Flawless-Down — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$104

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

Trades

4,923

lifetime

Volume

$114.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 08-11 14:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

45% 42% $-186

Politics

40% 67% +$83

Crypto

10% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 873 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	26	$7.3K	59,636	60,708	-1,072	open	—	06-01 21:24
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	66	$4.3K	16,725	6,170	+10,556	open	—	07-04 05:57
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	55	$4.2K	7,859	7,859	+0	open	—	07-30 20:21
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	52	$3.5K	12,899	13,099	-200	open	—	04-23 17:50
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	28	$2.8K	4,208	4,208	+0	open	—	07-30 18:52
over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	27	$2.7K	2,614	2,614	+0	open	—	07-17 16:29
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	39	$2.6K	6,103	6,103	+0	open	—	07-06 22:28
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	63	$2.6K	8,513	8,513	+0	open	—	07-31 21:35
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	5	$2.4K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	07-13 16:02
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	17	$2.1K	1,989	1,689	+300	open	—	05-29 18:54
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	62	$2.0K	36,986	36,986	+0	open	—	07-17 16:27
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	15	$1.9K	1,397	1,487	-90	Yes	+$133	04-19 15:00
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	73	$1.7K	4,387	4,331	+56	open	—	04-27 06:46
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	6	$1.6K	943	943	+0	open	—	07-13 21:11
will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	8	$1.6K	1,023	1,023	+0	open	—	07-24 21:45
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	40	$1.5K	40,599	40,255	+344	open	—	05-31 17:55
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	29	$1.5K	2,660	2,660	+0	open	—	03-31 15:45
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	10	$1.4K	849	849	+0	open	—	04-15 21:15
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	27	$1.2K	2,243	2,243	+0	open	—	04-09 12:16
highest temperature in helsinki on april 16 2026 9c	15	$1.2K	651	647	+4	open	—	04-16 10:34
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	36	$1.2K	1,624	1,624	+0	open	—	04-20 16:29
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	23	$1.2K	3,437	5,602	-2,165	open	—	04-23 16:07
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	64	$1.1K	4,104	4,104	+0	open	—	06-20 21:19
will iran strike uae again in march	9	$1.1K	725	725	+0	open	—	03-31 06:03
Joao Fonseca vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5	3	$1.0K	863	863	+0	open	—	05-29 17:25
will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	4	$1.0K	539	539	+0	open	—	07-29 14:37
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	14	$953	4,207	4,207	+0	open	—	04-10 06:45
Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?	8	$937	632	632	+0	open	—	05-13 14:41
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic	6	$894	1,209	1,209	+0	open	—	05-31 12:41
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	22	$891	16,234	16,234	+0	open	—	04-16 18:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 14:14:36	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	533	6¢	$32	0x861680…
08-11 14:07:58	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	157	8¢	$13	0x29fe9a…
08-11 14:07:58	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	221	8¢	$18	0x0856f3…
08-11 13:54:43	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	10¢	$30	0xf01eca…
08-11 13:54:43	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	10¢	$19	0xd9a307…
08-11 13:39:13	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	9¢	$5	0xa2c7ba…
08-11 13:39:13	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	9¢	$4	0x2e7f62…
08-11 13:21:43	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0xcab21f…
08-11 13:21:31	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	9¢	$3	0x8d3665…
08-11 13:01:04	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x1cebcd…
08-11 12:55:30	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	385	9¢	$35	0x9ce017…
08-11 12:53:37	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x921d46…
08-11 12:52:10	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xbd25a6…
08-11 12:46:39	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	13¢	$14	0x484154…
08-11 12:45:46	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,369	9¢	$118	0x6d0776…
08-11 07:50:28	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	879	34¢	$299	0xfc6b6e…
08-11 06:45:46	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	35	38¢	$13	0xdc22f5…
08-11 04:31:31	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	77	38¢	$29	0x14da84…
08-11 04:17:37	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	109	39¢	$43	0x5706ce…
08-11 04:03:22	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	1,100	36¢	$396	0xe2b662…
08-10 21:31:36	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	874	7¢	$63	0x953bbb…
08-10 21:29:40	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0xc1b8bd…
08-10 21:28:31	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	28	8¢	$2	0x225f2a…
08-10 21:22:36	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x51bab5…
08-10 21:12:45	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	50	9¢	$5	0x444dc1…
08-10 21:11:54	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	35	10¢	$4	0xdda5c5…
08-10 21:09:07	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	80	10¢	$8	0xd92fac…
08-10 21:00:57	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x7ac282…
08-10 20:58:55	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	150	9¢	$14	0x0ad085…
08-10 20:03:52	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xca44f7…
08-10 20:03:16	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	1,333	7¢	$95	0xdb53c7…
08-10 11:46:18	will hims say fiscal 10 times during earnings call 20260807205625279	Yes	SELL	526	8¢	$42	0x3d295e…
08-10 11:42:54	will hims say fiscal 10 times during earnings call 20260807205625279	Yes	BUY	106	16¢	$17	0x4db3de…
08-10 11:36:33	will hims say fiscal 10 times during earnings call 20260807205625279	Yes	BUY	419	4¢	$16	0xe7e983…
