Realized P&L
+$75.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$553
Hit rate
90.4%
Resolved
598
Trades
18,698
lifetime
Volume
$11.6M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$620
Open exposure
$73.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 18:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 184 days
Categories
Politics
58%
76%
+$52,005
Other
36%
73%
+$40,670
Crypto
5%
80%
+$1,592
Sports
1%
52%
-$19,430
Tech
1%
88%
+$197
Pop-Culture
0%
100%
+$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk
• peak 125 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 164 | $737.9K | 471,500 | 271,500 | +200,000 | Yes | +$1,770 | 04-08 21:09 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 356 | $517.9K | 452,087 | 83,650 | +368,436 | No | +$3,064 | 03-04 19:09 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 229 | $459.1K | 445,883 | 21,701 | +424,182 | Yes | +$1,462 | 04-09 09:46 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 55 | $300.1K | 260,393 | 44,000 | +216,393 | No | +$1,170 | 06-03 21:41 |
| will eleven die in stranger things season 5 | 30 | $280.0K | 255,800 | 25,000 | +230,800 | No | +$655 | 01-03 22:22 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 219 | $276.6K | 137,500 | 142,500 | -5,000 | No | +$2,266 | 04-29 16:50 |
| new stranger things episode released by january 31 294 | 104 | $253.2K | 160,052 | 97,042 | +63,010 | No | +$3,177 | 02-01 06:13 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026 | 49 | $244.1K | 210,000 | 35,000 | +175,000 | Yes | +$812 | 04-20 16:28 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 52 | $208.4K | 205,505 | 6,005 | +199,500 | No | +$1,740 | 04-30 21:32 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 199 | $205.0K | 179,218 | 34,247 | +144,970 | Yes | +$3,891 | 03-03 19:39 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 358 | $198.5K | 191,278 | 30,877 | +160,401 | Yes | -$339 | 02-03 19:20 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et | 65 | $188.6K | 189,486 | 0 | +189,486 | Yes | +$870 | 03-04 01:02 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 167 | $183.6K | 124,374 | 67,361 | +57,013 | No | +$5,577 | 03-26 00:30 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 157 | $181.5K | 152,351 | 32,351 | +120,000 | Yes | +$2,323 | 03-12 01:28 |
| us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983 | 28 | $155.9K | 131,454 | 25,463 | +105,991 | No | +$701 | 01-04 00:06 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | 385 | $149.4K | 131,154 | 25,655 | +105,499 | No | +$6,422 | 10-08 07:39 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 117 | $148.1K | 125,987 | 30,559 | +95,428 | Yes | -$838 | 04-22 18:35 |
| will gta 6 cost 100 | 46 | $139.7K | 90,000 | 50,000 | +40,000 | No | +$145 | 02-28 23:40 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | 12 | $134.8K | 70,000 | 65,000 | +5,000 | Yes | -$20 | 04-22 02:01 |
| will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165 | 63 | $128.9K | 73,965 | 55,643 | +18,322 | No | +$481 | 04-06 21:02 |
| will the next official us iran meeting be in oman | 15 | $127.1K | 82,271 | 45,000 | +37,271 | Yes | +$87 | 02-10 00:53 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 247 | $110.7K | 114,000 | 5,500 | +108,500 | No | +$2,722 | 03-31 00:30 |
| will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026 | 142 | $110.2K | 80,554 | 33,244 | +47,310 | No | +$2,859 | 03-31 19:16 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | 35 | $109.6K | 55,000 | 55,000 | +0 | No | +$160 | 04-30 06:36 |
| will iran strike israel on march 6 | 21 | $106.7K | 106,000 | 1,000 | +105,000 | No | +$251 | 03-11 10:34 |
| Will Trump dance today? | 10 | $99.8K | 50,000 | 50,000 | +0 | Yes | +$55 | 04-28 22:27 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | 40 | $94.1K | 65,000 | 30,000 | +35,000 | No | +$730 | 09-15 18:34 |
| will trump say unbelievable or fantastic or incredible 10 times during panthers visit | 18 | $91.9K | 92,056 | 0 | +92,056 | Yes | +$165 | 01-18 18:37 |
| us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150 | 2 | $84.9K | 85,000 | 0 | +85,000 | No | +$85 | 07-01 05:33 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et | 43 | $82.2K | 72,677 | 10,000 | +62,678 | No | +$389 | 03-02 05:04 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||