Scared-Real — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$69

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.2%

Resolved

Trades

637

lifetime

Volume

$50.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 07-18 16:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

81% 14% -$19

Politics

19% 0% -$14

Crypto

1% 18% -$37

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	142	$14.5K	7,287	7,287	+0	No	-$8	05-07 04:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	158	$11.8K	5,938	5,938	+0	No	-$6	06-09 12:50
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	26	$2.3K	1,157	1,157	+0	Yes	-$5	05-19 06:43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	34	$2.2K	1,112	1,112	+0	No	-$1	06-13 15:18
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	30	$2.0K	1,004	1,004	+0	Yes	-$1	06-25 03:55
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	22	$1.9K	938	938	+0	Yes	-$3	05-15 07:49
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	18	$1.5K	743	743	+0	Yes	-$3	05-09 04:44
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	20	$1.4K	719	719	+0	Yes	-$1	05-27 14:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	22	$1.3K	676	676	+0	Yes	-$1	06-12 00:52
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	14	$1.2K	622	622	+0	Yes	-$1	05-18 06:59
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	12	$1.1K	541	541	+0	Yes	-$1	05-11 09:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	12	$1.1K	541	541	+0	No	-$1	05-12 06:36
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	12	$1.1K	529	529	+0	Yes	-$1	05-13 14:17
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	10	$817	415	415	+0	Yes	-$1	05-21 10:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	12	$758	381	381	+0	No	$0	06-16 11:36
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	6	$733	372	372	+0	Yes	-$2	04-27 07:36
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	10	$620	310	310	+0	No	$0	07-04 06:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$618	310	310	+0	Yes	$0	04-29 03:46
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$546	274	274	+0	Yes	$0	05-10 09:31
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	10	$450	226	226	+0	Yes	$0	05-23 10:21
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	6	$402	201	201	+0	No	$0	06-24 13:13
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	6	$390	195	195	+0	No	$0	06-28 15:22
Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	6	$385	195	195	+0	No	-$1	07-01 14:58
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$311	157	157	+0	Yes	-$1	05-25 13:41
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	4	$248	124	124	+0	No	$0	07-02 04:25
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	2	$134	69	69	+0	Yes	$0	06-24 13:06
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	2	$122	62	62	+0	No	$0	07-09 00:34
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?	2	$42	36	27	+9	Yes	+$11	05-16 15:43
Will Zach Dembo be the Democratic Nominee for KY-06?	2	$40	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	05-16 02:26
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?	2	$40	25	25	+0	No	$0	05-16 13:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 16:23:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf68e7e…
07-18 16:21:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xf594eb…
07-09 00:34:31	Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0x2d0a5a…
07-09 00:34:19	Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0xba08d9…
07-04 06:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0x3ba9c4…
07-04 06:35:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x5d97fd…
07-04 06:27:47	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x35f697…
07-04 06:27:38	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x758be1…
07-04 06:26:46	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x7de2e0…
07-04 06:26:38	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x6be817…
07-04 06:26:28	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x8b4835…
07-04 06:26:19	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xac1adc…
07-04 06:26:07	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x4831ee…
07-04 06:25:58	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x4f425d…
07-04 06:25:46	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x246b08…
07-04 06:25:37	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x912b0e…
07-02 04:25:07	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xce0ccf…
07-02 04:24:59	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x1b209d…
07-02 04:24:49	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x31ff54…
07-02 04:24:40	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xe58940…
07-01 14:58:35	Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x2b1301…
07-01 14:58:23	Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0xe6977d…
07-01 14:57:40	Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x06c9b3…
07-01 14:57:25	Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x3ffbe9…
07-01 14:56:55	Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0xf5bafa…
07-01 14:56:17	Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0xb32b20…
06-28 15:22:55	Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x7f03b3…
06-28 15:22:44	Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x414c2b…
06-28 15:22:32	Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xaa2fbd…
06-28 15:22:22	Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x37de02…
06-28 15:22:13	Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x7e99bd…
06-28 15:22:04	Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xdbbc98…
06-25 03:55:07	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0xda5819…
06-25 03:54:58	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0xb44636…
06-25 03:54:47	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0x677c4a…
06-25 03:54:38	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x9d3c1b…
06-25 03:54:26	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0xc8ce8e…
06-25 03:54:19	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x92a07e…
06-25 03:54:07	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0x7313fd…
06-25 03:53:58	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x41f8fd…
06-25 03:53:37	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0x56911e…
06-25 03:53:28	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x3225a1…
06-25 03:53:14	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0xcfac6b…
06-25 03:53:07	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x3daade…
06-24 13:22:19	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0x425062…
06-24 13:22:08	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xb3c312…
06-24 13:21:52	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0x925882…
06-24 13:21:40	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xb215c6…
06-24 13:21:22	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0xe0306b…
06-24 13:21:11	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x56a85a…
06-24 13:20:53	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0x547634…
06-24 13:20:41	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x5c8020…
06-24 13:13:13	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xcd299e…
06-24 13:13:01	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x10ee22…
06-24 13:12:40	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x5459ea…
06-24 13:12:28	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x65b0c3…
06-24 13:11:26	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xbd3741…
06-24 13:11:17	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xe68839…
06-24 13:06:41	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	98¢	$67	0x6b447b…
06-24 13:06:32	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	98¢	$67	0x109e96…
06-23 11:13:53	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x55a05b…
06-23 11:13:38	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0xf02fc5…
06-23 11:13:22	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x9545de…
06-23 11:13:07	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0xbc6461…
06-23 11:12:02	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	69	99¢	$68	0x401580…
06-23 11:11:47	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xf05a2a…
06-23 11:11:31	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	69	99¢	$68	0x21bd43…
06-23 11:11:14	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xc8fc72…
06-23 11:10:56	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	69	99¢	$68	0x143c68…
06-23 11:10:40	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x68fddf…
06-16 11:37:18	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xe37618…
06-16 11:36:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x2f19ba…
06-16 11:36:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xaadad3…
06-16 11:36:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x2b654a…
06-16 11:35:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xf996d6…
06-16 11:35:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x0444e2…
06-16 11:35:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x6f45bb…
06-16 11:35:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x5d10af…
06-16 11:35:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x4d2c66…
06-16 11:34:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xe93e3b…
06-16 11:34:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x28db59…
06-16 11:34:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x23671a…
06-16 11:34:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x238343…
06-13 15:18:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$64	0x6516b7…
06-13 15:18:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0x81f7f0…
06-13 15:18:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$64	0xf9d9e9…
06-13 15:18:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0x41f325…
06-13 15:18:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$64	0x1da367…
06-13 15:17:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0x50f9a4…
06-13 15:17:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$64	0x4b70a4…
06-13 15:17:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0x442e33…
06-13 15:17:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$64	0xe2d640…
06-13 15:17:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0x52b3b4…
06-13 15:11:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x5fc09d…
06-12 11:56:43	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe44242…
06-12 00:52:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	61	99¢	$61	0x7d0dee…
06-12 00:52:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	61	99¢	$61	0x8c6d16…
06-12 00:52:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	61	99¢	$61	0xacc85f…
06-12 00:51:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	61	99¢	$61	0xfed6aa…
06-12 00:51:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	61	99¢	$61	0xf848bd…