08-09 17:27:34	will xi lai gaming qualify to vct champs 2026 20260714215938499	No	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x2aad3b…
08-09 17:26:51	will varrel qualify to vct champs 2026 20260714215938466	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0x481bc8…
08-09 17:17:58	will varrel qualify to vct champs 2026 20260714215938466	Yes	SELL	60	8¢	$5	0x674470…
08-09 17:17:33	will varrel qualify to vct champs 2026 20260714215938466	Yes	SELL	24	12¢	$3	0xc0e8e4…
08-08 20:43:18	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	1,981	1¢	$14	0x87ae71…
08-08 18:03:34	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	230	1¢	$2	0xcd6a83…
08-08 18:03:19	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	2,211	1¢	$18	0xd3b17e…
08-08 17:44:24	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	93	1¢	$1	0x867de6…
08-08 08:40:10	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0xf94b27…
08-07 21:24:21	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x218436…
08-07 21:23:55	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xf535f7…
08-07 19:54:54	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x7c2fc1…
08-07 19:54:40	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xc04a62…
08-07 19:47:52	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	36	4¢	$2	0x347df0…
08-07 15:32:03	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x655507…
08-07 15:31:34	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	1,006	2¢	$25	0xb49a81…
08-07 11:33:57	will xi lai gaming qualify to vct champs 2026 20260714215938499	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xa16bf3…
08-07 10:17:07	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	67	4¢	$3	0x17c686…
08-07 06:54:40	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	130	4¢	$6	0x65ea40…
08-07 06:54:16	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	167	4¢	$6	0xc8d2a1…
08-07 06:15:27	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	133	5¢	$7	0x9865f3…
08-07 06:15:15	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	247	5¢	$13	0x54d5b0…
08-07 06:15:07	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	342	5¢	$18	0xb9b056…
08-06 17:50:50	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	181	5¢	$10	0xfed6ce…
08-06 16:05:11	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	59	5¢	$3	0xb09486…
08-06 14:21:56	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0xc5dd73…
08-06 14:17:03	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	185	6¢	$12	0xe97b2e…
08-06 14:16:56	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	42	7¢	$3	0xd90f2c…
08-06 13:10:45	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x51ca1b…
08-06 12:19:17	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0x2150d3…
08-06 12:19:09	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	592	6¢	$35	0x98df90…
08-06 12:13:27	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	250	6¢	$14	0xfca003…
08-06 12:13:23	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	353	6¢	$19	0xe0a847…
08-06 12:13:17	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	28	5¢	$2	0x2c59b1…
08-06 12:08:23	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xea7dcb…
08-06 12:08:17	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x223f28…
08-06 11:57:17	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	589	5¢	$29	0x9c2f2c…
08-06 07:34:42	will iran target a arab country on august 3 2026 20260801004719120	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xf4c848…
08-05 21:28:05	will iran target a arab country on august 3 2026 20260801004719120	Yes	BUY	350	0¢	$0	0x4958e7…
08-05 20:03:11	will m0nesy attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260805173412154	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x174857…
08-05 19:14:35	will m0nesy attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260805173412154	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x5ea345…
08-05 10:04:39	will trace esports qualify to vct champs 2026 20260714215938502	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x598d44…
08-05 09:49:06	will trace esports qualify to vct champs 2026 20260714215938502	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x5e681a…
08-05 09:38:15	will trace esports qualify to vct champs 2026 20260714215938502	Yes	SELL	80	8¢	$7	0xf75993…
08-05 09:37:42	will trace esports qualify to vct champs 2026 20260714215938502	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xe7eff3…
08-05 09:33:03	will trace esports qualify to vct champs 2026 20260714215938502	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x535aa9…
08-05 09:33:02	will trace esports qualify to vct champs 2026 20260714215938502	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xf3beb7…
08-05 05:02:48	will trace esports qualify to vct champs 2026 20260714215938502	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x93d891…
08-04 20:24:23	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	Yes	SELL	28	8¢	$2	0x0d8763…
08-04 20:23:20	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	Yes	SELL	74	9¢	$7	0x1cc607…
08-04 20:23:02	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	Yes	SELL	299	9¢	$27	0x999c7f…
08-04 20:21:08	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$1	0xb6a02d…
08-04 20:21:06	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	Yes	SELL	386	10¢	$39	0xda6e55…
08-04 20:15:11	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xfcba24…
08-04 20:15:03	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xadb57e…
08-04 20:13:45	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x98fe91…
08-04 20:01:50	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	Yes	SELL	109	10¢	$11	0x2ea639…
08-04 19:53:32	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xb1506b…
08-04 19:53:12	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xe4ba83…
08-04 19:53:00	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xc3df2b…
08-04 19:52:41	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0x6f5e08…
08-04 19:52:30	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xd807aa…
08-04 19:52:20	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x18cb35…
08-04 19:51:57	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0xb7b370…
08-04 19:46:11	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	Yes	BUY	327	11¢	$36	0x5cc8c6…
08-04 19:44:39	will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	Yes	SELL	284	11¢	$31	0x21d3aa…