Realized P&L
+$386
Unrealized P&L
+$119
Hit rate
58.1%
Resolved
201
Trades
98,284
lifetime
Volume
$2.49M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$1.58K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
69% 43% +$1,245
Crypto
15% 50% +$221
Sports
10% 15% $-1,124
Politics
5% 57% +$46
Pop-Culture
1% 0% $-2
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 1643 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +374 $205 76¢ $282 +$77 06-27 02:43
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +346 $229 80¢ $279 +$50 06-19 00:33
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +999 $289 26¢ $255 $-34 06-24 05:45
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No -205 $-248 99¢ $-204 +$44 06-22 01:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +188 $159 100¢ $187 +$28 06-20 14:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +437 $117 24¢ $107 $-11 06-30 16:52
Elon Bull Run Parlay No +101 $92 96¢ $97 +$5 06-13 08:47
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes +276 $49 12¢ $34 $-15 06-11 12:41
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -300 $-48 11¢ $-33 +$15 05-30 16:52
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +143 $67 20¢ $28 $-39 06-15 14:43
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? Yes -58 $-21 39¢ $-23 $-1 06-26 09:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +33 $14 42¢ $14 +$0 06-29 22:55
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +284 $18 $13 $-5 06-05 23:38
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -67 $-19 18¢ $-12 +$7 06-08 16:35
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +94 $10 $6 $-4 06-26 15:23
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No -5 $-5 93¢ $-5 $-0 05-28 20:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +5 $7 57¢ $3 $-4 06-29 14:05
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +1 $-3 88¢ $1 +$4 06-12 00:37
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? Yes -7 $-3 $-0 +$2 06-24 10:08
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? No -2 $-2 17¢ $-0 +$1 06-26 06:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes -208 $-48 $-0 +$48 06-22 19:57
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? Yes -81 $-4 $-0 +$3 06-06 07:21
China coup attempt before 2027? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-26 08:14
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? Yes +16 $53 $0 $-53 06-23 17:57
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? No +1 $-12 16¢ $0 +$12 06-21 00:52
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? Yes +15 $-1 $0 +$1 06-29 21:51
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +91 $14 $0 $-14 05-16 22:55
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes -89 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-07 01:36
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? Yes +0 $0 11¢ $0 $-0 06-20 11:51