Talkative-Painting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,703

lifetime

Volume

$14.1M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$3.81K

Open exposure

$346

1 position

First seen

2026-03-27

last 06-03 03:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

83% 100% +$10,657

Other

15% 93% +$1,815

Crypto

1% 100% +$50

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 67% $-212

Tech

0% 100% +$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 312 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No		-351	$-343	99¢	$-346	$-3	06-03 03:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	132	$7.17M	7,173,396	0	+7,173,396	Yes	+$7,990	05-09 19:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	29	$559.2K	559,711	0	+559,711	Yes	+$560	05-09 19:44
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	185	$534.3K	429,433	192,890	+236,544	open	—	04-30 21:24
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	76	$292.6K	147,571	147,544	+26	open	—	04-27 05:18
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	64	$263.9K	143,064	145,000	-1,936	open	—	04-08 21:12
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	36	$250.8K	251,943	5	+251,938	Yes	+$1,186	05-03 19:34
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	45	$225.9K	220,014	6,298	+213,716	open	—	05-15 20:55
will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	4	$201.7K	101,000	101,000	+0	open	—	04-16 18:18
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	6	$199.6K	199,850	0	+199,850	open	—	04-15 04:33
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	74	$191.7K	97,251	97,251	+0	open	—	04-17 03:50
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	59	$178.0K	179,150	5	+179,145	open	—	04-11 00:41
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	44	$173.7K	157,530	22,934	+134,595	open	—	04-08 21:18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	65	$171.6K	86,230	86,230	+0	open	—	04-13 16:28
Will Trump dance today?	109	$158.1K	120,707	37,985	+82,722	open	—	04-28 06:19
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	8	$123.6K	123,808	0	+123,808	open	—	04-14 01:53
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	9	$122.9K	118,884	7,773	+111,111	open	—	05-01 22:02
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	9	$111.5K	111,999	368	+111,631	open	—	05-01 22:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	348	$108.9K	55,717	55,682	+35	open	—	04-10 13:51
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	51	$104.6K	50,598	54,709	-4,111	open	—	05-09 09:52
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	10	$104.3K	52,243	52,243	+0	open	—	04-13 13:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	12	$99.0K	100,000	0	+100,000	Yes	+$1,000	05-09 06:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	48	$95.7K	72,880	22,929	+49,951	open	—	05-11 03:08
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	9	$90.6K	90,818	0	+90,818	open	—	04-12 20:39
Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?	4	$84.3K	84,410	0	+84,410	open	—	05-01 23:16
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	78	$75.4K	61,728	61,074	+654	open	—	05-11 19:59
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	62	$74.8K	75,179	0	+75,179	open	—	05-14 15:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$73.7K	37,092	37,092	+0	open	—	05-12 20:16
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	97	$64.7K	46,436	21,043	+25,393	open	—	05-01 00:39
another crypto hack over 100m before 2027	8	$64.2K	64,276	0	+64,276	open	—	04-01 20:07
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$63.6K	63,731	0	+63,731	No	+$88	05-09 04:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 03:25:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	351	98¢	$343	0x02a039…
05-27 08:32:39	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	1,500	98¢	$1,462	0xaef93f…
05-22 16:53:40	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	120	63¢	$76	0x20c8b9…
05-22 15:42:02	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	SELL	107	65¢	$69	0x948a8e…
05-22 15:39:09	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	718	65¢	$467	0xa19340…
05-22 15:35:18	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	892	65¢	$576	0x6ff98e…
05-22 15:34:15	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x9134ae…
05-22 15:34:06	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xe53010…
05-22 15:30:32	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	763	58¢	$439	0xb2c27a…
05-18 02:08:37	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,071	5¢	$50	0x5b8443…
05-17 19:29:39	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	Yes	SELL	1,367	100¢	$1,362	0xebbaf7…
05-17 08:38:02	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	Yes	SELL	1,004	100¢	$1,000	0x6a84ef…
05-17 08:37:54	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	Yes	SELL	1,004	100¢	$1,000	0x7ed36f…
05-17 08:37:45	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	Yes	SELL	692	100¢	$689	0xbc994c…
05-16 14:43:36	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	1,313	96¢	$1,260	0x3cb097…
05-16 12:02:13	Will "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	16	72¢	$11	0xe4fd91…
05-16 10:46:13	Will "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	31	72¢	$23	0xcbed7c…
05-16 10:29:00	Will "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	191	72¢	$138	0xb73670…
05-16 05:00:42	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xe7b5c3…
05-16 04:26:33	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	160	96¢	$154	0x9540e8…
05-16 04:07:23	Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc4948f…
05-16 04:04:53	Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	No	BUY	244	100¢	$244	0x071537…
05-16 03:17:50	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	Yes	SELL	754	100¢	$751	0xfb388f…
05-16 01:50:13	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,179	98¢	$1,156	0x8642de…
05-16 01:47:04	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	197	98¢	$193	0x37693f…
05-16 01:46:32	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2,075	99¢	$2,050	0x2eced7…
05-16 01:36:44	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2,262	99¢	$2,244	0xa4f6a6…
