Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$4.00K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
9
2,571 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$255
$876.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$341
Open exposure
$33.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 23:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 88 days
Categories
Other
48% 54% -$20,834
Crypto
37% 68% +$35,272
Tech
7% 70% -$2,677
Sports
6% 25% -$3,809
Politics
2% 32% -$1,328
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +6,160 $3,389 72¢ $4.5K +$1,077 10-25 12:58
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +7,036 $2,754 58¢ $4.1K +$1,362 10-22 13:28
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +4,899 $3,430 74¢ $3.6K +$171 06-08 08:48
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -3,216 -$2,284 88¢ $-2830 -$547 07-09 03:38
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +3,100 $2,635 86¢ $2.7K +$40 10-30 18:41
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +3,500 $2,310 74¢ $2.6K +$282 09-27 06:12
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +2,299 $1,343 86¢ $2.0K +$623 10-25 12:51
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No +2,400 $1,534 69¢ $1.7K +$127 10-22 13:43
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +1,771 $1,594 91¢ $1.6K +$16 06-08 04:45
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +2,200 $1,914 68¢ $1.5K -$418 07-09 11:23
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +1,500 $1,059 79¢ $1.2K +$122 10-22 12:13
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -900 -$923 93¢ $-839 +$84 10-23 18:04
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -1,955 -$747 42¢ $-821 -$74 07-26 15:04
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +2,500 $1,120 26¢ $662 -$458 09-21 14:50
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +3,265 $917 20¢ $637 -$280 10-30 23:28
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +500 $450 95¢ $476 +$26 09-04 08:45
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +700 $311 43¢ $301 -$10 10-22 04:51
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes -3,100 -$403 8¢ $-232 +$171 09-08 00:24
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -1,998 -$552 11¢ $-220 +$332 07-28 12:42
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +200 $179 94¢ $188 +$8 07-30 07:56
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -2,278 -$368 6¢ $-148 +$220 07-28 12:42
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +1,000 $270 12¢ $120 -$150 07-11 12:07
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $100 46¢ $92 -$8 06-17 08:15
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -3,259 -$336 3¢ $-86 +$249 07-30 08:18
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -1,316 -$262 6¢ $-86 +$176 07-28 12:41
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -1,119 -$224 8¢ $-84 +$140 07-28 12:46
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -1,400 -$169 5¢ $-66 +$103 07-28 12:40
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -700 -$140 6¢ $-41 +$99 07-28 12:41
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -1,700 -$374 1¢ $-17 +$357 06-08 00:46
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -1,386 -$166 1¢ $-10 +$156 06-11 12:19