Male-Cacao 0x8929a6…47733e Create alert
whale cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.25K
Unrealized P&L
-$108
Hit rate
60.1%
Resolved
5,712
Trades
96,525
lifetime
Volume
$2.05M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$2.28K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 00:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 281 days
Categories
Other
74% 39% -$4,006
Sports
11% 44% +$1,026
Politics
11% 39% +$2,334
Crypto
3% 31% -$1,229
Pop-Culture
1% 60% +$382
Tech
1% 25% -$762
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 373 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? No -993 -$537 76¢ $-758 -$221 11-04 01:28
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -505 -$393 80¢ $-406 -$13 11-06 00:56
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No +327 $296 97¢ $318 +$22 09-28 22:32
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -264 -$260 97¢ $-255 +$5 08-13 21:10
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +209 $100 62¢ $130 +$30 11-05 21:22
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -920 -$48 13¢ $-119 -$71 05-16 14:01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? Yes +72 -$121 97¢ $70 +$190 11-06 00:55
Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election? No +297 $120 18¢ $53 -$66 10-22 09:21
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +131 $54 23¢ $31 -$24 11-05 09:55
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,094 -$99 2¢ $-27 +$72 07-24 15:29
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,450 -$202 2¢ $-27 +$175 06-30 07:27
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,250 -$36 2¢ $-21 +$16 05-08 05:09
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes -796 -$55 2¢ $-12 +$43 07-20 15:17
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? Yes +263 $79 3¢ $7 -$71 11-03 22:11
Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week? No +158 $7 3¢ $5 -$2 11-03 16:24
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 11-01 17:57
israel military action against lebanon on october 6 Yes +10 $5 40¢ $4 -$1 11-05 01:25
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? No +606 $196 1¢ $3 -$193 11-01 20:05
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +191 $5 2¢ $3 -$2 10-31 12:38
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes -105 -$27 3¢ $-3 +$24 08-30 23:31
Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026? Yes +6 $2 43¢ $3 +$1 11-05 19:14
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +3 $10 96¢ $3 -$7 11-04 08:39
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? Yes +278 $26 1¢ $2 -$23 10-31 21:06
Russia coup attempt in 2026? Yes +104 $11 2¢ $2 -$9 10-06 19:55
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? No +4 $3 54¢ $2 -$1 10-18 21:49
Will Real Sociedad win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? Yes +50 $2 4¢ $2 +$0 07-17 21:01
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat? Yes -159 -$26 1¢ $-2 +$24 07-03 19:11
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 10-30 15:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +300 $8 1¢ $2 -$6 10-13 18:43
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by November 30, 2026? No +2 $2 62¢ $1 $0 11-02 08:39