Experienced-Psychology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$161

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

106

Trades

253

lifetime

Volume

$41.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$165

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-26 13:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

40% 98% +$30

Crypto

29% 76% +$10

Politics

21% 88% -$205

Tech

6% 88% +$1

Sports

3% 100% +$2

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-26).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+15	$7	12¢	$2	-$5	05-21 13:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	7	$2.5K	1,088	1,451	-363	No	-$1	01-20 10:51
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	11	$2.2K	1,082	1,082	+0	No	+$1	01-08 18:48
Trump out as President by May 31?	5	$2.1K	1,066	1,066	+0	No	+$4	05-04 07:56
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	6	$1.8K	889	889	+0	No	+$1	01-03 06:53
will paradex launch a token on march 5	4	$1.7K	843	843	+0	Yes	+$0	03-06 03:16
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	3	$1.6K	812	812	+0	Yes	+$0	03-06 01:28
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	6	$1.4K	740	740	+0	No	+$3	01-23 15:01
trump out as president by march 31	8	$1.4K	905	567	+338	No	+$10	03-20 04:23
Block Street FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$1.1K	568	568	+0	No	+$0	03-06 09:02
will hillary say president 5 times during her epstein testimony	3	$991	497	497	+0	No	+$2	03-05 14:06
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	3	$938	611	330	+281	Yes	+$1	02-21 19:39
will hillary say six seven during her epstein testimony	2	$935	468	468	+0	No	+$1	03-05 13:54
idOS FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$914	587	328	+259	Yes	+$0	03-07 05:36
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$849	427	427	+0	No	+$0	02-12 20:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	4	$744	376	376	+0	No	+$1	04-20 06:58
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$741	375	375	+0	No	+$3	04-18 03:27
will the us next strike iran on february 8 2026 et	2	$737	369	369	+0	No	+$0	02-10 02:06
will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	2	$735	369	369	+0	No	+$0	02-13 03:43
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	6	$734	369	369	+0	No	+$0	02-04 13:23
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	3	$727	368	368	+0	No	+$1	02-05 02:07
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	2	$718	360	360	+0	No	+$0	01-07 13:06
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	3	$717	362	362	+0	No	+$1	01-12 08:34
will edgex launch a token in 2025	2	$715	358	358	+0	Yes	+$0	01-02 00:26
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	2	$659	330	330	+0	No	+$0	02-17 12:22
will ethereum reach 4000 in february 2026	2	$658	330	330	+0	No	+$0	02-17 14:26
will hillary say white house during her epstein testimony	4	$651	334	319	+15	No	+$1	03-05 14:13
will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	3	$617	309	309	+0	No	+$0	02-27 03:22
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	2	$599	310	290	+20	No	+$0	01-04 03:10
will trump say goat or greatest of all time during inter miami events on thursday	4	$580	292	292	+0	No	+$3	03-06 01:43
Block Street FDV above $50M one day after launch?	3	$574	288	288	+0	Yes	+$0	03-06 09:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 13:16:43	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7901d6…
07-24 09:20:03	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	35	98¢	$35	0x38f702…
07-24 08:52:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?	No	SELL	155	98¢	$152	0x8f0b02…
07-22 09:36:16	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	190	98¢	$187	0x83f584…
07-22 05:42:00	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	186	1¢	$1	0x8c1cf1…
07-18 19:15:49	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	186	98¢	$182	0x82c82a…
07-16 01:32:49	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	162	1¢	$2	0xda1af9…
07-14 13:14:32	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	162	98¢	$158	0x411a57…
07-08 04:04:16	Will Dplus Esports Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x32a67c…
07-08 04:02:35	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x21e42e…
07-07 17:33:41	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x63ac67…
07-02 08:23:59	jd vance out as vp by july 31 20260626154902197	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xcb6404…
06-28 13:16:53	jd vance out as vp by july 31 20260626154902197	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x692de1…
06-21 13:40:55	will pete hegseth sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950070	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x238752…
06-14 13:19:46	Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x735ed4…
06-08 09:39:30	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	Yes	BUY	177	3¢	$5	0x350f8f…
06-06 08:23:04	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	No	BUY	177	94¢	$167	0x099fc6…
06-04 13:33:55	will wti reach 150 in june 2026 555	Yes	BUY	172	2¢	$3	0x71b42d…
06-01 18:48:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?	No	BUY	172	96¢	$164	0x7567d3…
05-29 07:15:13	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	BUY	157	1¢	$1	0x6066f2…
05-29 01:14:18	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8abb4d…
05-29 01:14:15	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7832a5…
05-29 01:14:13	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf5fae9…
05-29 01:14:10	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xfe1f8c…
05-29 01:14:10	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3ef9d0…
05-28 18:29:35	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x746d96…
05-26 14:14:18	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	165	99¢	$163	0x2c7b3b…
05-25 20:51:06	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xbb0e03…
05-24 13:02:21	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x00b460…
05-21 13:59:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xdd9961…
05-21 13:57:48	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb5c462…
05-16 08:26:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xeadcd1…
05-13 14:43:52	Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	No	BUY	176	99¢	$174	0x81079c…
05-06 03:06:46	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?	No	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x6bc71b…
