Realized P&L
-$1.23K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.61K
Hit rate
96.5%
Resolved
12
Trades
13,383
lifetime
Volume
$9.80M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$732
Open exposure
$80.9K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 10:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
59% 33% $-1,885
Other
36% 86% +$92
Crypto
5%
Tech
1%
Sports
0% 100% +$564
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 305 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +30,000 $29,798 100¢ $30.0K +$172 06-26 17:56
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +20,000 $19,857 100¢ $20.0K +$112 06-30 10:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +10,000 $9,970 100¢ $10.0K +$20 06-23 16:12
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -5,000 $-4,960 100¢ $-4995 $-36 06-18 06:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +3,500 $3,261 100¢ $3.5K +$224 06-29 20:31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -3,000 $-2,989 100¢ $-2997 $-8 06-17 18:19
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -2,495 $-2,478 100¢ $-2493 $-15 06-03 21:43
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +1,500 $1,350 100¢ $1.5K +$143 06-22 16:10
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +1,148 $896 100¢ $1.1K +$249 06-16 00:08
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -999 $-966 97¢ $-968 $-2 06-21 18:28
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +905 $871 100¢ $903 +$32 06-01 07:22
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +811 $681 91¢ $738 +$57 06-13 17:40
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -985 $-640 66¢ $-655 $-15 06-14 09:55
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +474 $465 100¢ $473 +$9 06-04 16:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -1,000 $-445 36¢ $-355 +$90 06-27 03:19
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No -120 $-113 92¢ $-111 +$2 06-09 18:32
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -1,000 $-100 10¢ $-95 +$5 06-21 21:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -6,808 $-1,571 $-31 +$1,540 06-17 20:55
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -18 $-51 100¢ $-18 +$33 06-28 22:41