Realized P&L
-$5.98K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.03K
Hit rate
62.4%
Resolved
331
Trades
2,582
lifetime
Volume
$902.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$350
Open exposure
$34.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-12 19:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Other
49% 54% -$33,409
Crypto
36% 67% +$35,245
Tech
7% 70% -$2,677
Sports
6% 25% -$3,809
Politics
2% 32% -$1,328
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +6,160 $3,389 65¢ $4.0K +$615 10-25 12:58
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +7,036 $2,754 48¢ $3.3K +$588 10-22 13:28
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -3,216 -$2,284 92¢ $-2943 -$659 07-09 03:38
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +4,899 $3,430 59¢ $2.9K -$539 06-08 08:48
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +3,100 $2,635 89¢ $2.8K +$126 10-30 18:41
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +3,500 $2,310 78¢ $2.7K +$416 09-27 06:12
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +2,200 $1,914 94¢ $2.1K +$165 07-09 11:23
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No +2,400 $1,534 79¢ $1.9K +$368 10-22 13:43
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +2,299 $1,343 82¢ $1.9K +$542 10-25 12:51
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +1,771 $1,594 77¢ $1.4K -$229 06-08 04:45
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +1,500 $1,059 90¢ $1.3K +$284 10-22 12:13
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -900 -$923 94¢ $-846 +$77 10-23 18:04
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -1,955 -$747 41¢ $-801 -$54 07-26 15:04
Multipli.fi FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +900 $450 84¢ $752 +$302 08-07 03:41
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? No -696 -$669 98¢ $-684 -$15 09-19 07:36
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +2,500 $1,120 24¢ $612 -$508 09-21 14:50
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +3,266 $917 18¢ $572 -$345 11-12 19:36
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes -2,200 -$511 24¢ $-539 -$28 08-19 19:48
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +500 $450 96¢ $479 +$29 09-04 08:45
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +700 $311 52¢ $362 +$50 10-22 04:51
Saturn FDV above $100M one day after launch Yes +330 $198 65¢ $214 +$16 09-02 15:49
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes -3,100 -$403 6¢ $-170 +$233 09-08 00:24
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -1,998 -$552 8¢ $-170 +$382 07-28 12:42
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +900 $377 17¢ $150 -$227 09-01 18:04
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? Yes +292 $216 50¢ $146 -$70 07-27 08:04
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -2,278 -$368 6¢ $-125 +$243 07-28 12:42
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +1,000 $270 8¢ $85 -$185 07-11 12:07
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -1,316 -$262 6¢ $-74 +$188 07-28 12:41
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -1,119 -$224 6¢ $-73 +$151 07-28 12:46
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -1,400 -$169 4¢ $-59 +$109 07-28 12:40