Profitable-Recorder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$91.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.9%

Resolved

1,861

Trades

9,337

lifetime

Volume

$12.2M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.31K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 08-04 13:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 168 days

Categories

Politics

62% 96% +$76,532

Other

27% 98% +$18,066

Sports

6% 96% -$8,262

Tech

3% 97% +$564

Pop-Culture

1% 97% +$3,361

Crypto

1% 96% +$720

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	154	$277.6K	121,695	156,257	-34,561	Yes	+$87	06-08 00:17
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	78	$272.1K	273,681	0	+273,681	No	+$1,573	07-04 22:40
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	1	$224.6K	224,811	0	+224,811	Yes	+$225	05-23 18:00
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	181	$207.6K	165,902	127,505	+38,398	Yes	-$8,840	02-28 09:23
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	39	$192.7K	193,060	4,623	+188,436	Yes	-$13,080	07-07 20:58
will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	30	$190.6K	189,999	751	+189,248	No	+$189	06-28 13:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	60	$173.1K	101,876	79,863	+22,013	No	-$4,945	05-26 00:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	94	$158.6K	57,389	101,913	-44,524	Yes	+$110	04-10 07:07
iran closes its airspace by june 8	29	$149.7K	150,930	0	+150,930	Yes	+$1,199	06-07 23:06
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$127.8K	128,080	0	+128,080	No	+$256	04-28 10:31
Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	1	$126.6K	126,833	0	+126,833	Yes	+$221	04-28 04:15
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	32	$116.3K	124,624	0	+124,624	Yes	+$8,281	06-15 02:47
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	87	$115.3K	70,443	70,443	+0	Yes	+$8,143	04-08 01:06
Sweeny vs. Wu: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	5	$105.2K	105,522	0	+105,522	Over	+$306	04-21 07:33
will iran strike israel on march 10	133	$103.6K	59,862	62,291	-2,429	Yes	-$7,703	03-16 00:35
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	66	$102.5K	49,896	61,398	-11,502	Yes	+$8,536	02-09 10:56
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	19	$102.2K	102,314	0	+102,314	No	+$102	07-07 19:52
president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	173	$100.8K	103,133	15	+103,118	Yes	+$2,321	07-19 18:24
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	84	$100.7K	48,019	54,020	-6,001	Yes	+$1,151	02-03 13:56
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	58	$98.9K	99,794	0	+99,794	Yes	+$916	05-02 08:09
starmer out by july 31 2026	5	$96.4K	96,627	0	+96,627	Yes	+$181	06-22 08:36
will galbot have robot dancers at the 2026 spring festival gala	8	$95.0K	95,064	0	+95,064	Yes	+$95	02-16 18:50
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	135	$94.5K	97,697	0	+97,697	No	+$3,174	02-09 23:51
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	26	$80.9K	73,596	7,508	+66,089	Yes	+$191	06-29 11:04
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	6	$79.8K	80,072	0	+80,072	No	+$233	08-01 17:08
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	11	$79.0K	79,495	0	+79,495	Yes	+$472	05-16 11:20
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	2	$79.0K	79,151	0	+79,151	Yes	+$160	03-02 11:01
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	362	$78.8K	79,717	0	+79,717	No	+$957	02-22 17:58
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	17	$78.6K	78,622	474	+78,149	Yes	+$295	05-01 23:39
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	15	$74.7K	75,768	0	+75,768	No	+$1,087	02-23 20:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 13:58:45	Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0xdc1104…
08-04 12:58:00	Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	437	99¢	$432	0x074f2b…
08-03 19:29:39	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$989	0x57ab3b…
08-03 12:49:08	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x0602a7…
08-03 08:04:06	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	596	100¢	$593	0xf388af…
08-03 08:02:17	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	267	100¢	$266	0x66bb04…
08-03 08:00:32	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x049729…
08-03 08:00:30	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x61ae2f…
08-03 08:00:30	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x357ca5…
08-03 08:00:29	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3198e7…
08-03 07:57:18	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	148	100¢	$147	0x4ca68c…
08-03 07:56:53	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdeabb3…
08-03 07:54:15	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	2,400	100¢	$2,388	0x0ca50b…
08-03 07:53:36	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0x121f41…
08-03 07:52:09	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	2,449	100¢	$2,437	0xf8e2cc…
08-03 07:51:29	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0x71e5bf…
08-03 07:51:23	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x43cf63…
08-03 07:51:21	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xd1633b…
08-03 07:46:08	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x8d5fef…
08-03 07:41:41	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	627	100¢	$624	0xc6bf40…
08-03 07:41:17	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xea9a79…
08-03 07:41:17	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xcfae29…
08-03 07:40:41	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x85ccde…
08-03 07:40:39	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3601bc…
08-03 07:40:38	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x64c165…
08-03 07:38:24	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x9a994d…
08-03 07:38:23	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x753e60…
08-03 07:36:53	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xbb44c6…
08-03 07:36:53	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x0f6301…
08-03 07:35:29	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xe0ab24…
08-03 07:35:29	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x26544c…
08-03 07:31:50	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	267	100¢	$266	0xad996e…
08-03 07:31:14	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,980	0x9eb3b3…
08-03 07:29:56	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	587	100¢	$584	0xda5f73…
08-03 07:28:54	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x237f29…
08-03 07:24:12	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	190	100¢	$189	0x215cce…
08-03 07:23:48	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	156	99¢	$155	0x8fceee…
08-03 07:23:39	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xed3b07…
08-03 07:22:36	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x7e1a37…
