Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
24,825
lifetime
Volume
$161.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$172
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 06-24 13:18
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
72%
Other
25%
Tech
3%
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 1860 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -46 $-43 96¢ $-44 $-1 06-17 01:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -31 $-13 78¢ $-24 $-11 06-18 10:54
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -16 $-16 97¢ $-15 +$0 06-15 20:49
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +17 $16 91¢ $15 $-0 06-13 14:01
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +15 $14 91¢ $14 $-0 06-17 07:27
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No -16 $-13 79¢ $-13 +$1 06-13 22:39
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -17 $-7 58¢ $-10 $-3 06-16 09:10
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -10 $-10 99¢ $-10 $-0 06-17 03:00
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No -10 $-10 93¢ $-9 +$0 05-30 07:08
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +10 $8 93¢ $9 +$2 06-09 14:07
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -6 $-4 66¢ $-4 $-0 06-18 19:49
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -4 $-3 96¢ $-3 $-0 06-04 12:08
Will Alberta join the US? No -1 $-12 97¢ $-1 +$11 06-17 09:00
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -1 $-1 14¢ $-0 +$1 06-02 14:52
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +41 $14 $0 $-14 06-18 11:02