Tired-Pear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

206

lifetime

Volume

$453

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 07-30 20:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

42% 0% $-5

Other

36% 0% $-11

Sports

14% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President before 2027?	4	$35	409	0	+409	open	—	07-30 20:13
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	5	$29	2,703	0	+2,703	open	—	07-09 18:23
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	2	$26	79	79	+0	open	—	05-15 21:20
Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	05-12 18:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$10	250	0	+250	open	—	05-18 08:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	3,333	0	+3,333	open	—	04-24 10:10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	3,333	0	+3,333	open	—	04-24 10:10
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-15 18:16
Trump out as President by June 30?	6	$7	594	0	+594	open	—	06-14 18:21
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$7	250	250	+0	open	—	05-13 06:11
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	2	$7	12	12	+0	open	—	04-26 20:19
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$7	333	333	+0	open	—	05-26 09:59
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	07-06 21:05
will elon musk attend ufc freedom 250	2	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	06-15 05:12
world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	06-28 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	05-28 20:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$5	318	0	+318	open	—	05-18 17:04
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?	2	$5	24	0	+24	open	—	07-06 21:28
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	1	$5	80	0	+80	open	—	04-24 11:45
european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	1	$5	65	0	+65	open	—	07-11 14:35
Will David Guetta perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	3	$5	205	0	+205	open	—	07-06 21:13
Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	66	0	+66	open	—	05-09 07:26
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	2	$5	358	0	+358	open	—	05-09 14:52
kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	1	$5	56	0	+56	open	—	07-11 17:08
James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	1	$5	42	0	+42	No	$-5	04-30 15:25
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	06-09 19:41
JD Vance out as VP by June 30?	2	$5	374	0	+374	open	—	05-31 23:08
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-15 09:48
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	4	$4	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	05-17 14:14
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$4	333	0	+333	open	—	04-24 10:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 20:13:41	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x45becd…
07-20 06:30:01	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x0e2b21…
07-11 17:08:14	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x4c5734…
07-11 14:35:13	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0xebcb15…
07-09 18:23:44	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0xc90eb3…
07-09 18:23:10	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xdf2a2c…
07-08 08:54:31	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x4e68c7…
07-06 21:54:10	Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	91	0¢	$0	0x4b2ef3…
07-06 21:51:47	Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x2505aa…
07-06 21:43:01	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb8b6c6…
07-06 21:28:20	Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x3f46d7…
07-06 21:13:19	Will David Guetta perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	105	3¢	$3	0x73440e…
07-06 21:12:22	Will David Guetta perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcc3df6…
07-06 21:11:50	Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7f555f…
07-06 21:11:31	Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc485e3…
07-06 21:05:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xca020c…
07-06 21:03:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x506c92…
07-06 12:53:23	Will Rauw Alejandro perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xeea884…
07-06 12:52:58	Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x844039…
07-06 12:52:37	Will Davido perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x1574e3…
07-06 12:52:22	Will Rosalía perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x1f41a0…
07-06 12:51:58	Will Ozuna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	145	1¢	$1	0x3601bf…
07-06 12:51:50	Will Anuel AA perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xfe9942…
07-06 12:40:44	Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6454dc…
07-06 12:37:25	Will David Guetta perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa44cc2…
07-06 12:35:23	world cup folarin balogun to play vspt belgium 20260702164610264	No	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0x5c9998…
07-04 09:48:10	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xdfc563…
07-04 09:34:11	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xc86a74…
07-04 08:29:32	Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xba7949…
07-01 22:47:53	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc60139…
06-30 08:29:08	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0x309e00…
06-29 18:41:25	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x91cbb6…
06-28 18:11:41	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	431	1¢	$6	0x7eb9f4…
06-28 04:35:04	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	753	1¢	$10	0xb0be6d…
06-28 04:34:17	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xffe262…
06-27 20:44:58	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xc7f557…
06-26 10:21:02	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x0f8eb0…
06-22 15:16:40	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xecec2a…
06-16 12:39:51	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x2d8f55…
06-16 12:37:51	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x2551f0…
06-15 05:12:40	will elon musk attend ufc freedom 250	No	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xcf30b4…
06-14 18:21:49	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x4772d7…
06-14 15:48:36	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in june	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xd877dd…
06-14 15:41:39	will elon musk attend ufc freedom 250	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xba7527…
06-14 14:16:24	btc updown 5m 1781446500	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8c20c2…
06-14 08:39:52	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1234e3…
06-12 22:53:43	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x627c30…
06-12 22:50:54	Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x2f24d1…
06-12 11:56:24	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xa5070b…
06-12 11:53:52	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd39c2b…
06-12 11:49:46	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xa9f44e…
06-10 12:26:36	Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x8088a8…
06-10 12:26:01	world cup ronaldo to score a free kick 20260605004640793	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x907ec0…
06-10 12:24:37	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x328cb4…
06-09 19:44:18	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0x969cc5…
06-09 19:41:46	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x269b59…
06-09 19:40:01	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xbe0bea…
06-09 19:39:21	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x114d94…
06-09 19:38:22	Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x5278a1…
06-09 19:38:00	Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x20081e…
06-09 14:18:28	will marco rubio attend nato summit	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x796b81…
06-09 14:18:19	will jd vance attend nato summit	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa9e96d…
06-03 16:24:03	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xe11c30…
06-03 16:23:57	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x5d0922…
06-03 15:13:39	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x8f2607…
06-03 02:37:01	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0x84c386…
06-02 00:17:19	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xa5370b…
06-02 00:05:04	Will Trump say "Affordable" or "Affordability" in June?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x51fbce…
06-02 00:04:54	Will Trump say "Dog" in June?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc0a62c…
06-02 00:04:03	Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in June?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1a5a7f…
06-02 00:03:33	Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in June?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf78d7b…
06-01 23:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x601ee2…
06-01 00:05:44	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x1ac1cd…
05-31 23:50:09	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Flame Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Flame Team	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6ed1bb…
05-31 23:49:32	Dota 2: Rostik999 Club vs VooDooSh Club - Game 1 Winner	VooDooSh Club	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x10ef59…
05-31 23:43:39	Dota 2: Rostik999 Club vs VooDooSh Club - Game 1 Winner	VooDooSh Club	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x664112…
05-31 23:42:25	Dota 2: Rostik999 Club vs VooDooSh Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group B	VooDooSh Club	BUY	205	0¢	$1	0x53a94e…
05-31 23:25:36	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8f5cf9…
05-31 23:22:23	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x5b516b…
05-31 23:17:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xfc412d…
05-31 23:15:25	Will Trump say "Coward" this week?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x1143cb…
05-31 23:15:11	Will Trump say "No No No" this week?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x79cb26…
05-31 23:14:55	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xa4912d…
05-31 23:08:16	JD Vance out as VP by June 15?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x7a8d18…
05-31 23:08:07	JD Vance out as VP by June 30?	Yes	BUY	308	1¢	$4	0x36e80a…
05-30 18:56:12	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0d54bd…
05-28 23:22:43	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x182e58…
05-28 23:21:40	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0180bb…
05-28 20:49:02	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xca63ba…
05-28 20:35:58	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0dd79a…
05-28 20:35:16	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf3d800…
05-28 20:32:09	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xd82bab…
05-28 20:32:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xac306e…
05-28 20:27:22	Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	FaZe	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0xe02a8a…
05-28 20:25:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe09e7b…
05-28 20:24:36	Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	FaZe	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0be5e4…
05-28 20:24:06	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x639202…
05-28 20:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x187cb3…
05-28 20:10:30	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x65bd04…
05-28 20:09:13	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x58f281…