Flawless-Down — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.01K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

500

Trades

9,434

lifetime

Volume

$202.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 11-01 11:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 168 days

Categories

Other

55% 56% -$436

Politics

35% 48% -$759

Crypto

6% 33% -$410

Sports

2% 67% +$514

Tech

2% 60% +$92

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 231 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	27	$7.7K	60,708	60,708	+0	No	+$444	06-01 21:24
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	157	$5.1K	19,746	19,746	+0	No	+$151	07-16 15:05
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	66	$4.3K	16,725	6,170	+10,556	No	+$1,052	07-04 05:57
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	55	$4.2K	7,859	7,859	+0	No	+$387	07-30 20:21
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	52	$3.5K	12,899	13,099	-200	No	-$195	04-23 17:50
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	17	$3.1K	2,096	2,096	+0	Yes	+$110	08-28 22:00
will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	36	$3.0K	3,953	3,953	+0	Yes	-$91	08-21 20:58
skin cancer vaccine bla submitted by june 30 2027	31	$2.9K	8,813	8,813	+0	open	—	08-21 09:48
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	28	$2.8K	4,208	4,208	+0	No	+$105	07-30 18:52
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	6	$2.8K	3,935	3,935	+0	open	—	10-31 18:18
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	34	$2.7K	3,483	3,483	+0	open	—	10-31 14:52
over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	27	$2.7K	2,614	2,614	+0	No	+$32	07-17 16:29
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	39	$2.6K	6,103	6,103	+0	Yes	+$468	07-06 22:28
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	63	$2.6K	8,513	8,513	+0	open	—	07-31 21:35
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	5	$2.4K	3,500	3,500	+0	No	+$123	07-13 16:02
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	17	$2.1K	1,989	1,689	+300	No	-$12	05-29 18:54
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	62	$2.0K	36,986	36,986	+0	Yes	-$1,106	07-17 16:27
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	31	$2.0K	2,281	2,281	+0	Yes	+$54	10-25 20:38
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	15	$1.9K	1,397	1,487	-90	Yes	+$133	04-19 15:00
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	20	$1.8K	2,802	2,802	+0	No	+$130	09-02 18:01
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	73	$1.7K	4,387	4,331	+56	Yes	+$52	04-27 06:46
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?	106	$1.7K	1,970	1,970	+0	Yes	-$1	08-10 11:37
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	56	$1.6K	8,497	8,497	+0	open	—	08-30 11:27
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	6	$1.6K	943	943	+0	Yes	+$5	07-13 21:11
will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	8	$1.6K	1,023	1,023	+0	Yes	+$40	07-24 21:45
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	42	$1.6K	40,599	41,399	-800	Yes	-$82	05-31 17:55
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	11	$1.5K	2,365	2,365	+0	No	+$55	08-20 19:26
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	17	$1.5K	6,432	6,432	+0	No	-$104	08-17 17:42
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	29	$1.5K	2,660	2,660	+0	No	+$761	03-31 15:45
Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	33	$1.4K	1,797	1,797	+0	Yes	-$107	08-31 19:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 12:34:10	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0x76bfdb…
11-01 12:32:46	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x552597…
11-01 12:31:12	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	95	6¢	$6	0xb1c75f…
11-01 12:30:55	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	130	8¢	$10	0xc1d44e…
11-01 12:28:43	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	211	9¢	$18	0x10c6a1…
11-01 12:23:54	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	78	22¢	$17	0x58e1e9…
11-01 12:22:33	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	250	10¢	$25	0x5a99d7…
11-01 12:16:45	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	70	20¢	$14	0xc9e829…
11-01 12:16:34	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x189136…
11-01 12:16:22	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0xc49168…
11-01 12:10:31	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	69	12¢	$8	0xdbe743…
11-01 12:06:01	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	126	14¢	$18	0x46471c…
11-01 12:04:03	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	1,172	9¢	$110	0x0bfcad…
11-01 11:54:19	Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xe8bbeb…
11-01 04:49:12	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	SELL	174	34¢	$59	0xd23d33…
11-01 04:49:12	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	SELL	820	35¢	$284	0x5c13e1…
11-01 04:35:54	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0xac85c2…
11-01 03:05:16	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd9243e…
10-31 22:31:49	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x567ee9…
10-31 22:31:36	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x109dd1…
10-31 22:23:01	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	SELL	310	37¢	$116	0x465d7d…
10-31 21:51:34	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0xe11548…
10-31 21:50:19	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x17bb2a…
10-31 21:50:04	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x97f2db…
10-31 21:50:04	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x636401…
10-31 21:41:06	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	400	41¢	$165	0x4a6a95…
10-31 21:31:24	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	475	42¢	$200	0x98a501…
10-31 21:30:30	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0x97895d…
10-31 21:29:18	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	554	38¢	$212	0xefd825…
10-31 18:18:57	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,157	4¢	$52	0xbc3549…
10-31 18:16:40	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,157	2¢	$27	0xecb824…
10-31 17:42:19	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,193	86¢	$1,026	0x6debae…
