Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.74K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

1,301

Trades

5,615

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-30 20:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 185 days

Categories

Politics

49% 26% +$1,465

Other

46% 19% +$387

Tech

5% 28% -$96

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$296	300	300	+0	Yes	+$290	02-28 21:49
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	76	$206	3,900	3,400	+500	No	+$128	06-19 14:51
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	2	$194	300	300	+0	Yes	+$188	01-17 08:32
si above 90 jan 2026	2	$168	350	350	+0	No	+$161	01-30 17:21
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	32	$152	3,000	2,500	+500	No	+$92	06-19 23:02
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	13	$141	2,900	2,288	+612	Yes	+$83	04-12 18:30
will the us next strike iran on march 1 2026 et	29	$111	2,450	1,769	+680	No	+$62	02-28 07:56
gc settle 4850 4975 jan 2026	2	$105	350	350	+0	No	+$98	01-30 17:19
will luong cuong be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	24	$104	2,100	1,690	+410	No	+$62	01-21 10:51
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	43	$104	2,200	1,700	+500	No	+$63	06-20 00:23
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	2	$102	400	400	+0	No	+$94	04-08 18:20
will tran cam tu be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	43	$89	2,100	1,390	+710	No	+$47	01-22 00:57
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	26	$88	1,900	1,400	+500	No	+$50	05-10 18:12
will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	10	$82	1,850	1,783	+67	No	+$45	03-16 00:01
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	29	$82	1,700	1,377	+323	No	+$53	06-18 02:20
will the us next strike iran on march 3 2026 et	18	$80	1,750	1,282	+468	No	+$45	02-28 08:31
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	8	$69	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$39	04-28 00:01
will israel strike gaza on february 5 2026	10	$68	1,750	1,031	+719	No	+$33	02-06 16:20
evidence epstein blackmailed politicians released by jan 31	2	$65	350	350	+0	No	+$58	01-30 17:24
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	8	$63	1,500	1,000	+500	No	+$35	03-08 22:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	15	$62	2,000	866	+1,134	No	+$22	05-07 22:23
will hezbollah disarm by march 31	7	$61	1,050	1,040	+10	No	+$40	03-23 13:02
will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	15	$59	1,200	964	+236	No	+$35	01-23 13:42
will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	19	$58	1,050	967	+83	No	+$37	02-19 00:57
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 180 199	7	$57	1,050	950	+100	No	+$36	02-07 03:11
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	7	$55	1,350	850	+500	No	+$28	03-09 04:12
will israel strike lebanon on february 21 2026	15	$55	1,606	781	+825	No	+$23	02-24 16:35
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	12	$53	900	900	+0	Yes	+$35	01-22 15:24
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	11	$52	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$30	04-28 00:02
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	8	$50	1,100	797	+303	No	+$28	04-11 01:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-30 20:13:43	Iran leadership change by August 31?	Yes	SELL	400	5¢	$20	0x68a41d…
08-19 15:50:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x7314bf…
08-19 12:06:37	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xf2c463…
08-19 02:21:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x19cf9e…
08-18 23:16:31	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x178490…
08-18 18:09:10	ukraine election called by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xa2aad8…
08-18 13:33:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	425	1¢	$4	0xc8eff3…
08-18 13:33:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x26e34b…
08-17 12:30:48	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xb570e8…
08-17 02:48:46	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	33	5¢	$2	0xea410f…
08-16 19:58:09	abu musa island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720011758216	Yes	BUY	263	1¢	$3	0x8ef52e…
08-16 15:30:22	will germany send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742055	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa22def…
08-16 15:25:40	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	Yes	BUY	408	1¢	$4	0x0671a3…
08-16 15:25:33	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	Yes	BUY	92	1¢	$1	0x3c7bf1…
08-16 11:49:25	abu musa island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720011758216	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x26d866…
08-16 08:08:45	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x4189c7…
08-16 02:18:18	ukraine election called by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x715b1b…
08-16 00:50:30	abu musa island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720011758216	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x026af9…
08-15 15:50:31	abu musa island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720011758216	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x02c388…
08-15 13:19:40	abu musa island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720011758216	Yes	BUY	47	1¢	$0	0x3756f9…
08-14 15:26:40	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x506246…
08-14 04:28:49	hengam island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014859847	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x717363…
08-13 13:38:09	ukraine election called by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x79dd31…
08-13 08:33:33	ukraine election called by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xf93d6e…
08-13 08:24:19	ukraine election called by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xeb777c…
08-13 04:00:22	ukraine election called by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x01ec08…
08-13 03:55:25	ukraine election called by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x2c8568…
