Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$44

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

84.3%

Resolved

Trades

5,039

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-20 17:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

48% 0% $-11

Politics

47% 60% +$55

Tech

5% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		+500	$5	2¢	$8	+$3	07-16 18:00
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	Yes		+200	$2	1¢	$3	+$1	07-20 17:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$296	300	300	+0	open	—	02-28 21:49
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	2	$194	300	300	+0	open	—	01-17 08:32
si above 90 jan 2026	2	$168	350	350	+0	open	—	01-30 17:21
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	13	$141	2,900	2,288	+612	open	—	04-12 18:30
will the us next strike iran on march 1 2026 et	29	$111	2,450	1,769	+680	open	—	02-28 07:56
gc settle 4850 4975 jan 2026	2	$105	350	350	+0	open	—	01-30 17:19
will luong cuong be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	24	$104	2,100	1,690	+410	open	—	01-21 10:51
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	2	$102	400	400	+0	open	—	04-08 18:20
will tran cam tu be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	43	$89	2,100	1,390	+710	open	—	01-22 00:57
will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	10	$82	1,850	1,783	+67	open	—	03-16 00:01
will the us next strike iran on march 3 2026 et	18	$80	1,750	1,282	+468	open	—	02-28 08:31
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	8	$69	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-28 00:01
will israel strike gaza on february 5 2026	10	$68	1,750	1,031	+719	open	—	02-06 16:20
evidence epstein blackmailed politicians released by jan 31	2	$65	350	350	+0	open	—	01-30 17:24
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	8	$63	1,500	1,000	+500	open	—	03-08 22:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	15	$62	2,000	866	+1,134	No	+$22	05-07 22:23
will hezbollah disarm by march 31	7	$61	1,050	1,040	+10	open	—	03-23 13:02
will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	15	$59	1,200	964	+236	open	—	01-23 13:42
will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	19	$58	1,050	967	+83	open	—	02-19 00:57
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 180 199	7	$57	1,050	950	+100	open	—	02-07 03:11
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	7	$55	1,350	850	+500	open	—	03-09 04:12
will israel strike lebanon on february 21 2026	15	$55	1,606	781	+825	open	—	02-24 16:35
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	12	$53	900	900	+0	open	—	01-22 15:24
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	11	$52	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-28 00:02
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	8	$50	1,100	797	+303	open	—	04-11 01:15
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	10	$49	1,400	1,050	+350	open	—	03-29 00:00
will world liberty financial be accused of insider trading	5	$46	1,050	700	+350	open	—	02-26 13:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	7	$45	2,000	500	+1,500	open	—	06-24 21:29
fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	12	$45	1,350	1,107	+243	open	—	03-16 00:01
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	4	$44	850	721	+129	open	—	03-27 05:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 17:36:58	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x3a04cd…
07-19 22:46:01	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf55787…
07-19 22:42:03	us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xd78f07…
07-19 15:53:43	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x2baddb…
07-19 15:30:54	us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x74d751…
07-18 20:30:54	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0x808210…
07-18 18:18:18	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	SELL	34	5¢	$2	0x3dbe35…
07-18 16:57:40	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952742	Yes	BUY	359	1¢	$4	0xab602d…
07-18 16:24:25	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x9bac27…
07-17 16:58:39	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x85d647…
07-17 12:42:18	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xee1577…
07-16 18:00:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xccecfa…
07-15 02:25:26	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xba59d8…
07-14 16:51:43	us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x09990e…
07-14 00:19:52	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	256	1¢	$3	0xbd7af0…
07-14 00:19:50	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	244	1¢	$2	0x8f4614…
07-13 14:23:35	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x486cfe…
07-13 14:21:20	will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x4d63c7…
07-13 03:00:19	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	495	1¢	$5	0x3803cd…
07-13 02:58:50	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2c4ab9…
07-13 00:17:49	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xd90a1b…
07-11 08:26:20	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x1635bd…
07-09 00:14:41	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc285b1…
07-09 00:13:47	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	No	BUY	295	1¢	$3	0xbe3d81…
07-08 21:57:38	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	No	SELL	205	5¢	$10	0x9dfc7a…
07-08 19:16:34	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	No	BUY	205	1¢	$2	0x99db2e…
07-08 19:16:34	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	No	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x4867f9…
07-08 13:33:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xef32b1…
07-08 11:40:19	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	No	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0x3ca6aa…
