Adventurous-Safari 0xcb14f6…175358
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$173
Unrealized P&L
+$65
Hit rate
68.0%
Resolved
32
Trades
15,196
lifetime
Volume
$458.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$3.60K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
42% 63% +$30
Politics
27% 100% +$4
Sports
26% 100% +$125
Crypto
2% — —
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$14
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 244 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +800 $636 74¢ $588 $-48 07-15 19:33
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? No +275 $247 92¢ $254 +$7 07-15 16:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +300 $222 83¢ $249 +$27 07-11 16:04
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +278 $236 86¢ $238 +$1 07-20 00:03
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +205 $193 94¢ $192 $-1 07-20 20:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $185 36¢ $178 $-8 07-19 08:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +150 $135 92¢ $137 +$2 07-13 09:38
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +300 $99 45¢ $136 +$37 07-04 13:43
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +300 $120 44¢ $134 +$14 07-12 02:53
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes +500 $145 26¢ $132 $-12 07-14 22:11
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes +672 $151 19¢ $130 $-21 07-18 17:30
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +128 $108 94¢ $121 +$13 06-05 15:02
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? No +138 $126 88¢ $121 $-5 07-04 10:40
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +200 $118 60¢ $121 +$2 07-14 13:46
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? No +142 $99 73¢ $104 +$5 07-10 00:00
Will Camila Cabello perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +200 $7 50¢ $100 +$93 07-10 11:13
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? No +100 $92 92¢ $92 +$0 07-14 12:31
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? No +100 $85 90¢ $91 +$6 07-04 07:28
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? Yes +609 $97 11¢ $64 $-33 07-14 22:11
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +250 $60 24¢ $59 $-1 06-05 10:13
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance? No +56 $49 94¢ $53 +$4 07-11 12:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +300 $69 17¢ $51 $-18 07-16 22:07
Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -50 $-49 97¢ $-49 +$1 06-17 11:04
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +50 $45 92¢ $46 +$1 07-11 14:37
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +100 $32 40¢ $40 +$8 07-15 14:19
Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes +62 $19 54¢ $33 +$15 05-28 15:37
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? Yes +300 $37 10¢ $28 $-8 07-14 04:02
Will Camila Cabello perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +51 $48 50¢ $26 $-23 07-03 21:49
Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes +49 $12 40¢ $20 +$8 05-30 00:15
Will Elon register any party before 2027? No +13 $11 97¢ $13 +$2 06-01 21:19