Jolly-Vision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$142

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

42.6%

Resolved

456

Trades

6,747

lifetime

Volume

$14.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$104

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 06-10 23:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Politics

64% 33% +$68

Other

34% 25% -$149

Sports

2% 30% -$56

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$4

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-10).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+101	$100	100¢	$101	+$1	06-04 06:57
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	+91	$7	2¢	$2	-$6	06-04 06:53
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	+63	$3	3¢	$2	-$2	06-04 06:52
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+0	-$1	4¢	$0	+$1	05-28 05:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	119	$580	4,418	4,513	-94	No	+$10	05-30 02:02
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	112	$516	3,633	3,589	+44	No	+$19	05-29 20:24
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	360	$357	6,638	6,633	+5	No	+$2	06-02 08:00
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	177	$342	5,303	5,303	+0	No	$0	06-03 16:55
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	52	$339	2,275	2,326	-51	No	-$5	05-29 23:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	40	$309	1,757	1,647	+110	No	-$1	05-25 01:08
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	88	$293	2,534	2,534	+0	No	-$2	06-01 17:21
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	82	$283	3,655	3,655	+0	No	-$6	05-29 14:57
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	80	$283	3,304	3,352	-48	No	+$5	05-29 19:21
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	113	$255	1,899	1,899	+0	open	—	06-01 13:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	168	$247	6,359	6,355	+4	No	-$1	05-30 07:54
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	74	$241	1,392	1,392	+0	open	—	06-02 06:20
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-19?	3	$231	450	450	+0	Yes	+$213	05-19 13:37
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	215	$217	1,650	1,587	+63	open	—	06-04 06:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	31	$215	1,319	1,200	+119	No	-$5	05-30 00:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	39	$211	1,765	1,765	+0	No	-$1	06-02 09:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	38	$162	1,600	1,600	+0	No	-$2	06-02 10:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	99	$160	3,424	3,424	+0	No	-$1	06-02 10:19
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	36	$149	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	06-01 15:46
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	76	$144	1,994	1,994	+0	No	-$3	06-04 06:54
Netanyahu out by June 30?	58	$142	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$5	06-02 06:36
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	34	$141	1,051	1,051	+0	open	—	06-01 15:47
Iran leadership change by May 31?	73	$139	2,846	2,846	+0	No	-$2	05-29 17:56
Iran leadership change by June 30?	38	$137	934	907	+26	No	+$1	06-02 02:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	19	$128	900	858	+42	No	-$2	06-02 02:47
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	37	$124	676	676	+0	open	—	06-01 23:47
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	25	$122	679	679	+0	No	+$5	06-02 04:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	22	$121	700	700	+0	No	-$1	06-01 16:56
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	16	$121	700	700	+0	No	-$3	05-29 14:54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	71	$121	2,554	2,554	+0	Yes	-$1	06-02 00:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 23:17:25	Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x3b0120…
06-07 15:00:21	Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xa319f7…
06-07 14:28:52	Will Armenian National Congress win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x4a3500…
06-05 14:17:12	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x9267ac…
06-05 09:00:30	Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xbf2ba0…
06-04 17:22:22	Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	84	0¢	$0	0x2b2637…
06-04 15:19:06	Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	79	0¢	$0	0xac3313…
06-04 12:00:48	Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x2d9424…
06-04 06:57:18	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x374a4b…
06-04 06:54:48	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x3201c3…
06-04 06:54:39	Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x21e027…
06-04 06:54:30	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xe85d49…
06-04 06:54:16	Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x501603…
06-04 06:54:07	Anthropic CEO arrested?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xe9a0ab…
06-04 06:54:00	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xbfc7c0…
06-04 06:53:54	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xeeac22…
06-04 06:53:43	Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x466b6d…
06-04 06:53:34	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x4f395c…
06-04 06:53:27	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xaddb30…
06-04 06:53:12	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xda514c…
06-04 06:52:58	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0xc6f80c…
06-04 06:52:49	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xa557b6…
06-04 06:51:49	Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x01eb93…
06-04 06:51:48	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x212e4d…
06-04 06:51:46	Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x3bd179…
06-04 06:51:45	Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?	Yes	SELL	47	0¢	$0	0xcb9557…
06-04 06:51:45	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	1¢	$0	0x467fa5…
