Realized P&L
+$32.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$537
Hit rate
71.6%
Resolved
1,997
Trades
63,055
lifetime
Volume
$1.39M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$15.8K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 10:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 260 days
Categories
Other
67% 53% +$34,949
Politics
20% 50% +$6,726
Sports
12% 29% -$9,623
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$30
Tech
0% 60% -$58
Crypto
0% 67% +$120
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 560 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -7,041 -$6,841 98¢ $-6897 -$56 10-14 22:19
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -3,000 -$2,901 98¢ $-2935 -$35 10-19 10:18
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -1,590 -$1,155 84¢ $-1336 -$180 10-05 17:46
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +73,159 $791 1¢ $1.1K +$269 07-30 05:39
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -1,400 -$1,095 66¢ $-917 +$178 08-30 05:22
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +1,919 $947 47¢ $902 -$45 10-14 22:43
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +17,200 $368 2¢ $421 +$54 09-25 07:55
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -400 -$268 82¢ $-326 -$58 07-25 14:08
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes +2,109 $1,047 12¢ $253 -$794 10-09 00:23
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +700 $314 32¢ $228 -$86 10-02 15:51
next white house press secretary announced by december 31 2026 Yes +300 $249 68¢ $206 -$43 10-17 05:43
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -230 -$200 84¢ $-193 +$7 09-10 07:08
next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026 Yes +200 $114 34¢ $69 -$45 10-17 05:44
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,241 -$40 2¢ $-24 +$16 09-18 18:40
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? No +43 -$60 36¢ $16 +$76 08-24 00:49
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,768 $6 0¢ $4 -$1 10-27 21:24
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +3 $1 42¢ $1 +$0 09-18 02:49
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +3 $0 4¢ $0 $0 09-15 21:33
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +0 -$207 93¢ $0 +$208 09-14 13:07