(anonymous) 0x3b8118…fb1210
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
15,638
lifetime
Volume
$93.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$348
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 06-10 00:54
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
68% — —
Other
30% — —
Tech
2% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 1648 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +50 $47 98¢ $49 +$2 05-31 01:52
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +25 $24 98¢ $24 +$1 06-01 12:49
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +19 $17 98¢ $19 +$1 06-09 16:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No -17 $-14 93¢ $-16 $-2 06-10 03:07
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +18 $10 78¢ $14 +$4 06-02 11:06
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -13 $-13 98¢ $-13 +$0 06-04 08:34
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +13 $12 97¢ $13 +$0 06-08 17:11
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +20 $9 55¢ $11 +$2 05-31 02:08
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +10 $7 100¢ $10 +$3 06-01 11:42
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No -10 $-10 98¢ $-10 $-0 05-31 13:52
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -10 $-11 96¢ $-10 +$1 06-09 22:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$0 06-10 03:27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No +15 $8 64¢ $10 +$1 06-09 09:44
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -10 $-10 97¢ $-10 +$0 06-03 05:40
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +10 $8 96¢ $10 +$1 06-02 19:12
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 06-01 22:06
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +10 $10 95¢ $10 $-0 06-07 14:32
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-09 08:37
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? No -10 $-10 92¢ $-9 +$1 06-05 17:40
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No -10 $-10 91¢ $-9 +$0 05-30 07:08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No -9 $-9 98¢ $-9 $-0 06-08 12:20
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +10 $9 89¢ $9 $-0 06-10 01:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +14 $-1 62¢ $9 +$10 06-01 13:20
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$1 06-09 14:07
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +9 $8 88¢ $8 +$0 06-09 18:43
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +8 $4 96¢ $8 +$3 06-10 02:23
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +10 $5 74¢ $7 +$2 06-09 20:29
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +10 $6 64¢ $6 $-0 06-10 01:54
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +18 $4 34¢ $6 +$2 06-02 12:56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +4 $3 97¢ $4 +$1 06-09 22:09