05-06 02:59:48	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?	No	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xa52df3…
05-06 02:47:46	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 50% and 60%?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xe2a312…
05-06 02:45:50	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 50% and 60%?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x72a65d…
05-05 05:01:18	Will JD Vance say "Trump" 3+ times in Des Moines?	No	SELL	66	1¢	$1	0x1a01c1…
05-05 04:37:08	Will JD Vance say "Trump" 3+ times in Des Moines?	No	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0x8a074e…
05-05 04:09:02	Will JD Vance say "Trump" 3+ times in Des Moines?	No	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0x7c66e0…
05-05 04:07:00	Will JD Vance say "Trump" 3+ times in Des Moines?	No	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x53029d…
05-05 03:38:04	Will JD Vance say "Trump" 3+ times in Des Moines?	No	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xb39871…
05-05 03:18:48	Will JD Vance say "Trump" 3+ times in Des Moines?	No	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0x7bfe42…
05-05 03:16:46	Will JD Vance say "Trump" 3+ times in Des Moines?	No	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x51b600…
05-05 03:12:48	Will Anok Yai be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x797f70…
05-05 03:10:00	Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x4d8218…
05-05 03:08:10	Will Anok Yai be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb8d6b2…
05-05 03:08:00	Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfa328b…
05-05 03:05:40	Will Venus Williams be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfc480b…
05-05 02:57:40	Will Anok Yai be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x583d0f…
05-05 02:57:30	Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x8380f4…
05-04 07:56:52	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	251	99¢	$248	0xbf2567…
05-04 03:18:36	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0xcf2608…
05-04 03:16:38	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0x9858ef…
05-04 02:49:42	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	622	99¢	$616	0x5dd421…
05-03 15:58:58	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1,066	99¢	$1,051	0x7b8a01…
05-03 03:13:38	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x089bc5…
05-03 03:12:54	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	7¢	$8	0xb24bf1…
05-03 02:14:40	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x6fa447…
05-02 15:41:58	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	No	SELL	191	99¢	$190	0x3ee72d…
05-02 05:39:42	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	No	BUY	191	99¢	$189	0x5885d0…
04-20 06:58:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	190	100¢	$189	0x6b1c77…
04-19 19:32:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	190	99¢	$189	0x19691e…
04-18 03:27:26	will trump say american dream during tpusa events on april 17	No	BUY	191	100¢	$190	0xa70162…
04-18 03:27:02	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	190	100¢	$189	0xb1ec6a…
04-16 20:04:08	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	190	99¢	$188	0xefed9d…
04-13 10:36:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	186	99¢	$183	0x1b4a29…
04-12 14:19:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	186	98¢	$183	0x266c9e…
04-10 14:19:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	190	98¢	$186	0xa48635…
04-10 06:36:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	190	98¢	$185	0x12d592…
04-09 18:05:09	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	185	99¢	$183	0x60dfe8…
04-08 01:03:53	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	185	98¢	$181	0x41d0af…
04-07 14:34:07	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	184	100¢	$184	0xe833cb…
04-06 07:21:31	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	184	100¢	$183	0x3a4502…
03-29 01:08:54	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x2f9ec5…
03-27 14:40:03	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x65ec14…
03-27 10:44:21	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x190c10…
03-27 10:43:43	Will EdgeX launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xade446…
03-27 10:42:51	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0xeb03d0…
03-27 10:41:59	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x422ae0…
03-27 10:41:13	will russia test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x87bedc…
03-27 10:40:51	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x375196…
03-27 10:40:27	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt0 by march 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x50b800…
03-27 10:40:01	hillary clinton charged by march 31	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xebc1a1…
03-27 10:38:43	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	183	100¢	$182	0x8d556a…
03-25 14:46:33	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	183	99¢	$182	0xa5dc1c…
03-24 04:10:33	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	SELL	182	99¢	$180	0x137996…
03-22 12:32:21	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	182	98¢	$179	0x19be96…
03-20 04:26:25	will trump say decimate or decimated during events with japanese pm	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x2defcf…
03-20 04:26:03	will trump say epic fury during events with japanese pm	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x6d215d…
03-20 04:25:47	will trump say kharg island during events with japanese pm	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x17a59b…
03-20 04:23:09	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	142	99¢	$141	0xd9d91e…
03-16 17:00:29	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	142	99¢	$140	0x3f1507…
03-15 14:42:57	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	140	99¢	$139	0xf74731…
03-14 22:20:31	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd56d16…
03-14 22:12:35	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	140	98¢	$138	0x9d2df1…
03-14 14:39:37	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcb5491…
03-12 15:47:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xd9ad31…
03-11 12:19:53	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x52b884…
03-11 12:12:39	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x790365…