Lavish-Sibling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.4%

Resolved

1,342

Trades

3,033

lifetime

Volume

$13.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 09-23 15:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Other

88% 36% -$152

Politics

7% 28% +$116

Sports

3% 56% +$28

Crypto

1% 22% -$15

Pop-Culture

1% 33% +$8

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	19	$431	621	621	+0	No	+$183	05-29 15:57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 25?	4	$138	197	197	+0	No	+$46	06-25 02:40
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$136	337	428	-91	No	+$16	06-17 00:11
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	3	$133	152	152	+0	open	—	05-31 16:39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12?	5	$123	89	89	+0	Yes	+$19	06-12 05:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$120	113	113	+0	No	-$10	05-24 18:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$110	99	99	+0	Yes	+$0	05-24 03:53
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 6?	5	$104	73	73	+0	Yes	+$40	05-07 03:11
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	4	$100	94	94	+0	No	+$80	05-16 07:07
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$96	286	286	-0	Yes	-$4	06-15 09:50
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 8?	9	$85	180	159	+21	No	+$1	05-08 19:27
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$80	235	235	+0	Yes	+$0	06-07 15:28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 23?	2	$77	43	43	+0	No	+$9	06-23 03:36
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 10?	2	$77	62	62	+0	Yes	+$47	05-11 01:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 5?	7	$76	57	57	+0	Yes	-$6	07-05 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 24?	2	$76	44	44	+0	No	+$12	06-24 05:39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 17?	9	$75	126	126	+0	Yes	+$36	07-17 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 18?	3	$74	63	63	+0	Yes	+$52	06-18 09:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	14	$73	503	503	+0	No	-$43	05-23 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 22?	3	$73	57	57	+0	Yes	+$41	06-22 13:03
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$71	361	510	-149	No	+$11	06-14 01:23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?	4	$68	51	51	+0	Yes	+$34	06-13 13:53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 29?	14	$64	56	56	+0	Yes	+$43	05-29 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 11?	5	$62	51	51	+0	Yes	+$40	05-12 04:26
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 69°F or below on April 30?	2	$61	34	34	+0	Yes	-$1	04-29 04:49
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?	4	$61	79	79	+0	No	+$42	06-09 06:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?	4	$60	51	51	+0	No	+$4	06-24 03:32
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 51°F or below on May 1?	3	$60	38	38	+0	Yes	+$15	05-02 04:38
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 90 114	7	$59	66	64	+2	No	-$3	04-12 19:44
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?	4	$57	108	108	+0	Yes	-$17	06-24 04:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 15:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7088cd…
09-21 20:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x86afc2…
09-20 16:32:27	Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xe214b7…
09-15 21:22:25	UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xb736d8…
08-14 03:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	42	8¢	$4	0x45bd0d…
08-14 02:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0xa8d956…
08-14 02:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0xa3de52…
08-14 02:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	63	2¢	$1	0x1f3fc7…
08-14 01:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	63	4¢	$3	0xe0ac5a…
08-14 01:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xfa3df8…
08-14 01:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x097ed1…
08-13 22:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x7b88ba…
08-13 21:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xfebe41…
08-13 21:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x09f99d…
08-13 17:40:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x6ba3cf…
08-13 17:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xb698bd…
08-13 16:30:13	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x334e19…
08-13 10:52:31	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb3aa6d…
08-13 10:42:25	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xad827c…
08-13 10:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdd0f19…
08-13 07:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x60d0ee…
08-13 07:15:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xef2bed…
08-13 07:15:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x6843dc…
08-13 07:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x10d0dc…
08-13 07:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x0f1665…
08-13 07:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x00c046…
08-13 05:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x2f4f95…
08-13 05:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x1784fc…
08-13 04:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xa438c7…
08-13 04:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x06cb0b…
08-13 04:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 13?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xe76985…
08-13 03:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x3d5d2a…
08-13 02:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x9462e0…
08-12 15:52:34	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$1	0x0d2078…
08-12 15:51:24	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa52ed4…
08-12 06:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	4	62¢	$3	0xcd1995…
08-12 05:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x42b8b9…
08-12 04:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0x61f656…
08-12 03:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x1d5a3f…
08-12 03:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x342da9…
08-12 02:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x190a3b…
08-12 02:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xebd1ff…
08-12 02:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x235bbe…
08-12 02:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x1b57bc…
08-12 02:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa86d00…
08-12 02:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x8b3ae2…
08-11 19:22:43	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd60e20…
08-11 04:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x20ba32…
08-11 03:39:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 11?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x02a4b6…
08-11 03:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x95bd06…
08-11 01:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0x9e6c86…
08-10 18:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x842016…
08-10 18:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xb83511…
08-10 18:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x2c4cfc…
08-10 05:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xcd0dc6…
08-10 05:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xc388b7…
08-10 02:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xddd313…
08-10 01:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0x501d1a…
07-22 03:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	38	16¢	$6	0xe3d790…
07-22 00:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 22?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x404109…
07-21 14:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x090c4f…
07-21 12:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 22?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xc7dcaf…
07-21 12:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 22?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xf562c5…
07-21 12:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 22?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xe97d13…
07-21 12:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 22?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xba4a5b…
07-21 12:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 22?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x25610c…
07-21 11:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x7258fe…
07-21 10:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 21?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x10647e…
07-21 01:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x75359b…
07-21 00:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x35f52f…
07-20 13:41:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xc27766…
07-20 13:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xa55a3b…
07-20 13:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xdaae56…
07-19 07:48:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x06ff12…
07-19 04:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x77e34d…
07-19 04:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	35	8¢	$3	0xa1ccf4…
07-19 04:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x8590b7…
07-19 04:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb7a906…
07-19 04:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xa4b69f…
07-19 04:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x76dcf4…
07-18 23:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x322dac…
07-18 23:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x059918…
07-18 23:52:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 19?	Yes	BUY	345	0¢	$1	0xe49573…
07-18 23:51:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x1d6c71…
07-18 23:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdeeed9…
07-18 23:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x51543f…
07-18 23:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0x8f6d14…
07-18 23:45:55	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	35	89¢	$31	0x7325f9…
07-18 23:23:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x6cccf9…
07-18 22:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	58	4¢	$2	0xec8aef…
07-18 17:16:51	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0xb83de3…
07-18 15:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	35	19¢	$7	0xa38439…
07-18 12:31:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xb82386…
07-18 07:38:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xc15269…
07-18 07:37:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xa1667f…
07-18 05:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	48	27¢	$13	0x5514f5…
07-18 03:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x7a51b7…
07-18 02:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	29	12¢	$3	0xd4735a…
07-18 01:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	28	21¢	$6	0xf44131…
07-18 01:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0xbab8d2…