Realized P&L
+$573
Unrealized P&L
+$1.73K
Hit rate
79.8%
Resolved
117
Trades
561
lifetime
Volume
$70.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$126
Open exposure
$15.4K
15 positions
First seen
2026-06-19
last 10-29 07:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
66% 71% +$1,024
Politics
30% 47% -$533
Sports
2% 100% +$57
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$21
Crypto
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +3,511 $2,943 92¢ $3.2K +$269 10-27 21:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,049 $2,448 82¢ $2.5K +$36 10-29 07:50
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +2,600 $1,999 84¢ $2.2K +$172 08-13 13:19
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? No +2,294 $1,595 90¢ $2.1K +$458 10-02 10:49
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775 No +1,450 $1,000 90¢ $1.3K +$305 08-13 03:31
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +1,137 $880 86¢ $984 +$104 08-19 11:30
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +774 $650 91¢ $704 +$54 08-24 07:26
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +672 $600 94¢ $629 +$29 10-12 01:03
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +801 $500 77¢ $617 +$117 10-12 01:05
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +444 $235 94¢ $417 +$182 08-26 03:23
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +291 $250 92¢ $267 +$17 10-12 01:03
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +244 $200 92¢ $223 +$23 09-21 07:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +714 $200 26¢ $189 -$11 10-29 07:52
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +110 $93 86¢ $95 +$2 08-27 17:58
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? Yes +0 $30 26¢ $0 -$30 09-26 04:53