Realized P&L
-$1.23K
Unrealized P&L
+$597
Hit rate
96.5%
Resolved
12
Trades
12,835
lifetime
Volume
$9.38M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$730
Open exposure
$6.45K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
59% 33% $-1,885
Other
35% 86% +$92
Crypto
5%
Tech
1%
Sports
0% 100% +$564
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 356 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -2,495 $-2,478 99¢ $-2479 $-1 06-03 21:43
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +1,198 $1,166 99¢ $1.2K +$21 06-08 20:10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +905 $871 98¢ $882 +$11 06-01 07:22
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +474 $465 99¢ $470 +$5 06-04 16:50
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +513 $431 86¢ $441 +$10 06-05 19:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -2,999 $-937 10¢ $-285 +$652 06-01 23:00
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes -1,500 $-195 15¢ $-218 $-23 06-04 11:06
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -250 $-182 76¢ $-189 $-6 06-04 17:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -500 $-205 30¢ $-148 +$58 06-01 19:34
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No -120 $-113 92¢ $-111 +$2 06-09 18:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -237 $-88 18¢ $-41 +$46 05-29 18:49
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes -12 $179 $-0 $-179 06-05 23:36