Rosy-Suppression — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.96K

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

66.1%

Resolved

1,682

Trades

4,720

lifetime

Volume

$61.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-03-30

last 10-29 21:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 140 days

Categories

Other

77% 53% +$570

Sports

16% 68% +$670

Politics

7% 57% +$680

Pop-Culture

1% 88% +$46

Crypto

0% 33% -$4

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes		+31	$14	72¢	$22	+$9	09-06 23:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	12	$711	586	545	+41	No	-$169	09-17 15:19
will trump say ballroom this week 20260719005322440	2	$385	196	196	+0	Yes	+$4	07-22 20:02
Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 4?	23	$298	620	0	+620	No	+$12	10-04 20:08
where will it rain on september 28 2026 denver co	15	$260	256	65	+191	No	-$3	09-29 05:00
Will Rodney Glassman be the Arizona Attorney General Republican nominee?	4	$247	148	125	+23	No	+$1	07-20 04:15
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	48	$246	215	176	+39	No	+$87	08-18 23:39
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	8	$242	200	168	+31	open	—	09-06 23:00
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	14	$240	267	115	+152	No	+$19	08-29 02:40
where will it rain on september 30 2026 boston ma	12	$236	396	9	+387	Yes	-$48	09-30 11:43
will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034690	3	$233	200	100	+100	Yes	-$55	07-01 17:53
Will it rain in Seattle, WA on September 29?	6	$229	241	10	+231	Yes	-$11	09-30 01:48
Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 5?	17	$228	330	0	+330	No	-$28	10-06 03:32
where will it rain on september 23 2026 phoenix az	9	$226	314	0	+314	No	+$16	09-24 01:37
Will it rain in Miami, FL on September 22?	4	$223	204	70	+134	Yes	+$22	09-22 10:19
Will "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?	20	$211	150	100	+50	Yes	+$5	08-17 07:12
will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809463	11	$209	171	68	+103	Yes	-$37	06-26 00:55
Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on October 14?	6	$202	234	148	+86	Yes	+$29	10-15 13:24
where will it rain on september 30 2026 miami fl	5	$202	382	0	+382	Yes	-$2	09-30 05:25
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	20	$200	299	68	+231	Yes	+$21	06-26 22:05
where will it rain on september 30 2026 phoenix az	8	$199	347	0	+347	No	$0	09-30 11:42
Will "Turning Point: Generation 9/11" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	11	$197	160	109	+51	Yes	-$7	09-07 19:16
where will it rain on september 16 2026 new york ny	8	$197	391	0	+391	No	+$3	09-16 17:14
will the announcers say hattrick hat trick during the canada vs qatar fifa world cup match 20260616212316352	2	$196	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	06-18 22:38
will the announcers say messi during the canada vs qatar fifa world cup match 20260616212316353	2	$195	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	06-18 22:38
Will it rain in New York, NY on October 3?	15	$195	367	0	+367	No	+$5	10-03 10:36
where will it rain on september 19 2026 san francisco ca	5	$195	200	0	+200	No	+$5	09-19 15:13
will trump say landslide this week 20260719005322448	2	$194	200	0	+200	Yes	+$6	07-22 21:10
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	2	$194	100	100	+0	No	$0	09-07 15:39
Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 4?	13	$194	400	0	+400	No	+$6	10-04 17:28
will the announcers say ronaldo during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032829	4	$194	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	07-03 18:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 21:10:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x96ff5a…
10-29 19:59:52	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0xbe652e…
10-29 19:31:42	Will Democrats win fewer than 8 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3b89f7…
10-29 19:16:09	Will Democrats win fewer than 3 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe44f22…
10-29 19:00:25	where will it rain on october 30 2026 boston ma	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8d8efb…
10-29 15:35:32	Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x27d76f…
10-29 13:26:14	Will "Love Is Blind: S11: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x3970ac…
10-29 11:07:53	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0x625b3a…
10-29 09:51:49	Will "Surviving Hurricane Otis" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xbcd66e…
10-29 09:00:04	Will Democrats win exactly 19 House seats in New York in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x546de2…
10-29 06:22:37	Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x3a8dc0…
10-29 05:51:43	Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4985a8…
10-29 05:51:37	Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xee2859…
10-29 05:20:38	Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x583e90…
10-29 02:09:11	Set 1 Winner: Alycia Parks vs Kimberly Birrell	Alycia Parks	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xd913eb…
10-29 00:08:34	Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1f7eed…
10-28 18:05:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x46c775…
10-28 14:43:25	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x122b48…
10-28 08:42:07	Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x26acd6…
10-28 03:04:05	W35 Sydney: Vaidehee Chaudhari vs Chia Yi Tsao	Vaidehee Chaudhari	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x917ddf…
10-27 22:54:54	M25 Las Vegas, NV: Max Wiskandt vs Andres Santamarta Roig	Andres Santamarta Roig	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xf4e7cd…
10-27 22:08:17	M25 Las Vegas, NV: Jerry Roddick vs Olaf Pieczkowski	Jerry Roddick	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x76dd4f…
10-27 21:47:11	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x2b80d2…
10-27 21:08:50	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xc1b734…
10-27 16:20:06	W35 Malta: Mara Guth vs Chelsea Fontenel	Chelsea Fontenel	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xa3e036…
10-27 12:01:06	Will Floria María Hernández Hernández win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xccda1f…
10-27 10:36:59	Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x28bd7e…
10-27 04:51:02	Set 2 Winner: Anastasia Zakharova vs Magda Linette	Magda Linette	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9b9289…
10-27 04:26:24	Will Arjun Erigaisi finish in the Top 3 of Titled Tuesday on October 27?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xfaf2ff…
10-27 03:09:00	Set 2 Winner: Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea	Maya Joint	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x41a552…
10-27 02:27:23	Will Vincent Keymer finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x00bcc1…
10-27 02:26:48	Will Vincent Keymer finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x24c698…
10-27 02:25:29	Will Vincent Keymer finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5af91c…
10-27 00:42:15	Will Wesley So finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x796288…
10-26 23:40:57	Will Arjun Erigaisi finish in the Top 3 of Titled Tuesday on October 27?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x01f2de…
