Realized P&L
-$2.00K
Unrealized P&L
+$109
Hit rate
60.1%
Resolved
5,704
Trades
96,507
lifetime
Volume
$2.04M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$1.96K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 19:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 280 days
Categories
Other
74% 39% -$3,751
Sports
11% 44% +$1,026
Politics
11% 39% +$2,334
Crypto
3% 31% -$1,229
Pop-Culture
1% 60% +$382
Tech
1% 25% -$762
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 373 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No -993 -$537 75¢ $-744 -$208 11-04 01:28
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No +327 $296 97¢ $318 +$22 09-28 22:32
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -264 -$260 97¢ $-256 +$4 08-13 21:10
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +235 $116 69¢ $162 +$45 10-21 08:36
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -193 -$142 81¢ $-156 -$14 09-06 03:09
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -920 -$48 14¢ $-130 -$82 05-16 14:01
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes +278 $26 16¢ $44 +$19 10-31 21:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +125 $136 22¢ $28 -$108 11-03 13:32
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,094 -$99 2¢ $-27 +$72 07-24 15:29
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,450 -$202 2¢ $-25 +$176 06-30 07:27
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,250 -$36 2¢ $-21 +$16 05-08 05:09
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes -796 -$55 2¢ $-12 +$43 07-20 15:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +9 $10 100¢ $9 -$1 09-16 14:20
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes -105 -$27 3¢ $-3 +$24 08-30 23:31
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +191 $5 1¢ $3 -$2 10-31 12:38
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes +116 -$3 2¢ $3 +$6 11-03 14:53
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-30 11:33
Russia coup attempt in 2026? Yes +104 $11 2¢ $2 -$9 10-06 19:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +300 $8 1¢ $2 -$5 10-13 18:43
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? No +4 $3 55¢ $2 -$1 10-18 21:49
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +3 $10 72¢ $2 -$8 11-04 08:39
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +2 $2 84¢ $2 $0 10-30 15:09
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +34 -$15 3¢ $1 +$16 07-10 06:29
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +1 -$1 90¢ $1 +$2 11-03 23:23
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1 -$1 86¢ $1 +$2 05-30 06:26
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat? No +1 -$112 88¢ $1 +$113 11-04 19:00
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +1 -$11 98¢ $1 +$12 11-03 17:25
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +1 $22 90¢ $1 -$21 11-04 16:55
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +1 -$6 69¢ $1 +$6 11-03 20:57
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes +299 $12 0¢ $0 -$12 11-01 16:10