Realized P&L
+$386
Unrealized P&L
-$57
Hit rate
58.1%
Resolved
201
Trades
101,077
lifetime
Volume
$2.61M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$1.09K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 00:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
70% 43% +$1,245
Crypto
15% 50% +$221
Sports
10% 15% $-1,124
Politics
5% 57% +$46
Pop-Culture
1% 0% $-2
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 754 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +374 $205 83¢ $310 +$105 06-27 02:43
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +261 $160 76¢ $198 +$39 07-09 11:45
Elon Bull Run Parlay No +101 $92 98¢ $99 +$7 06-13 08:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +560 $142 17¢ $95 $-47 07-19 22:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +249 $102 36¢ $88 $-14 07-08 14:56
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes -1,243 $-112 $-81 +$31 07-19 08:46
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +468 $74 14¢ $63 $-11 07-11 13:03
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -300 $-48 12¢ $-36 +$12 05-30 16:52
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +143 $67 24¢ $34 $-33 06-15 14:43
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? Yes -58 $-21 56¢ $-33 $-11 06-26 09:06
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +284 $18 $12 $-6 06-05 23:38
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -67 $-19 14¢ $-9 +$10 06-08 16:35
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? No +51 $25 16¢ $8 $-17 07-16 12:48
China coup attempt before 2027? Yes -188 $-9 $-7 +$2 07-16 20:07
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +94 $10 $6 $-4 06-26 15:23
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 05-28 20:18
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -23 $7 15¢ $-3 $-11 07-17 17:58
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? No -2 $-2 45¢ $-1 +$1 06-26 06:40
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +1 $-3 86¢ $1 +$4 06-12 00:37
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? No +0 $14 90¢ $0 $-14 07-07 12:02
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? Yes -7 $-3 $-0 +$2 06-24 10:08
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? Yes +1 $42 39¢ $0 $-42 07-06 22:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +0 $4 64¢ $0 $-3 07-03 08:58
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? Yes +1 $42 10¢ $0 $-42 07-08 15:07
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +91 $14 $0 $-14 05-16 22:55
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-20 11:51