Ripe-Traveler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.27K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.4%

Resolved

114

Trades

1,570

lifetime

Volume

$610.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$389

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 10-28 02:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Politics

58% 72% -$4,563

Other

30% 88% +$2,932

Tech

12% 100% +$361

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	17	$72.7K	36,685	36,685	+0	Yes	+$526	05-30 05:15
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	33	$51.2K	39,182	13,682	+25,500	Yes	+$1,535	09-23 15:42
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	184	$44.2K	22,200	22,200	+0	Yes	+$126	05-23 18:00
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	32	$35.8K	23,691	12,592	+11,099	Yes	+$172	10-20 15:45
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$29.7K	29,698	0	+29,698	Yes	+$30	10-26 00:25
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	117	$17.8K	22,763	5,000	+17,763	Yes	+$7,310	06-21 07:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	41	$16.3K	14,205	9,540	+4,665	No	-$5,346	04-30 15:43
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	6	$15.9K	15,972	0	+15,972	Yes	+$115	04-13 15:54
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?	3	$15.2K	15,311	0	+15,311	Yes	+$68	05-22 00:38
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	74	$14.3K	9,067	9,067	+0	No	-$1,483	04-21 16:39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$13.4K	13,509	0	+13,509	No	+$77	09-15 14:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$12.7K	12,700	0	+12,700	Yes	+$38	06-17 08:25
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	5	$11.2K	11,204	0	+11,204	Yes	+$11	04-16 16:27
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?	3	$11.0K	11,042	0	+11,042	Yes	+$11	08-25 22:22
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	12	$10.9K	11,439	0	+11,439	No	+$499	04-15 03:10
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	68	$10.8K	6,280	6,280	+0	No	+$59	06-18 03:35
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?	8	$10.7K	8,866	1,866	+7,000	Yes	+$25	04-14 16:16
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	22	$10.4K	10,466	0	+10,466	No	+$65	05-16 17:12
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	11	$10.1K	5,311	5,311	+0	Yes	+$528	09-21 15:31
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	1	$10.0K	10,040	0	+10,040	No	+$20	10-28 02:06
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	1	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	+$10	09-22 16:57
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	8	$9.5K	4,786	4,786	-0	No	+$38	04-15 11:07
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	12	$8.9K	4,627	4,627	+0	Yes	+$290	09-21 15:25
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	16	$7.2K	4,165	3,226	+939	No	+$36	04-13 19:55
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	70	$6.7K	7,085	0	+7,085	Yes	+$414	05-12 05:07
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 18 2026	8	$6.1K	3,460	3,460	+0	No	-$20	04-18 17:15
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	4	$5.9K	6,581	6,581	+0	No	-$5,749	05-25 23:56
highest temperature in nyc on april 13 2026 78 79f	33	$5.9K	5,922	0	+5,922	Yes	+$6	04-14 06:55
Epstein client list released by June 30?	21	$5.8K	5,842	0	+5,842	No	+$35	07-01 03:51
gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	3	$5.4K	5,428	0	+5,428	Yes	+$5	07-09 19:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 02:06:32	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,040	100¢	$10,020	0x3eaf71…
10-26 00:25:24	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	19,698	100¢	$19,678	0x5c7d8d…
10-26 00:25:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x96e31c…
10-21 14:20:12	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa1cd7b…
10-20 15:45:38	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	246	100¢	$245	0x109d43…
10-20 13:13:15	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	442	100¢	$440	0x7c639f…
10-20 07:24:32	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	263	100¢	$262	0x18bfd4…
10-20 02:43:51	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x45ef56…
10-20 00:17:14	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x26db06…
10-18 08:47:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	375	85¢	$319	0x91dcbf…
10-18 02:36:53	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0xe31605…
10-18 01:58:21	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0xaf5739…
10-17 16:53:38	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,301	99¢	$5,264	0xfe9949…
10-17 16:53:38	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	82	99¢	$82	0x30fab5…
10-17 01:29:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,125	84¢	$945	0x6f7deb…
10-16 12:49:01	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4,698	99¢	$4,665	0xe3ef0a…
09-30 15:39:42	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 30?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x2f7909…
09-30 15:39:35	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 30?	No	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x35e414…
09-30 15:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe1c61a…
09-30 15:05:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x3cdd4d…
09-30 15:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x16c55e…
09-30 10:20:36	will apple release a foldable iphone by october 31	Yes	BUY	79	98¢	$78	0x3640bb…
09-30 09:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfe4c94…
09-30 09:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdbb3a8…
09-30 09:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc24606…
09-30 09:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3178d1…
09-30 09:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x160f6a…
09-30 09:13:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	207	100¢	$207	0x284e1c…
09-30 09:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0xb94a82…
09-30 09:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf114b0…