08-03 07:19:59	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	328	100¢	$326	0xb7b16c…
08-03 07:18:00	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x34d12f…
08-03 07:13:21	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	178	100¢	$177	0x2383aa…
08-03 07:11:17	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa257d5…
08-03 07:11:09	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe33486…
08-03 07:10:35	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xfdb958…
08-03 07:10:23	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	132	100¢	$131	0x88f1bd…
08-03 07:09:32	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	2,359	100¢	$2,350	0xb615d1…
08-03 07:09:21	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	100	100¢	$99	0x5b6d06…
08-03 07:08:27	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	311	100¢	$310	0xae8d0a…
08-03 07:08:24	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x863714…
08-03 07:08:23	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa8eadd…
08-03 07:08:14	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	7,396	100¢	$7,366	0x8a83b5…
08-01 17:08:00	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	15,134	100¢	$15,118	0x98f09c…
08-01 17:07:12	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xddb46a…
08-01 17:07:11	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	29,465	100¢	$29,435	0x715454…
08-01 04:56:24	will ken martin cease to be dnc chair by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,412	100¢	$1,410	0x9f2043…
08-01 04:08:33	evo morales arrested by july 31 20260626153647183	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x2c24c3…
08-01 02:56:56	iran successfully targets shipping on august 1 2026 20260729163314521	Yes	BUY	141	68¢	$96	0x5ef277…
07-31 21:50:02	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	4,994	100¢	$4,969	0x730df2…
07-31 21:43:06	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	9,996	100¢	$9,946	0xd60e3c…
07-31 21:02:29	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	20,479	99¢	$20,365	0xd04169…
07-30 08:27:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	BUY	1,303	99¢	$1,288	0x4b441d…
07-29 23:33:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	3,030	100¢	$3,027	0xc4330e…
07-29 23:33:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	4,666	100¢	$4,661	0x7f1391…
07-28 09:42:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	2,222	100¢	$2,220	0x7547e0…
07-25 04:05:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	5,236	100¢	$5,231	0x28d13f…
07-24 16:03:46	nba lebron to sign with former team 20260701212006851	No	BUY	229	100¢	$228	0xcf4dbf…
07-24 15:49:40	nba lebron to sign with former team 20260701212006851	No	BUY	4,443	100¢	$4,436	0x4c3a6e…
07-20 18:26:52	Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	336	100¢	$336	0x2b885f…
07-20 17:40:10	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	3,330	100¢	$3,327	0xf6283a…
07-20 17:37:37	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	3,759	100¢	$3,755	0x51411a…
07-20 13:47:09	will professor be said during the next avengers doomsday trailer 20260715175441154	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0004a5…
07-20 13:42:27	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	440	100¢	$440	0x169d54…
07-20 13:42:19	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	451	100¢	$451	0xbd7f36…
07-20 13:41:58	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	10,580	100¢	$10,569	0x80f1df…
07-20 13:39:03	will no new avengers doomsday trailer be released 20260715175441168	No	BUY	2,522	100¢	$2,519	0x1b6e51…
07-20 11:43:03	will anyone say possible or impossible during rick and morty e9 s9 20260714143117500	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdff09c…
07-20 11:10:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	5,666	100¢	$5,660	0x887fce…
07-20 09:04:45	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 19 20260718000915872	No	BUY	1,469	100¢	$1,467	0xc47b8e…
07-20 09:03:48	will anyone say prophecy during house of the dragon e5 s3 20260714143303780	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x1c5857…
07-20 09:02:54	will anyone say marriage during house of the dragon e5 s3 20260714143303785	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xcafd0d…
07-20 09:02:34	will anyone say power during house of the dragon e5 s3 20260714143303787	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0xceb91f…
07-20 09:01:22	will anyone say surrender during house of the dragon e5 s3 20260714143303789	No	BUY	364	100¢	$364	0x4420e7…
07-20 09:00:48	will anyone say peace during house of the dragon e5 s3 20260714143303790	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xe70bf4…
07-20 09:00:27	will anyone say defend during house of the dragon e5 s3 20260714143303792	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x19614e…
07-20 08:59:40	will anyone say queen 20 times during house of the dragon e5 s3 20260714143303778	Yes	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0x135702…
07-20 08:56:12	will anyone say rick 20 times during rick and morty e9 s9 20260714143117495	No	BUY	533	100¢	$533	0xb68d2a…
07-20 08:55:21	will anyone say possible or impossible during rick and morty e9 s9 20260714143117500	No	BUY	556	100¢	$555	0x11b124…
07-20 08:54:22	will anyone say brain during rick and morty e9 s9 20260714143117506 749	No	BUY	279	100¢	$279	0x04605f…
07-20 08:46:19	will pep guardiola attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357139	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x26a48f…
07-20 08:38:57	will bad bunny attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357135	No	SELL	233	100¢	$233	0x4d28b1…
07-20 08:38:54	will bad bunny attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357135	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb94f5d…
07-20 08:38:52	will bad bunny attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357135	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x7f34ce…
07-20 08:37:18	will bad bunny attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357135	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2ba89f…
07-20 08:29:00	will kristi noem attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357123	No	BUY	83	99¢	$83	0xaf69d5…
07-20 08:27:27	will rupert murdoch attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357121	No	BUY	74	99¢	$74	0x98abc3…
07-20 08:25:13	will elon musk attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357128	No	BUY	303	100¢	$303	0x68ed9b…
07-20 08:24:12	will cristiano ronaldo attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357126	No	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0xba42c8…
07-20 08:23:06	will pam bondi attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357122	No	BUY	609	100¢	$609	0xd89e7a…
07-20 07:57:34	will bad bunny attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357135	No	BUY	473	100¢	$473	0x52d42f…