Realized P&L
+$6.62K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.93K
Hit rate
63.1%
Resolved
323
Trades
2,559
lifetime
Volume
$875.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$342
Open exposure
$33.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-25 12:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 88 days
Categories
Other
48%
54%
-$20,834
Crypto
37%
68%
+$35,272
Tech
7%
70%
-$2,677
Sports
6%
25%
-$3,809
Politics
2%
32%
-$1,328
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk
• peak 25 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | +6,160 | $3,389 | 72¢ | $4.4K | +$1,015 | 10-25 12:58 | |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | Yes | +4,899 | $3,430 | 82¢ | $4.0K | +$588 | 06-08 08:48 | |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | +7,036 | $2,754 | 56¢ | $4.0K | +$1,221 | 10-22 13:28 | |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | -3,216 | -$2,284 | 86¢ | $-2766 | -$482 | 07-09 03:38 | |
| Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | +3,044 | $2,587 | 87¢ | $2.7K | +$75 | 10-16 12:37 | |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | +3,500 | $2,310 | 74¢ | $2.6K | +$282 | 09-27 06:12 | |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | +2,299 | $1,343 | 88¢ | $2.0K | +$691 | 10-25 12:51 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | +1,771 | $1,594 | 98¢ | $1.7K | +$133 | 06-08 04:45 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | +2,400 | $1,534 | 63¢ | $1.5K | -$14 | 10-22 13:43 | |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | +2,200 | $1,914 | 55¢ | $1.2K | -$704 | 07-09 11:23 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | +1,500 | $1,059 | 71¢ | $1.1K | +$13 | 10-22 12:13 | |
| Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | -1,955 | -$747 | 45¢ | $-889 | -$142 | 07-26 15:04 | |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | -900 | -$923 | 94¢ | $-848 | +$75 | 10-23 18:04 | |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | +2,500 | $1,120 | 28¢ | $700 | -$420 | 09-21 14:50 | |
| Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | +2,016 | $686 | 32¢ | $645 | -$41 | 10-20 01:05 | |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +500 | $450 | 96¢ | $482 | +$32 | 09-04 08:45 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +700 | $311 | 44¢ | $308 | -$3 | 10-22 04:51 | |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? | Yes | -3,100 | -$403 | 8¢ | $-264 | +$140 | 09-08 00:24 | |
| Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | -1,998 | -$552 | 11¢ | $-210 | +$342 | 07-28 12:42 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | +200 | $179 | 93¢ | $187 | +$8 | 07-30 07:56 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | -1,119 | -$224 | 14¢ | $-157 | +$67 | 07-28 12:46 | |
| Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | -2,278 | -$368 | 6¢ | $-148 | +$220 | 07-28 12:42 | |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | -3,259 | -$336 | 4¢ | $-147 | +$189 | 07-30 08:18 | |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | +1,000 | $270 | 14¢ | $140 | -$130 | 07-11 12:07 | |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | -1,316 | -$262 | 9¢ | $-118 | +$144 | 07-28 12:41 | |
| Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | -1,400 | -$169 | 5¢ | $-64 | +$104 | 07-28 12:40 | |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +200 | $100 | 26¢ | $53 | -$47 | 06-17 08:15 | |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | -700 | -$140 | 8¢ | $-53 | +$87 | 07-28 12:41 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | -1,700 | -$374 | 2¢ | $-36 | +$338 | 06-08 00:46 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | -1,386 | -$166 | 1¢ | $-13 | +$153 | 06-11 12:19 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Based FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 43 | $22.8K | 19,332 | 8,361 | +10,971 | No | +$3,381 | 03-30 14:55 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 5 | $21.8K | 12,900 | 12,000 | +900 | No | +$2,910 | 04-26 13:37 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? | 2 | $21.6K | 24,420 | 0 | +24,420 | Yes | +$2,860 | 07-03 04:13 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 9 | $20.7K | 35,000 | 30,000 | +5,000 | No | -$800 | 07-11 01:37 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352 | 27 | $20.1K | 11,466 | 19,950 | -8,484 | Yes | -$691 | 04-26 13:37 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | 4 | $18.1K | 20,000 | 0 | +20,000 | Yes | +$1,850 | 06-22 03:56 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 27 | $16.5K | 18,762 | 11,727 | +7,036 | open | — | 10-22 13:28 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 4 | $14.8K | 9,000 | 9,000 | +0 | No | -$512 | 07-13 02:33 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 14 | $13.3K | 9,196 | 6,897 | +2,299 | open | — | 10-25 12:51 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | 19 | $12.1K | 12,320 | 6,160 | +6,160 | open | — | 10-25 12:58 |
| Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 116 | $11.7K | 9,401 | 9,416 | -15 | No | +$3,915 | 03-27 08:30 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | 3 | $11.6K | 15,000 | 0 | +15,000 | Yes | +$3,450 | 06-30 16:11 |
| Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale? | 19 | $11.5K | 8,758 | 9,256 | -498 | Yes | +$1,934 | 01-06 03:36 |
| will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323 | 40 | $10.3K | 5,812 | 8,714 | -2,902 | Yes | -$2,384 | 02-06 17:04 |
| Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 32 | $10.1K | 10,976 | 0 | +10,976 | No | +$849 | 03-30 02:52 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | 2 | $9.6K | 10,000 | 10,000 | +0 | Yes | -$4,800 | 07-07 17:27 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09? | 2 | $9.3K | 15,000 | 0 | +15,000 | Yes | +$5,700 | 07-06 06:01 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 5 | $8.9K | 23,000 | 23,000 | +0 | Yes | +$150 | 07-13 02:33 |
| spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t | 5 | $8.8K | 10,353 | 0 | +10,353 | No | +$1,523 | 06-10 03:31 |
| Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch? | 59 | $8.8K | 12,126 | 6,593 | +5,533 | No | +$4,979 | 01-28 10:38 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | 10 | $8.7K | 10,576 | 5,000 | +5,576 | No | -$3,611 | 06-12 12:54 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-04? | 1 | $8.4K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | Yes | +$1,600 | 07-03 05:44 |
| Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 5 | $8.4K | 12,655 | 0 | +12,655 | No | +$4,277 | 01-31 15:21 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | 4 | $8.2K | 15,000 | 0 | +15,000 | No | -$8,150 | 07-05 07:43 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | 24 | $7.9K | 6,500 | 6,500 | +0 | No | -$1,372 | 06-12 11:24 |
| Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch? | 14 | $7.4K | 6,394 | 3,251 | +3,143 | No | +$1,421 | 01-28 03:36 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | 1 | $7.2K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | Yes | -$7,200 | 07-12 10:31 |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 12 | $7.0K | 4,999 | 6,294 | -1,295 | Yes | +$2,236 | 02-04 23:28 |
| Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 2 | $7.0K | 7,837 | 0 | +7,837 | No | +$837 | 01-24 07:43 |
| Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | 4 | $6.2K | 8,852 | 1,852 | +7,000 | Yes | -$5,199 | 07-10 01:21 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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