Stupendous-Major — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$292

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.5%

Resolved

Trades

597

lifetime

Volume

$3.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-21 18:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 25% $-64

Other

14% 0% $-172

Politics

10% 0% $-56

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	13	$205	483	483	+0	Up	$-20	05-06 11:47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$96	100	100	+0	open	—	05-06 18:53
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	10	$93	306	306	+0	Down	$-51	05-06 18:51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$84	200	200	+0	open	—	05-06 07:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	11	$72	400	400	+0	No	$-44	05-06 21:37
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?	2	$60	50	50	+0	No	+$40	05-11 17:17
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	3	$47	51	24	+27	No	$-6	05-07 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$45	30	30	+0	Down	+$14	05-04 20:28
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$42	29	29	+0	open	—	05-04 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	3	$39	27	27	+0	open	—	05-04 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$39	26	26	+0	Down	+$12	05-05 13:40
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 6?	1	$39	100	0	+100	Yes	$-39	05-06 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$38	26	26	+0	Down	+$13	05-05 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	11	$37	75	0	+75	open	—	05-01 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	3	$36	25	25	+0	open	—	05-04 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	5	$36	76	0	+76	open	—	05-01 21:44
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	6	$36	25	25	+0	Up	+$12	05-05 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$33	22	22	+0	Down	+$11	05-05 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$32	22	22	+0	Down	+$11	05-05 17:40
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	7	$31	71	0	+71	open	—	05-01 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	6	$28	58	0	+58	open	—	05-03 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	4	$26	56	0	+56	open	—	05-02 16:25
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	5	$26	56	0	+56	open	—	05-01 20:32
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	4	$26	118	118	-0	Up	$-16	05-06 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$25	53	0	+53	open	—	05-02 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$25	53	0	+53	open	—	05-02 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$24	47	0	+47	open	—	05-02 17:49
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$24	44	0	+44	open	—	05-02 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$23	47	0	+47	open	—	05-02 02:09
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	5	$23	47	0	+47	open	—	05-02 19:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 18:11:43	starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929 365 346 935	No	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0xa42d58…
06-21 06:38:26	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$1	0x3484ce…
06-21 02:22:04	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xdde646…
06-21 02:12:14	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x3ac6a4…
06-19 20:07:56	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x03317d…
06-17 20:24:10	will mojtaba khamenei sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950074	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x3a9e6d…
06-17 20:23:47	will mojtaba khamenei sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950074	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x863f93…
06-16 20:00:02	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	Yes	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0x011e15…
06-16 06:33:19	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x18e672…
06-16 00:35:54	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x19481c…
06-16 00:35:37	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xa1e1a7…
06-14 21:15:55	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x9e2d31…
06-13 20:45:46	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xfc3b1d…
06-12 21:06:36	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x6e4885…
06-12 19:39:06	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x86f573…
06-12 19:18:21	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x54d505…
06-12 19:17:15	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xac89db…
06-11 19:44:45	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xaed4a4…
06-11 18:02:21	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xd09805…
06-11 17:37:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x7fb693…
06-11 12:24:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0x68fc7a…
06-11 09:20:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6bc58b…
06-11 08:04:43	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x1663b5…
06-09 12:44:28	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x1b8fcd…
06-09 12:31:24	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x236517…
06-08 05:37:33	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0xed7fde…
06-07 20:38:42	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0xde0113…
06-07 20:18:10	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xc69595…
06-07 20:15:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x4d024e…
06-07 01:23:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x5c99b0…
06-07 01:18:34	will ethereum dip to 1000 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	34	5¢	$2	0xf76c4b…
06-05 22:16:15	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x1af8ec…
06-05 22:13:00	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0xda0637…
06-05 14:22:43	will wti crude oil wti hit high 125 in june	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x14c4e6…
06-04 01:49:21	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa6c67d…
06-04 01:49:03	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0xeed452…
06-04 00:30:49	will ethereum dip to 1000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x2000f0…
06-04 00:25:19	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	44	3¢	$1	0x53b28b…
05-31 02:28:01	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xdb3172…
05-30 20:13:55	Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x846929…
05-30 18:00:13	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0x06eee2…
05-30 16:52:49	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x26dc9d…
05-30 12:20:49	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0xc8c786…
05-30 08:52:28	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	25	10¢	$3	0xddaf0c…
05-30 06:27:48	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x60ef13…
05-30 01:09:41	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x03e8ec…
05-29 22:03:15	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x5d5488…
05-29 22:02:02	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x786e1c…
05-29 18:00:11	Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xb6e9fd…
05-29 14:33:00	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	No	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0xa3080f…
05-29 08:11:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x9fd511…
05-29 00:29:53	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x05164f…
05-28 21:41:06	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	No	SELL	28	8¢	$2	0xf63df0…
05-28 15:36:34	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x2771f8…
05-28 06:19:42	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6c29be…
05-27 18:02:13	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	No	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x750de6…
05-27 17:55:34	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	No	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xcb04bf…
05-26 23:31:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	No	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xc611bf…
05-26 06:39:41	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe4af2a…
05-25 17:16:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xe94da6…
05-23 21:25:45	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x8ba5fc…
05-23 19:50:33	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xc17e81…
05-21 20:22:06	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x9db5c8…
05-21 14:59:05	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	18	3¢	$0	0x1dc83e…
05-20 15:26:34	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	No	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0xab299a…
05-20 02:10:09	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$0	0x462dfa…
05-19 20:05:09	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	Yes	SELL	330	2¢	$8	0xdb9700…
05-19 20:04:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	28	6¢	$2	0xedb721…
05-19 20:04:53	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0xd8a314…
05-11 17:17:06	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xbd3089…
05-07 19:07:02	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1df4e2…
05-07 19:05:59	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x90b0d6…
05-07 19:05:51	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xf40fc8…
05-07 19:04:58	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	330	3¢	$10	0x08f8e1…
05-07 19:02:54	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x6b27f2…
05-07 19:00:55	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	BUY	140	4¢	$6	0xca5910…
05-07 18:56:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x3108d6…
05-07 18:48:33	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x85975a…
05-07 18:46:30	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	106	2¢	$2	0xb5a735…
05-07 18:45:38	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	153	5¢	$7	0x8dc977…
05-06 21:57:02	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x583f74…
05-06 21:52:41	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xad237d…
05-06 21:52:33	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x08ac09…
05-06 21:51:45	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x778cea…
05-06 21:49:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0xa83c6a…
05-06 21:49:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x058e6a…
05-06 21:47:33	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	17¢	$0	0xce8ecf…
05-06 21:47:32	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xbb4628…
05-06 21:47:32	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x03618d…
05-06 21:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x3ebbf4…
05-06 21:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9758a4…
05-06 21:37:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	400	3¢	$14	0x0123ff…
05-06 21:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x401aa2…
05-06 21:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa1bb7d…
05-06 21:06:47	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd4567e…
05-06 21:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdc7b8c…
05-06 21:01:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xaa8e83…
05-06 20:58:12	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x203a44…
05-06 20:57:41	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xf3a085…
05-06 20:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7cfd11…