Will Rauw Alejandro perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
open
Total volume
$1,860
Trades
81
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$1
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-07-19
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-29 10:08
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.1¢
(top1%: 6% YES on $50
vs crowd: 8% YES on $1.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $11 | $822 | $811 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $56 | $189 | $133 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $22 | $47 | $25 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $4 | $22 | $18 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $3 | $47 | $44 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $0 | $94 | $93 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 2 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $23 | $66 | $43 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $52 | $228 | $176 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $3 | $642 | $640 |
| unranked | 2 | $9 | — | +$9 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | +307 | $287 | $755 | 4 | 06-29 10:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d02…bfec | Yes | +214 | $8 | $8 | 9 | 06-29 04:03 |
| First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | Yes | +154 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-02 18:05 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +57 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-29 01:49 |
| andy29 0xa75c…895e | Yes | +50 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-22 13:11 |
| andy29 0xa75c…895e | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 06-22 08:17 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +39 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-25 18:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xf638…2d28 | Yes | +34 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-13 20:00 |
| Grim-Cob 0x9e8e…8db8 | No | +20 | $15 | $172 | 4 | 06-25 18:47 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +20 | $0 | $1 | 3 | 06-29 10:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +20 | $15 | $115 | 2 | 06-25 18:44 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | +18 | $12 | $338 | 4 | 06-28 09:58 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-22 13:11 |
| Open-Nitrogen 0x2a85…54c1 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-29 18:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xca4c…186f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 18:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 10:08:53 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x707b8f… |
| 06-29 10:08:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x707b8f… |
| 06-29 08:19:16 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x9373c3… |
| 06-29 08:19:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9373c3… |
| 06-29 04:03:53 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7b2885… |
| 06-29 04:03:53 | (anonymous) 0x4d02…bfec | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7b2885… |
| 06-29 01:49:46 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 95 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9c32c7… |
| 06-29 01:49:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9c32c7… |
| 06-29 01:49:46 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | SELL | 227 | 99¢ | $224 | 0x9c32c7… |
| 06-29 01:49:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 57 | 98¢ | $56 | 0x9c32c7… |
| 06-29 01:49:46 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9c32c7… |
| 06-29 01:49:46 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9c32c7… |
| 06-28 12:58:58 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7025cd… |
| 06-28 12:58:58 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7025cd… |
| 06-28 09:58:19 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | SELL | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x449635… |
| 06-28 09:58:19 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x449635… |
| 06-28 09:44:14 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1da465… |
| 06-28 09:44:14 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1da465… |
| 06-28 09:44:14 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 250 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x1da465… |
| 06-28 09:44:14 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1da465… |
| 06-28 09:44:14 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1da465… |
| 06-28 09:44:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1da465… |
| 06-27 02:23:16 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xcd43f6… |
| 06-27 02:23:16 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xcd43f6… |
| 06-27 02:22:47 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | SELL | 65 | 99¢ | $64 | 0x20447a… |
| 06-27 02:22:47 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $49 | 0x20447a… |
| 06-27 02:22:47 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x20447a… |
| 06-25 18:47:31 | (anonymous) 0x4d02…bfec | Yes | BUY | 27 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4d9d9a… |
| 06-25 18:47:31 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 134 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x4d9d9a… |
| 06-25 18:47:31 | Grim-Cob 0x9e8e…8db8 | No | SELL | 80 | 98¢ | $79 | 0x4d9d9a… |
| 06-25 18:46:56 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 122 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x11d887… |
| 06-25 18:46:56 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 122 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x11d887… |
| 06-25 18:46:55 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 262 | 4¢ | $9 | 0x5e3b87… |
| 06-25 18:46:55 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 262 | 4¢ | $9 | 0x5e3b87… |
| 06-25 18:44:49 | (anonymous) 0x4d02…bfec | Yes | BUY | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa98677… |
| 06-25 18:44:49 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa98677… |
| 06-25 18:44:47 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 101 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x36efc6… |
| 06-25 18:44:47 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x36efc6… |
| 06-25 18:44:47 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x36efc6… |
| 06-25 18:44:44 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x404d7d… |
| 06-25 18:44:44 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x404d7d… |
| 06-25 18:44:44 | (anonymous) 0x4d02…bfec | Yes | BUY | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x404d7d… |
| 06-25 18:44:10 | (anonymous) 0x4d02…bfec | Yes | BUY | 58 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x81f834… |
| 06-25 18:44:10 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | BUY | 150 | 96¢ | $144 | 0x81f834… |
| 06-25 18:44:10 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x81f834… |
| 06-25 18:44:10 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x81f834… |
| 06-25 18:44:08 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | BUY | 544 | 96¢ | $521 | 0x1dcab6… |
| 06-25 18:44:08 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 494 | 4¢ | $21 | 0x1dcab6… |
| 06-25 18:44:08 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x1dcab6… |
| 06-25 16:09:47 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 105 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x20fdff… |
| 06-25 16:09:47 | (anonymous) 0x4d02…bfec | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x20fdff… |
| 06-25 16:09:47 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x20fdff… |
| 06-25 16:09:47 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x20fdff… |
| 06-22 13:11:22 | andy29 0xa75c…895e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x197ab2… |
| 06-22 13:11:22 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x197ab2… |
| 06-22 13:11:22 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 45 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x197ab2… |
| 06-22 08:17:01 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 150 | 6¢ | $9 | 0x17019a… |
| 06-22 08:17:01 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x17019a… |
| 06-22 08:17:01 | andy29 0xa75c…895e | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x17019a… |
| 06-22 08:17:01 | Grim-Cob 0x9e8e…8db8 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x17019a… |
| 06-13 20:00:39 | (anonymous) 0x873e…4ef4 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb9e615… |
| 06-13 20:00:39 | Grim-Cob 0x9e8e…8db8 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xb9e615… |
| 06-13 20:00:39 | (anonymous) 0xf638…2d28 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xb9e615… |
| 06-02 18:05:23 | First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | Yes | BUY | 55 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x2c381a… |
| 06-02 18:05:23 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x2c381a… |
| 06-02 18:03:22 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x314628… |
| 06-02 18:03:22 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 154 | 5¢ | $8 | 0x314628… |
| 06-02 18:03:22 | First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | Yes | BUY | 99 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x314628… |
| 05-30 10:21:19 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | BUY | 33 | 94¢ | $31 | 0x0633af… |
| 05-30 10:21:19 | (anonymous) 0x873e…4ef4 | No | SELL | 19 | 94¢ | $18 | 0x0633af… |
| 05-30 10:21:19 | (anonymous) 0x873e…4ef4 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0633af… |
| 05-29 20:30:34 | Waterlogged-Historian 0x0e7f…8605 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3ce984… |
| 05-29 20:30:34 | (anonymous) 0x873e…4ef4 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x3ce984… |
| 05-29 18:43:31 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x1a7886… |
| 05-29 18:43:31 | Open-Nitrogen 0x2a85…54c1 | No | BUY | 3 | 60¢ | $2 | 0x1a7886… |
| 05-29 18:43:24 | Waterlogged-Historian 0x0e7f…8605 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x5d3b09… |
| 05-29 18:43:24 | (anonymous) 0xca4c…186f | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x5d3b09… |
| 05-29 18:43:19 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 151 | 7¢ | $11 | 0x33b4d5… |
| 05-29 18:43:19 | Grim-Cob 0x9e8e…8db8 | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x33b4d5… |
| 05-29 18:43:19 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 71 | 92¢ | $65 | 0x33b4d5… |
| 05-29 18:43:19 | (anonymous) 0x873e…4ef4 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x33b4d5… |