Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$847

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

608

Trades

3,693

lifetime

Volume

$165.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

$102

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 05-10 15:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Other

45% 46% -$1,938

Politics

45% 62% +$1,061

Tech

7% 59% +$162

Sports

2% 38% -$145

Pop-Culture

1% 55% +$83

Crypto

0% 50% -$69

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-10).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	+50	$30	92¢	$46	+$16	05-10 15:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+50	$28	70¢	$35	+$7	05-04 06:27
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+50	$20	30¢	$15	-$5	04-30 20:14
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	+50	$18	8¢	$4	-$14	04-28 15:52
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+50	$20	3¢	$2	-$19	04-28 16:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	52	$8.4K	9,637	4,970	+4,668	No	-$295	02-12 22:14
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	64	$5.3K	10,996	476	+10,521	Yes	-$597	04-20 17:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	49	$5.1K	8,672	1,677	+6,995	No	-$243	04-24 18:53
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	69	$4.5K	5,784	4,528	+1,256	Yes	-$22	02-18 21:44
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	42	$4.1K	6,821	618	+6,203	Yes	+$372	04-21 15:23
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	35	$3.1K	6,043	200	+5,843	Yes	+$115	04-21 08:49
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	67	$3.0K	5,631	268	+5,363	Yes	+$186	04-24 02:49
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	32	$2.6K	2,196	2,185	+11	Yes	+$329	02-23 12:05
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	14	$2.4K	4,453	212	+4,241	No	+$53	01-31 13:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	27	$2.3K	4,293	366	+3,927	No	+$44	04-25 17:08
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	35	$2.3K	3,003	2,014	+989	No	-$82	01-31 13:57
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	18	$2.2K	2,685	1,656	+1,029	No	-$71	02-19 15:28
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	57	$2.2K	3,872	310	+3,563	No	-$136	01-28 14:45
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	17	$2.1K	1,800	1,000	+800	Yes	+$68	04-10 21:10
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	28	$2.0K	3,445	800	+2,645	Yes	+$23	04-07 22:33
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	22	$1.7K	4,397	0	+4,397	Yes	-$106	04-05 03:24
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	30	$1.7K	2,514	865	+1,649	No	+$21	01-31 13:49
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	13	$1.7K	1,995	805	+1,189	Yes	+$70	04-06 08:20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	11	$1.6K	1,732	668	+1,063	No	+$122	04-11 00:28
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	20	$1.5K	2,911	1,974	+937	Yes	+$283	02-19 13:11
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	23	$1.4K	1,528	1,528	+0	Yes	+$2	02-19 12:36
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes 281	14	$1.4K	3,147	0	+3,147	No	-$15	01-25 02:17
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	17	$1.4K	2,326	370	+1,957	No	+$69	01-28 14:53
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	14	$1.3K	969	934	+35	No	+$77	04-24 18:53
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	24	$1.3K	2,065	737	+1,327	No	-$15	02-03 17:35
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	2	$1.3K	692	692	+0	No	+$28	02-23 12:15
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	16	$1.3K	1,761	404	+1,357	No	+$73	04-10 22:56
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	16	$1.2K	2,605	76	+2,529	Yes	+$112	04-15 20:39
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	25	$1.2K	1,091	509	+582	No	+$9	04-24 20:20
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	20	$1.1K	1,809	382	+1,428	Yes	+$23	04-06 10:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 15:16:57	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x974f25…
05-10 15:10:09	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x21ee6e…
05-05 10:14:34	Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?	No	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xbe57e7…
05-05 10:13:10	Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?	No	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0xdc4c0c…
05-04 06:27:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x686585…
05-01 06:45:52	Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x52ad65…
04-30 20:14:52	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	16	40¢	$7	0x3da2ed…
04-30 12:12:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xfda298…
04-30 12:12:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x5e2509…
04-30 12:11:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x103147…
04-30 12:08:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x82f916…
04-30 09:33:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x8ad2e7…
04-29 18:23:22	Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0xe613f5…
04-29 05:40:14	Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?	No	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x4135de…
04-28 19:15:40	Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?	No	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xc4c555…
04-28 18:05:04	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x12cde4…
04-28 17:44:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x9fcff7…
04-28 16:18:52	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xdd9b9f…
04-28 15:52:10	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x9fd685…
04-27 22:45:52	Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?	Yes	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0xab25a2…
04-27 20:40:22	Will Merck & Co (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x378834…
04-27 17:58:00	Will Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	60	69¢	$41	0x52ab46…
04-27 16:47:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	59¢	$12	0x545d3f…
04-27 16:47:14	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xb5e458…
04-27 16:22:14	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	57¢	$80	0xee6a80…
04-27 16:17:38	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	67¢	$134	0xace788…
04-27 16:04:08	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	Yes	SELL	18	6¢	$1	0x88ab67…
