(anonymous) 0x3b8118…fb1210
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
24,825
lifetime
Volume
$161.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$637
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 06-24 13:18
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
72% — —
Other
25% — —
Tech
3% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 1860 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -108 $-101 100¢ $-108 $-7 06-17 08:34
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +50 $47 100¢ $50 +$3 05-31 01:52
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No -48 $-46 100¢ $-48 $-2 06-17 06:45
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -46 $-43 94¢ $-43 $-0 06-17 01:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +30 $29 100¢ $30 +$1 06-17 00:44
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +26 $24 100¢ $26 +$2 06-11 08:31
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +25 $24 100¢ $25 +$1 06-01 12:49
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -31 $-13 70¢ $-22 $-9 06-18 10:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +21 $22 100¢ $21 $-2 06-13 21:18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +20 $8 100¢ $20 +$12 06-17 01:18
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +19 $17 100¢ $19 +$2 06-09 16:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -16 $-13 100¢ $-16 $-3 06-15 15:23
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -15 $-15 100¢ $-15 $-0 06-12 20:05
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -16 $-16 96¢ $-15 +$0 06-15 20:49
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +17 $16 90¢ $15 $-1 06-13 14:01
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -14 $-19 100¢ $-14 +$5 06-14 19:42
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? No +14 $13 100¢ $14 +$1 06-15 20:59
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +15 $14 90¢ $14 $-0 06-17 07:27
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -13 $-13 100¢ $-13 $-0 06-04 08:34
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +12 $11 99¢ $12 +$1 06-14 16:16
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No -16 $-13 69¢ $-11 +$2 06-13 22:39
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -10 $-11 100¢ $-10 +$1 06-14 21:18
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +10 $8 100¢ $10 +$2 06-02 19:12
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 05-31 13:52
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? No -10 $-10 99¢ $-10 $-0 06-17 05:51
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 06-01 22:06
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -10 $-10 98¢ $-10 $-0 06-17 03:00
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No -10 $-10 92¢ $-9 +$0 05-30 07:08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No -9 $-9 100¢ $-9 $-0 06-08 12:20
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +10 $8 90¢ $9 +$1 06-09 14:07