10-26 22:42:00	Will Ian Nepomniachtchi finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0xc4feb5…
10-26 22:41:42	Will Wesley So finish in the Top 5 of Titled Tuesday on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x2c53c4…
10-26 22:40:57	Will Wesley So finish in the Top 5 of Titled Tuesday on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x541cea…
10-26 22:25:18	Will Magnus Carlsen finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xf563b9…
10-26 20:45:53	Utah vs. Cincinnati: O/U 57.5	Over	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x591821…
10-26 20:26:06	South Carolina State vs. Morgan State	Morgan State	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xad409e…
10-26 20:15:32	Will Arjun Erigaisi finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xe85d4a…
10-26 16:07:11	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	No	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x9774ad…
10-26 14:26:59	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x5f1fa4…
10-26 13:14:03	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xe1d488…
10-26 13:14:03	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0xde780b…
10-26 13:12:42	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x016120…
10-26 13:12:41	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x00904a…
10-26 10:19:05	Set 2 Winner: Harriet Dart vs Tatiana Prozorova	Harriet Dart	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x956934…
10-26 04:08:56	Will Alireza Firouzja win Titled Tuesday on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x454f04…
10-26 03:07:39	Set 2 Winner: Xinyu Wang vs Alycia Parks	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe0e291…
10-26 01:54:18	wta wa parks 2026 10 25 first set winner Wang vs Parks	Alycia Parks	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xc85f90…
10-26 01:40:17	Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xa208b5…
10-25 19:54:27	Rainbow Six Siege: FURIA Esports vs FaZe Clan (BO3) - Challenger League Playoffs	FaZe Clan	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xb72565…
10-25 09:27:18	Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 25?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x3142f9…
10-25 09:00:33	Will Hikaru Nakamura win Titled Tuesday on October 27?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0xf90005…
10-25 05:27:44	Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 24?	Yes	BUY	48	13¢	$6	0x0d7ff9…
10-25 05:22:53	Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 24?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x558076…
10-25 05:22:20	Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 24?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x127d91…
10-25 00:44:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x0be1ef…
10-24 21:50:44	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xec4097…
10-24 20:08:53	Overwatch: Geekay Esports vs 1234 (BO5) - OCS EMEA Stage 3 Group Stage	Geekay Esports	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x04805a…
10-24 20:07:48	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x815a3c…
10-24 19:58:42	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x2f4ea1…
10-24 19:39:47	LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x14fbbe…
10-24 18:53:27	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Rizvan Kuniev	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xb5a135…
10-24 17:46:36	Will "Animals" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd41b80…
10-24 16:23:38	UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Grant Dawson	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x0396a4…
10-24 16:04:33	UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)	Asaf Chopurov	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xa10aa0…
10-24 16:03:35	UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)	Asaf Chopurov	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x205899…
10-24 15:56:44	UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)	Colby Thicknesse	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x590cc7…
10-24 15:46:06	Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xb0bbda…
10-24 15:19:20	UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Jacob Malkoun	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0x940c2f…
10-24 14:50:33	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xf23476…
10-24 14:33:12	UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Kody Steele	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x3facf4…
10-24 14:30:14	Will "Clayface" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xabd77f…
10-24 14:29:03	Spread: Cardinals (-3.5)	Cardinals	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x4237e9…
10-24 14:20:48	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xe8c925…
10-24 14:10:45	Overwatch: JD Gaming vs OU Gaming (BO5) - OCS China Stage 3 Round Robin Stage	JD Gaming	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x6baac1…
10-24 11:19:17	Set 2 Winner: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x41d927…
10-24 11:19:15	Set 2 Winner: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x5d5918…
10-24 10:30:54	Overwatch: Poker Face vs SEIJI ESPORTS (BO5) - OCS Korea Stage 3 Regular Season	SEIJI ESPORTS	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4c4812…
10-24 08:46:12	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7f2954…
10-24 07:00:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x249d27…
10-24 05:43:54	Set 1 Winner: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xcdc228…
10-24 04:53:08	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x11af5f…
10-24 03:33:53	M25 Tamworth: Isaac Becroft vs Casey Hoole	Isaac Becroft	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xd19083…
10-24 03:29:18	M25 Tamworth: Isaac Becroft vs Casey Hoole	Casey Hoole	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x91e468…
10-24 02:45:53	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0xa5ce8f…
10-24 00:33:24	W75 Saguenay: Sara Saito vs Ariana Arseneault	Ariana Arseneault	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x3bd9ee…
10-23 21:26:51	W35 Bakersfield, CA: Jo-Yee Chan vs Hanna Chang	Hanna Chang	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x299d01…
10-23 21:08:56	W35 Bakersfield, CA: Jo-Yee Chan vs Hanna Chang	Jo-Yee Chan	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xbfe6ac…
10-23 18:49:23	Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on October 23?	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0xf12808…
10-23 18:48:32	Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on October 23?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0xdd0cc6…
10-23 18:46:12	Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on October 23?	Yes	BUY	76	4¢	$3	0x94ecdc…
10-23 18:45:17	Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on October 23?	Yes	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0x7f1fec…
10-23 18:24:11	Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on October 23?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0x55b126…
10-23 18:18:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x0b4f9a…
10-23 17:54:15	Will "Clayface" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xc831cb…
10-23 17:32:35	Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 23?	Yes	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0x64fd1b…