Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
4
lifetime
Volume
$104
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$75
4 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 05-16 16:58
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
100%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes +1,667 $100 $74 $-26 05-15 18:29
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026? No +100 $1 $1 $-0 05-16 16:52
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17? Yes +226 $2 $0 $-2 05-16 16:57
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17? Yes +127 $1 $0 $-1 05-16 16:58