08-12 22:43:37	Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	395	1¢	$4	0xdfd959…
08-12 22:42:27	Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	No	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0xb483c1…
08-12 22:01:19	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x097c8a…
08-12 22:01:18	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x51451c…
08-12 22:01:18	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	39	1¢	$0	0x3a27d3…
08-12 22:00:40	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xe64304…
08-12 22:00:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xc49d8a…
08-12 22:00:40	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xb53a82…
08-12 22:00:39	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7698af…
08-12 22:00:39	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x0295af…
08-12 21:59:54	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5b4a75…
08-12 21:59:54	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x0e4c47…
08-12 21:59:52	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0xdffdf3…
08-12 21:59:52	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x8cd987…
08-12 21:59:52	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x1fc8a8…
08-12 21:59:34	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x8a7506…
08-12 21:59:33	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x1fd695…
08-12 21:59:33	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x16a8d2…
08-12 18:20:34	hengam island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014859847	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x51963c…
08-12 12:48:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x8f5bdf…
08-12 09:42:18	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x53ba77…
08-10 16:51:33	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x75685a…
08-10 16:30:06	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xff7804…
08-09 23:35:40	hengam island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014859847	Yes	BUY	95	1¢	$1	0x2cffd8…
08-08 15:04:24	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x7d5423…
08-08 07:52:15	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	434	1¢	$4	0x2a3f4d…
08-08 07:51:54	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	66	1¢	$1	0xa8fd74…
08-07 16:19:03	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	BUY	274	1¢	$3	0xb4e471…
08-07 16:18:42	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x0644df…
08-07 15:35:07	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xe4115f…
08-07 06:47:55	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x091bd3…
08-06 19:18:47	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	Yes	BUY	265	1¢	$3	0x9fba99…
08-06 19:10:45	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	Yes	BUY	235	1¢	$2	0x761f03…
08-06 18:58:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x9f689d…
08-06 01:09:29	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	No	SELL	114	5¢	$6	0xd76aec…
08-05 20:03:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	No	SELL	157	5¢	$8	0x106425…
08-05 15:38:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	No	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0xcedc8a…
08-05 15:36:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x63d5e1…
08-05 15:36:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	No	BUY	240	1¢	$2	0x00c892…
08-05 14:19:26	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xac7e61…
08-05 12:44:39	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x3efc64…
08-04 13:24:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	331	5¢	$16	0x5e0aea…
08-04 13:24:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0xfb3120…
08-04 13:24:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	126	5¢	$6	0x7adf9d…
08-03 13:07:33	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5aecdd…
08-02 15:54:02	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x81479d…
08-01 16:16:41	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x19fdbc…
08-01 06:32:51	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$2	0x94e4be…
08-01 06:27:41	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa60e06…
08-01 06:21:21	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0xca0b08…
08-01 03:40:26	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0x969475…
07-31 00:21:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xcb2382…
07-30 14:34:39	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xf827a4…
07-30 14:15:32	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x782a53…
07-30 12:57:53	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x304127…
07-30 07:20:35	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0x7104a6…
07-30 06:52:23	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x887767…
07-29 06:13:45	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?	Yes	BUY	346	1¢	$3	0x013a5a…
07-29 01:59:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xc0f7d1…
07-29 01:59:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x0362da…
07-29 01:58:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	Yes	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0xb50015…
07-28 21:18:05	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x2af2ab…
07-28 19:07:47	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xe93d0c…
07-28 18:59:02	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	Yes	BUY	261	1¢	$3	0xa54e21…
07-28 18:07:20	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x30a0e8…
07-28 17:39:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xad3a42…
07-28 15:59:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	218	1¢	$2	0x0ad47e…
07-28 15:27:08	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x55f3b1…
07-28 14:24:37	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	BUY	292	1¢	$3	0xe3a3dd…
07-28 13:48:10	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x9c8e0c…
07-28 13:40:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x3fbb01…
07-28 12:49:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	233	1¢	$2	0xd4634c…
07-28 11:17:10	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xf7f8d9…