Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
2,257
lifetime
Volume
$6.52K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$192
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-19
last 06-04 06:57
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
64%
Other
30%
Sports
4%
Crypto
2%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 341 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +101 $100 99¢ $100 $-0 06-04 06:57
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -100 $-11 11¢ $-10 +$0 05-28 05:04
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No -100 $-10 10¢ $-10 +$0 05-28 00:03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -14 $-19 62¢ $-9 +$11 05-29 15:24
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? Yes -100 $-4 $-9 $-5 06-02 09:31
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-8 $-8 $-0 06-04 06:51
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -87 $-6 $-6 $-0 06-01 13:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +100 $9 $6 $-4 06-02 14:08
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes -100 $-5 $-5 $-0 06-03 05:54
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +87 $6 $5 $-1 06-04 06:53
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +86 $7 $3 $-4 06-02 07:45
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? Yes -100 $-1 $-3 $-2 05-29 18:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +185 $3 $3 $-0 06-02 08:00
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes -100 $-1 $-2 $-1 06-02 09:01
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes +72 $2 $2 +$0 05-31 17:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes +200 $7 $2 $-5 06-02 10:19
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +26 $-0 $1 +$1 06-02 02:08
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? Yes +86 $1 $1 $-0 05-31 13:18
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes -127 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-02 08:21
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes -23 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-04 06:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes -12 $-0 $-1 $-1 06-01 16:56
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes +46 $3 $1 $-3 06-02 06:22
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Yes +56 $1 $1 +$0 06-01 21:18
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -9 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-04 06:52
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +5 $3 10¢ $1 $-3 06-03 06:05
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes +42 $1 $0 $-1 06-01 17:21
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? Yes +41 $0 $0 $-0 06-04 06:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes -5 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-02 09:35
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? Yes -4 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-04 06:53
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-04 06:51