10-31 17:13:58	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,193	88¢	$1,049	0xda8729…
10-31 16:42:01	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,586	20¢	$316	0x72dd98…
10-31 16:41:18	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,586	22¢	$349	0xd7f7f1…
10-31 14:52:25	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	104	45¢	$47	0xe2221f…
10-31 14:52:13	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x5ff26f…
10-31 14:50:40	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	120	34¢	$41	0xf5f835…
10-31 14:50:36	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	366	34¢	$126	0x52f6dc…
10-31 14:50:18	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	280	33¢	$93	0xd8aec7…
10-31 14:48:33	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	110	31¢	$34	0xd2ca15…
10-31 14:47:30	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	155	33¢	$51	0xc55e8f…
10-31 14:47:15	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	716	35¢	$247	0xcc20c4…
10-31 14:13:48	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	120	39¢	$47	0xf2c587…
10-31 14:13:34	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x8d83e4…
10-31 14:02:42	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	496	40¢	$198	0x04c852…
10-31 14:00:15	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	140	40¢	$55	0x3ba999…
10-31 13:58:24	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	220	40¢	$88	0x9125ae…
10-31 13:57:43	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xf5aa09…
10-31 13:57:31	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0xfb7477…
10-31 13:56:46	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	18	41¢	$7	0xd24414…
10-31 13:56:36	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	18	41¢	$7	0x3e3bf7…
10-31 13:52:37	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	130	38¢	$49	0xd7940b…
10-31 13:50:13	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	193	39¢	$75	0x3bab93…
10-31 13:49:00	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	110	42¢	$46	0x8325d6…
10-31 13:48:46	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x435b5e…
10-31 13:48:37	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	250	40¢	$99	0x5aa592…
10-31 13:47:49	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	130	41¢	$53	0x123520…
10-31 13:45:45	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	260	39¢	$101	0x0b1448…
10-31 13:45:09	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	357	40¢	$144	0x1b6128…
10-31 13:40:07	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x2c88cc…
10-31 13:40:03	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	105	40¢	$42	0x884660…
10-31 13:34:13	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	523	43¢	$225	0xc6884f…
10-31 13:30:12	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0xcf6c34…
10-31 13:30:04	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	222	40¢	$89	0x170948…
10-31 13:29:58	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	1,184	39¢	$467	0xf01fd8…
10-31 12:49:12	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	245	38¢	$93	0x4744a4…
10-31 12:18:40	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0xd9646a…
10-31 12:13:51	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	110	36¢	$39	0x5177a8…
10-30 21:47:52	Will Randy Bullock be the highest-scoring K of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0xbf04a7…
10-30 21:46:03	Will Randy Bullock be the highest-scoring K of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	24	10¢	$2	0x76736c…
10-30 21:41:28	Will Randy Bullock be the highest-scoring K of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x607cca…
10-30 21:40:19	Will Randy Bullock be the highest-scoring K of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x0ff217…
10-30 21:39:22	Will Randy Bullock be the highest-scoring K of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	260	11¢	$29	0x315674…
10-30 21:37:19	Will Randy Bullock be the highest-scoring K of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0xf631cb…
10-30 21:35:55	Will Randy Bullock be the highest-scoring K of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	393	6¢	$25	0x2a6143…
10-30 21:34:06	Will Graham Gano be the highest-scoring K of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	SELL	140	1¢	$1	0x83a5f1…
10-30 16:34:49	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	124	13¢	$16	0xcba100…
10-30 16:33:28	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	140	13¢	$18	0x48ee83…
10-30 16:31:51	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xf1bb39…
10-30 16:31:49	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x73bdbf…
10-30 16:31:48	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xbfee24…
10-30 16:18:49	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x8f9416…
10-30 16:18:48	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xff7762…
10-30 16:08:51	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	131	13¢	$17	0xc07054…
10-30 16:08:51	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	123	13¢	$16	0x36111f…
10-30 16:08:49	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	263	13¢	$34	0x70a5c7…
10-30 15:57:07	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0xb4028e…
10-30 15:57:07	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	75	13¢	$10	0x1e0a43…
10-30 15:38:33	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	205	12¢	$25	0x3e47a5…
10-30 15:38:31	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	266	13¢	$35	0x1332df…
10-30 13:34:30	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	195	13¢	$25	0xc58000…
10-30 12:31:03	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	28	13¢	$4	0x879f5d…
10-30 12:16:57	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x407889…
10-30 12:15:37	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x0edffc…
10-30 12:09:31	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x05e9c7…
10-30 12:03:00	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	53	14¢	$7	0xb62eb5…
10-30 11:58:00	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x0067e7…
10-30 11:57:36	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	110	16¢	$18	0x34c92b…
10-30 11:47:15	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	23	24¢	$6	0xd0b51c…