07-08 11:35:58	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	No	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0x74e657…
07-08 11:34:01	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x544bdd…
07-08 11:14:19	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534 577	No	BUY	376	1¢	$4	0xd08463…
07-08 09:53:17	netanyahu out by july 31	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x909915…
07-08 07:55:47	gpt 5pt6 released by july 13 2026 974	No	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x2a5162…
07-08 07:55:35	gpt 5pt6 released by july 15 2026 272	No	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x0e6e15…
07-08 07:54:07	netanyahu out by july 31	Yes	BUY	152	1¢	$2	0xbf913a…
07-08 07:45:16	netanyahu out by july 31	Yes	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0x89a330…
07-07 16:43:43	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	500	5¢	$24	0x7e41f7…
07-07 14:34:10	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x6b3976…
06-24 21:29:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x3a15b5…
06-24 13:36:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	240	1¢	$2	0x3a2744…
06-24 13:33:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x13e977…
06-24 13:32:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x7c363f…
06-23 13:18:59	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x14d713…
06-21 12:03:25	Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x2cd45e…
06-21 11:11:23	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x1f5549…
06-21 09:30:49	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x89a752…
06-21 09:30:37	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	47	1¢	$0	0x7bf835…
06-21 09:29:50	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x727c5f…
06-21 08:13:49	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x42546c…
06-21 08:07:46	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	453	1¢	$5	0xcb8fba…
06-18 17:27:59	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x0ca4be…
06-18 17:06:46	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x48ad13…
06-18 11:20:05	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x4ebad2…
06-18 08:49:08	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x58834c…
06-17 13:13:50	Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?	Yes	BUY	452	1¢	$5	0x011f44…
06-17 12:49:28	Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	Yes	BUY	95	1¢	$1	0xf64770…
06-17 03:10:10	Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe3f821…
06-16 14:44:40	Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xdf51a1…
06-14 21:42:54	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x89bdef…
06-14 21:30:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x7f5e70…
06-14 20:32:15	Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?	Yes	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0xba60c4…
06-11 16:17:40	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb4e0d8…
06-10 18:29:49	Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xea4465…
06-10 15:38:33	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xeab588…
06-10 08:38:46	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xef16f8…
06-09 16:49:09	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xa9241a…
06-06 17:45:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x718627…
06-05 18:52:19	Chirayu Rana divorced?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x087e3b…
06-04 20:46:09	Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x052c5b…
06-04 19:23:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x289153…
06-03 05:47:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	500	5¢	$25	0xa74350…
06-02 15:43:55	Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xdade59…
06-01 17:16:57	Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?	Yes	BUY	179	1¢	$2	0xd9ea63…
05-29 16:23:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	500	5¢	$24	0x9e931c…
05-29 15:20:35	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xdffe7e…
05-29 08:27:45	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x959c71…
05-28 23:12:23	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x29aea8…
05-28 14:17:25	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x4b5254…
05-28 04:39:53	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xe5d3e3…
05-28 04:27:21	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x67137d…
05-28 01:56:23	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x6d84e4…
05-27 22:36:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xb7d7f0…
05-27 18:07:21	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x3e09b9…
05-27 15:30:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	385	1¢	$4	0x2d0a84…
05-27 15:27:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	115	1¢	$1	0xb919cd…
05-27 15:18:27	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xa519c2…
05-27 06:53:50	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	353	1¢	$4	0xf56878…
05-27 06:41:35	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfdc0c8…
05-27 06:18:55	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	Yes	BUY	218	1¢	$2	0x1d415d…
05-27 01:07:43	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$2	0xdc5955…
05-27 00:21:36	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	BUY	261	1¢	$3	0xa43afd…
05-26 22:55:58	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	182	5¢	$9	0x465aab…
05-26 22:29:48	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	BUY	39	1¢	$0	0x77882d…
05-26 19:02:04	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	336	1¢	$3	0xe54123…
05-26 18:58:13	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	5¢	$2	0x83e399…
05-26 14:08:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x9f8906…
05-26 13:23:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x332f86…
05-26 12:50:29	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x168b58…
05-26 09:35:20	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xdc2227…