05-16 01:33:53	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,048	99¢	$1,037	0xee55c7…
05-16 01:31:22	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	730	98¢	$715	0xc89965…
05-16 01:31:10	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,772	99¢	$1,749	0x1f8d1c…
05-16 00:59:51	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x437ee2…
05-16 00:33:08	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3b198a…
05-16 00:19:44	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	97¢	$120	0x16bbcd…
05-15 23:33:52	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x38acd1…
05-15 23:30:43	Will "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	58	65¢	$38	0x0eb1ea…
05-15 23:28:14	Will "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	22	65¢	$15	0x08e930…
05-15 23:25:10	Will "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	46	70¢	$32	0x5fde48…
05-15 22:59:13	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0xf5a658…
05-15 22:55:22	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,231	98¢	$9,093	0x280b28…
05-15 22:36:33	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,880	98¢	$1,852	0x90d43d…
05-15 22:21:16	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	676	88¢	$595	0xccb1b4…
05-15 21:49:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	386	88¢	$339	0x205b13…
05-15 21:49:27	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	984	88¢	$866	0xa782e5…
05-15 21:49:07	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	191	88¢	$168	0xbd0d48…
05-15 21:32:19	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	676	70¢	$475	0x805bb8…
05-15 20:55:48	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	115,119	100¢	$115,004	0x261954…
05-15 20:54:35	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	34,775	100¢	$34,740	0x44f717…
05-15 20:54:09	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	44,444	100¢	$44,400	0xcf4afa…
05-15 20:44:57	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xff90f1…
05-15 20:42:09	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xcbce76…
05-15 20:41:41	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0xaa6c00…
05-15 20:41:41	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0b16c0…
05-15 20:41:40	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	18,314	100¢	$18,296	0x29726b…
05-15 20:39:53	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	9,611	100¢	$9,601	0xeee108…
05-15 20:39:28	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0x85649f…
05-15 20:34:08	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	12,937	100¢	$12,924	0x50793d…
05-15 20:06:57	Will 21 Savage be featured on Drake's new album?	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,498	0x091c4d…
05-15 19:55:07	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,852	100¢	$1,846	0xc31048…
05-15 19:55:03	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2,592	100¢	$2,585	0xadd76c…
05-15 19:38:52	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x90b074…
05-15 19:38:47	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x6b99f8…
05-15 19:38:47	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x680970…
05-15 19:38:45	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x9193de…
05-15 19:38:43	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x39c2cc…
05-15 19:38:41	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x903385…
05-15 19:38:19	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xb58ec3…
05-15 19:38:17	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x08be16…
05-15 19:38:15	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xe6dbc8…
05-15 19:38:15	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb94368…
05-15 19:38:15	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xa74807…
05-15 19:38:15	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	217	100¢	$217	0x876da1…
05-15 19:38:13	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xa6f584…
05-15 19:38:12	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xaeab62…
05-15 19:38:12	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	348	100¢	$347	0x1fcea9…
05-15 19:38:08	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc36d27…
05-15 19:38:06	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5a6178…
05-15 19:38:06	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x32ba62…
05-15 19:37:31	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	5,461	100¢	$5,450	0xbdb5a6…
05-15 19:29:55	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd0a7fa…
05-15 19:05:26	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0xbb5be0…
05-15 18:45:36	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,990	0xb54616…
05-15 18:43:53	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	833	99¢	$826	0xde9642…
05-15 18:43:27	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0xa16006…
05-15 18:43:22	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0x305d65…
05-15 18:43:01	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xd76153…
05-15 18:42:31	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3,000	99¢	$2,976	0x2feb55…
05-15 18:41:23	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x57e169…
05-15 18:41:12	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0x76903b…
05-15 18:40:27	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	4,354	99¢	$4,323	0x8b7ff7…
05-15 18:39:01	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd63ada…
05-15 18:39:01	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa39802…
05-15 18:39:01	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x35061d…
05-15 18:39:01	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0f1a1c…
05-15 18:38:59	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6,695	99¢	$6,628	0xd81bc2…
05-15 18:38:59	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xcbe138…
05-15 18:38:59	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0xc209dd…
05-15 18:38:59	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xadbfeb…
05-15 18:38:59	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x6778ed…
05-15 18:38:59	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2a81bd…
05-15 18:38:59	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x21247c…