Realized P&L
-$2.11K
Unrealized P&L
+$433
Hit rate
60.1%
Resolved
5,687
Trades
96,417
lifetime
Volume
$2.04M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$2.26K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 14:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 279 days
Categories
Other
74% 39% -$3,837
Sports
11% 44% +$1,026
Politics
11% 39% +$2,335
Crypto
3% 31% -$1,256
Pop-Culture
1% 60% +$382
Tech
1% 25% -$762
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 373 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No -993 -$465 42¢ $-412 +$53 11-03 05:54
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No +327 $296 97¢ $318 +$22 09-28 22:32
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -264 -$260 97¢ $-256 +$4 08-13 21:10
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? No +437 $268 57¢ $251 -$16 11-03 09:22
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat? No +280 $122 89¢ $249 +$127 11-02 23:28
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +235 $230 88¢ $206 -$24 11-03 15:22
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -193 -$142 81¢ $-157 -$15 09-06 03:09
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +235 $116 64¢ $150 +$34 10-21 08:36
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? No +563 $62 12¢ $65 +$3 11-03 15:51
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -920 -$48 4¢ $-37 +$11 05-16 14:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +125 $136 26¢ $33 -$103 11-03 13:32
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,094 -$99 3¢ $-29 +$70 07-24 15:29
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,450 -$202 2¢ $-25 +$176 06-30 07:27
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,250 -$36 2¢ $-21 +$16 05-08 05:09
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes -796 -$55 2¢ $-12 +$43 07-20 15:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +9 $10 100¢ $9 -$1 09-16 14:20
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? Yes +6 $1 88¢ $5 +$5 11-03 00:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +300 $8 2¢ $5 -$2 10-13 18:43
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +191 $5 3¢ $5 +$0 10-31 12:38
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes -105 -$27 3¢ $-3 +$24 08-30 23:31
Russia coup attempt in 2026? Yes +104 $11 2¢ $3 -$9 10-06 19:55
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? No +4 $3 55¢ $2 -$1 10-18 21:49
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +34 -$15 3¢ $1 +$16 07-10 06:29
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1 -$1 96¢ $1 +$2 05-30 06:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +69 $3 0¢ $0 -$2 09-16 18:01
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1 $0 36¢ $0 +$0 08-06 09:02
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +0 -$5 58¢ $0 +$5 10-31 11:40
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1 -$8 19¢ $0 +$8 09-03 23:28
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +1 $5 42¢ $0 -$5 10-31 23:58
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? Yes +1 $8 45¢ $0 -$8 10-27 02:04