09-30 09:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x3eedb8…
09-30 09:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa6cdc6…
09-30 09:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7c329f…
09-30 09:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	309	100¢	$309	0x5a1521…
09-30 08:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x39bc7f…
09-30 08:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x185c2f…
09-30 08:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7879c4…
09-30 08:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xf9ed03…
09-30 08:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	254	100¢	$253	0xcfc59e…
09-30 08:06:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xed58bc…
09-30 05:45:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on September 30?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xcac0b5…
09-30 05:40:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on September 30?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x4ecdce…
09-30 05:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on September 30?	No	BUY	299	99¢	$296	0x82427e…
09-30 05:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 30?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x748943…
09-30 02:46:48	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 30?	No	BUY	74	10¢	$7	0xed31d0…
09-30 00:23:03	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 30?	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x5f2a37…
09-29 17:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0xb00e24…
09-29 17:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xee12bd…
09-29 17:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xbcc6b3…
09-29 16:59:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa48e4b…
09-29 16:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c549f…
09-29 15:51:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x353725…
09-29 15:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 29?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe16a39…
09-29 15:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x740772…
09-29 15:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x02d6c9…
09-29 14:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b7dae…
09-29 14:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc1b476…
09-29 13:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x23aa21…
09-29 13:06:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9c2d33…
09-29 12:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c0a84…
09-29 12:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x8a4847…
09-29 12:31:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd244dd…
09-29 11:28:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x57209f…
09-29 11:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc2d383…
09-29 11:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x724913…
09-29 11:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 29?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0x86b05e…
09-29 11:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	421	100¢	$421	0x2c6306…
09-29 10:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f5a68…
09-29 10:52:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4bfd0e…
09-29 10:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7efb7d…
09-29 10:42:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 29?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa29576…
09-29 10:34:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe7dd5f…
09-29 10:31:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x993c95…
09-29 10:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	779	100¢	$779	0x54a6d6…
09-29 10:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x41986d…
09-29 09:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x43358a…
09-29 09:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xec7a3f…
09-29 09:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf1cb6d…
09-29 09:30:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xfc17c9…
09-29 09:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xd84fbd…
09-29 09:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9e76a9…
09-29 09:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 29?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8890bc…
09-29 09:27:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x109a8e…
09-29 09:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9b23bb…
09-29 09:26:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27e00c…
09-29 09:26:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9fdbae…
09-29 09:26:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x481d62…
09-29 09:26:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd08227…
09-29 09:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0x5a0dea…
09-29 09:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C or higher on September 30?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x0c9fec…
09-29 09:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on September 30?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x1973c6…
09-29 09:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x4c3bad…
09-29 08:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	762	100¢	$760	0xc1924f…
09-29 08:06:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on September 29?	No	BUY	2,363	100¢	$2,360	0xbbe317…
09-29 02:45:36	will apple release a foldable iphone by october 31	Yes	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x0bd1ba…
09-29 00:30:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 29?	No	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0xe2adf1…
09-29 00:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x98dd50…
09-28 09:10:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on September 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x533cc4…
09-28 09:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5c7bb1…
09-28 08:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x7b71b1…