Realized P&L (90d)
+$392
Unrealized P&L
+$1.47K
Hit rate
86.0%
Resolved (90d)
12
Trades (90d)
234
2,576 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$86.4K
$892.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$346
Open exposure
$40.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 06:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 90 days
Categories
Other
49% 55% -$18,294
Crypto
36% 68% +$35,272
Tech
7% 70% -$2,677
Sports
6% 25% -$3,809
Politics
2% 32% -$1,328
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +6,160 $3,389 73¢ $4.5K +$1,107 10-25 12:58
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +7,036 $2,754 58¢ $4.1K +$1,362 10-22 13:28
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +4,899 $3,430 70¢ $3.5K +$24 06-08 08:48
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -3,216 -$2,284 88¢ $-2846 -$563 07-09 03:38
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +3,844 $3,100 72¢ $2.8K -$313 11-08 06:15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs T1 +10,000 $4,400 28¢ $2.8K -$1,650 11-07 09:06
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +3,100 $2,635 86¢ $2.7K +$39 10-30 18:41
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +3,500 $2,310 75¢ $2.6K +$306 09-27 06:12
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +2,299 $1,343 88¢ $2.0K +$669 10-25 12:51
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +2,200 $1,914 88¢ $1.9K +$33 07-09 11:23
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No +2,400 $1,534 70¢ $1.7K +$151 10-22 13:43
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +1,771 $1,594 86¢ $1.5K -$74 06-08 04:45
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +1,500 $1,059 81¢ $1.2K +$158 10-22 12:13
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -1,955 -$747 45¢ $-880 -$132 07-26 15:04
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -900 -$923 94¢ $-846 +$77 10-23 18:04
Multipli.fi FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +900 $450 80¢ $720 +$270 08-07 03:41
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +3,265 $917 22¢ $718 -$198 10-30 23:28
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +2,500 $1,120 29¢ $713 -$407 09-21 14:50
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +5,882 $1,000 11¢ $618 -$382 11-08 06:15
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +500 $450 95¢ $474 +$24 09-04 08:45
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +700 $311 44¢ $311 $0 10-22 04:51
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +900 $377 30¢ $265 -$111 09-01 18:04
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? Yes +292 $216 69¢ $203 -$13 07-27 08:04
Saturn FDV above $100M one day after launch Yes +330 $198 57¢ $190 -$8 09-02 15:49
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes -3,100 -$403 6¢ $-171 +$233 09-08 00:24
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -1,998 -$552 8¢ $-170 +$382 07-28 12:42
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -2,278 -$368 6¢ $-137 +$232 07-28 12:42
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +1,000 $270 12¢ $115 -$155 07-11 12:07
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -1,119 -$224 8¢ $-84 +$140 07-28 12:46
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -3,259 -$336 2¢ $-64 +$272 07-30 08:18