Realized P&L
+$173
Unrealized P&L
+$373
Hit rate
68.0%
Resolved
32
Trades
13,374
lifetime
Volume
$378.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$4.69K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 11:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
46% 63% +$30
Politics
30% 100% +$4
Sports
20% 100% +$125
Crypto
3%
Pop-Culture
2% 100% +$14
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 244 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,000 $706 100¢ $995 +$289 06-15 04:17
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +700 $580 88¢ $613 +$33 06-29 07:25
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +576 $545 91¢ $525 $-20 06-29 10:57
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? No +500 $485 99¢ $493 +$8 06-04 23:24
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +607 $466 78¢ $477 +$11 06-28 23:44
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +300 $281 94¢ $282 +$1 06-27 16:35
Weed rescheduled by June 30? No +200 $196 100¢ $199 +$3 06-15 01:20
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +180 $146 81¢ $146 +$0 06-08 19:42
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +133 $120 94¢ $126 +$6 06-09 02:11
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +128 $108 91¢ $117 +$9 06-05 15:02
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +100 $92 94¢ $94 +$2 06-28 23:51
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +100 $91 90¢ $90 $-1 06-28 21:28
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +200 $38 40¢ $79 +$41 06-18 10:48
Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +84 $80 91¢ $77 $-3 06-08 06:59
Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -50 $-49 98¢ $-49 +$0 06-17 11:04
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +50 $45 86¢ $43 $-2 05-30 14:58
Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +43 $42 98¢ $43 +$0 06-18 02:08
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +185 $40 22¢ $42 +$1 06-29 20:55
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +250 $60 16¢ $41 $-19 06-05 10:13
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids? Yes +50 $36 60¢ $30 $-6 05-29 06:54
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +150 $21 18¢ $26 +$5 06-28 00:13
Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes +62 $19 42¢ $26 +$7 05-28 15:37
Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes +49 $12 35¢ $17 +$5 05-30 00:15
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No +13 $11 95¢ $13 +$1 06-01 21:19
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? Yes +76 $20 16¢ $13 $-7 06-05 20:08
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +200 $12 $11 $-1 06-18 07:31
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +109 $5 10¢ $11 +$5 06-27 17:55
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes +200 $6 $6 $-0 06-06 14:43
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +145 $4 $5 +$1 06-29 15:43
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids? No +10 $2 40¢ $4 +$2 06-02 09:21