Realized P&L
-$231
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
81.8%
Resolved
483
Trades
898
lifetime
Volume
$17.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$114
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 10-08 21:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 174 days
Categories
Other
61% 83% -$227
Tech
23% 85% +$76
Politics
14% 81% -$59
Sports
1% 71% +$10
Crypto
1% 67% -$14
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes -34 -$31 96¢ $-33 -$2 05-18 05:47
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -26 -$21 100¢ $-26 -$5 05-23 06:24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -65 -$42 39¢ $-25 +$17 10-08 21:06
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -11 -$9 97¢ $-11 -$1 05-23 19:24
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes -12 -$8 64¢ $-8 +$0 06-14 10:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 05-23 06:28
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -19 -$4 14¢ $-3 +$2 05-23 18:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2 -$2 90¢ $-2 $0 05-03 06:22
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 05-03 12:50
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -17 -$3 1¢ $-0 +$3 05-23 18:41