04-27 02:13:56	Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	53	30¢	$16	0x419ad9…
04-27 00:33:00	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	67	12¢	$8	0x9e0fda…
04-27 00:30:10	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	35	12¢	$4	0x06ed0a…
04-26 22:08:18	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	Yes	SELL	42	19¢	$8	0x43303f…
04-26 22:07:24	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	Yes	SELL	58	19¢	$11	0x1f8f06…
04-26 21:11:40	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x07c9e1…
04-26 20:48:28	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	No	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xf7197b…
04-26 18:39:02	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x1fc0a4…
04-26 16:48:58	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xe67a6b…
04-26 15:28:42	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	SELL	55	11¢	$6	0x1fe228…
04-26 15:28:26	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	SELL	26	11¢	$3	0x2b3623…
04-26 15:28:06	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	SELL	39	11¢	$4	0x352dca…
04-26 13:22:00	Will Aflac (AFL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xc1815d…
04-26 07:20:16	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x68fe08…
04-26 01:58:44	Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	No	SELL	39	94¢	$36	0x061bd6…
04-26 01:38:14	Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	32	30¢	$10	0xd74cbc…
04-26 01:17:44	Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xe9115d…
04-26 00:23:42	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	Yes	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0xbc52fc…
04-25 20:54:04	tmus quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 2pt01	No	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0xf553ef…
04-25 20:39:26	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xcf72d4…
04-25 20:38:54	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?	No	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x57196b…
04-25 19:23:38	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	No	SELL	687	9¢	$62	0xfc21f5…
04-25 18:18:40	Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xff7510…
04-25 17:15:52	Will Merck & Co (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x4f8c50…
04-25 17:08:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	166	72¢	$120	0x333485…
04-25 15:45:26	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xdc2703…
04-25 15:18:00	Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x417e80…
04-25 14:03:00	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xa966d0…
04-25 13:06:56	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0xe3c9e8…
04-25 13:05:08	Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x41fb3a…
04-25 12:49:26	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xc3e361…
04-25 12:19:36	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xaa25f7…
04-25 11:56:38	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	240	90¢	$216	0x10bb66…
04-25 11:41:18	Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	150	98¢	$147	0x7b311a…
04-25 11:11:22	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	75	60¢	$45	0xa0483e…
04-25 11:05:48	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xed37f6…
04-25 10:22:26	Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	99	5¢	$5	0x1d5d80…
04-25 10:21:16	Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x84b975…
04-25 09:27:58	Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0xea69c5…
04-25 07:55:36	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	36¢	$25	0xb44dcb…
04-25 07:39:48	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0x414809…
04-25 07:38:26	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	No	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0xba56a2…
04-25 07:27:02	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	184	20¢	$37	0x95038c…
04-25 06:52:54	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	51	23¢	$12	0x01e6e8…
04-25 06:13:00	Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x7d0974…
04-25 05:53:08	Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	31	5¢	$2	0x14e8cc…
04-25 05:23:38	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x33110e…
04-25 04:26:04	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	39	23¢	$9	0xde6b0f…
04-25 04:11:28	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x6ec204…
04-25 03:24:08	Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0x61d366…
04-25 02:35:50	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0xefb0e3…
04-25 02:04:30	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0x2502da…
04-25 01:43:00	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x634211…
04-25 01:34:52	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	71¢	$22	0xd20aa6…
04-25 01:30:04	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	71¢	$9	0xf37e7c…
04-25 01:23:16	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0xa2291e…
04-25 00:44:30	Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	106	8¢	$9	0x0ee8fb…
04-25 00:36:10	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Nothing	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x465586…
04-25 00:14:24	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x5b08ce…
04-24 23:01:42	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xab08e2…
04-24 22:42:12	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x5dd951…
04-24 22:31:40	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xf8cf34…
04-24 22:01:14	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	313	15¢	$47	0x4d69e2…
04-24 21:23:04	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x9e63c9…
04-24 21:12:56	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0xe6dcde…
04-24 21:06:12	Will Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x479b44…
04-24 21:00:30	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	91¢	$26	0xb76e4e…
04-24 21:00:26	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x23e37f…
04-24 20:59:36	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xd274ae…
04-24 20:33:34	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	138	41¢	$57	0xf0bfe9…
04-24 20:28:32	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	64	96¢	$61	0x153b40…
04-24 20:20:30	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0xe256cd…
04-24 20:09:06	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x73f191…