48	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x7df399…
07-20 06:58:25	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	191	1¢	$1	0xc18ea8…
07-20 06:51:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	5,359	1¢	$38	0x809a01…
07-20 06:49:49	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x552cc0…
07-20 06:49:39	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x754ee2…
07-20 06:48:51	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x4eaa15…
07-20 06:48:31	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x76bf54…
07-20 06:48:01	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	816	1¢	$6	0x3b1ad4…
07-20 06:47:49	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	400	1¢	$3	0xe5677a…
07-20 06:45:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	28	1¢	$0	0x931246…
07-20 06:44:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x0ec012…
07-20 06:44:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xfcff71…
07-20 06:44:09	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7dd570…
07-20 06:43:51	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xcd3358…
07-20 06:43:48	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc6f1a4…
07-20 06:43:22	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	271	1¢	$2	0xea9d26…
07-20 06:42:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0xa69ea3…
07-20 06:29:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xf1b266…
07-20 06:29:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xed7e44…
07-20 06:29:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xe7663b…
07-20 06:29:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xe0bc7c…
07-20 06:29:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xbc5c59…
07-20 06:29:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x8fc27e…
07-20 06:29:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x86d1e7…
07-20 06:29:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7b4d62…
07-20 06:29:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x472ae5…
07-20 06:29:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x075566…
07-20 06:29:39	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x20200e…
07-20 06:25:49	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	285	0¢	$1	0x64dd0c…
07-20 05:41:51	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	254	0¢	$1	0x17d68d…
07-20 00:49:03	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x88b2fa…
07-20 00:48:54	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xb5d506…
07-20 00:48:42	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x8b6145…
07-20 00:48:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x586617…
07-20 00:48:28	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x151acc…
07-20 00:48:19	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc72c74…
07-20 00:48:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x0bc161…
07-20 00:47:24	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	5,000	1¢	$60	0xf4e987…
07-20 00:47:03	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1,745	1¢	$19	0x619153…
07-20 00:41:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	394	1¢	$4	0x8d118c…
07-20 00:40:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0xb30098…
07-20 00:40:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	108	1¢	$1	0x1a3d16…
07-20 00:40:12	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x2730c5…
07-20 00:40:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0x4e9009…
07-20 00:39:39	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	1,111	1¢	$10	0x1ac31c…
07-20 00:39:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	48	1¢	$0	0x68053b…
07-20 00:39:00	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0x9b0f69…
07-20 00:39:00	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	556	1¢	$5	0x13657e…
07-20 00:38:36	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	400	1¢	$4	0x162ad9…
07-20 00:38:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	2,222	1¢	$20	0x43d57c…
07-20 00:38:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	1,000	1¢	$9	0x006342…
07-20 00:38:03	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x386e9b…
07-19 23:51:06	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x3b210b…
07-19 23:51:06	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x23ea96…
07-19 23:50:31	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	24	2¢	$1	0x013926…
07-19 23:49:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0xed948f…