06-04 06:51:43	Will the Republican Party win the WI-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x8cc92b…
06-04 06:51:40	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	Yes	SELL	93	5¢	$5	0x1e95a8…
06-04 06:51:39	Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	95	0¢	$0	0x9264a8…
06-04 06:51:39	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	93	1¢	$1	0x19254c…
06-04 06:51:37	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xd442ac…
06-04 06:51:36	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xd16138…
06-04 06:51:36	Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x6d863e…
06-04 06:51:34	Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xea1273…
06-04 06:51:34	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x28c478…
06-04 06:51:31	Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x2ab0a6…
06-04 06:51:30	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xb78586…
06-04 06:51:28	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x90d82f…
06-04 06:51:27	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x157d50…
06-04 06:51:27	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x131a90…
06-04 06:51:25	Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xe230cd…
06-04 06:51:24	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xa7de0b…
06-04 06:51:22	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xe1f4a2…
06-04 06:51:22	Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x3b9960…
06-04 06:51:21	Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x47c099…
06-04 06:51:19	Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x5311e4…
06-04 06:51:16	Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x24dfec…
06-04 06:51:15	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x83ba92…
06-04 06:51:15	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x1c7ea3…
06-04 06:51:13	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xa4b4bc…
06-04 06:51:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x61ce73…
06-04 06:51:10	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x5f91c8…
06-04 06:51:09	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xadbbef…
06-04 06:51:06	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x3ee8ea…
06-04 06:51:06	Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x166db2…
06-04 06:51:04	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xd431dd…
06-04 06:51:03	Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xaaecb1…
06-04 06:51:01	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xca738b…
06-04 06:51:00	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x6f6bac…
06-04 06:51:00	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x6da1c8…
06-04 06:50:58	Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x4471d3…
06-04 06:50:57	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xbae064…
06-04 06:50:57	jd vance out as vp by june 30	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x09a4e4…
06-04 06:50:55	Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x69d9a2…
06-04 03:32:12	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	Yes	SELL	34	8¢	$3	0x8794cc…
06-04 03:14:46	Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	48	1¢	$0	0x8e29e0…
06-03 22:56:54	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	66	0¢	$0	0xc33228…
06-03 22:53:36	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xa1b4c3…
06-03 22:47:36	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	Yes	SELL	39	1¢	$0	0x710769…
06-03 22:23:21	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x554125…
06-03 21:41:48	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x593cb5…
06-03 21:04:16	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x029b25…
06-03 19:49:43	Will Julie Won be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	Yes	SELL	79	1¢	$0	0x720d8a…
06-03 19:37:55	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x208c48…
06-03 19:31:49	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x99329b…
06-03 18:37:27	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x224f01…
06-03 18:20:15	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xf612d9…
06-03 17:49:12	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x1d9fa1…
06-03 17:19:04	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xe1fb07…
06-03 16:55:00	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x37f6e0…
06-03 16:36:30	Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0xcbe82d…
06-03 08:59:08	Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	1¢	$1	0xf2a737…
06-03 08:59:08	Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x52773b…
06-03 07:33:21	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	88	1¢	$1	0x8a6d5e…
06-03 06:05:06	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	Yes	SELL	90	3¢	$3	0xef309e…
06-03 05:54:20	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	Yes	SELL	47	5¢	$2	0xe3a8a2…
06-03 05:40:08	Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x1b268b…
06-03 05:32:50	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	1¢	$0	0x71b4ef…
06-03 05:05:43	Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0x67fbc9…
06-03 04:37:22	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0x5efc5c…
06-03 03:48:55	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xf1de07…
06-03 03:11:47	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xd3b1c9…
06-03 02:26:40	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$1	0x7347eb…
06-03 01:52:17	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0xf96cd5…
06-03 01:38:08	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xd2ef1e…
06-03 00:20:22	Will Marcelo Maranata win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	SELL	69	2¢	$1	0x92ff79…
06-03 00:03:33	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x765e25…
06-03 00:03:27	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x546c8b…
06-02 23:59:24	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xba96f1…