Realized P&L
+$386
Unrealized P&L
+$54
Hit rate
58.1%
Resolved
201
Trades
96,932
lifetime
Volume
$2.44M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$701
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 22:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
69% 43% +$1,245
Crypto
16% 50% +$221
Sports
10% 15% $-1,124
Politics
4% 57% +$46
Pop-Culture
1% 0% $-2
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1643 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +271 $249 94¢ $254 +$5 06-06 14:31
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No -206 $-168 91¢ $-187 $-18 06-02 00:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +299 $84 28¢ $84 +$0 06-04 19:18
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -300 $-48 15¢ $-45 +$3 05-30 16:52
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? Yes -283 $-56 $-26 +$29 06-05 05:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -54 $-33 46¢ $-24 +$8 06-04 20:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes -300 $-48 $-20 +$28 06-05 19:55
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +284 $18 $16 $-2 06-05 23:38
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -67 $-19 19¢ $-13 +$6 06-08 16:35
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? Yes +99 $6 $8 +$2 06-09 15:05
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -23 $-7 27¢ $-6 +$1 06-02 12:54
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No -5 $-5 92¢ $-5 +$0 05-28 20:18
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No -9 $10 52¢ $-5 $-14 06-10 02:08
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? No +201 $2 $4 +$2 06-09 22:59
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +44 $6 $4 $-2 06-08 20:03
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? Yes -81 $-4 $-1 +$3 06-06 07:21
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes -89 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-07 01:36
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? Yes -4 $-17 $-0 +$17 06-06 02:50
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +91 $14 $0 $-14 05-16 22:55