Playful-Marriage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$456

Unrealized P&L

-$208

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

732

Trades

1,756

lifetime

Volume

$59.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-03-07

last 09-13 19:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 158 days

Categories

Other

79% 61% -$250

Politics

12% 65% +$91

Sports

6% 62% +$66

Crypto

2% 52% -$199

Tech

1% 75% -$164

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+594	$220	2¢	$12	-$208	09-13 19:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb stjohn kan 2026 03 22	4	$1.9K	3,880	3,880	+0	St. John's Red Storm	-$27	03-22 22:32
will less than 5000 us flights be delayed on march 24	11	$1.4K	791	791	+0	Yes	+$152	03-25 16:16
cbb ill iowa 2026 03 28	2	$1.3K	2,136	2,136	+0	Illinois Fighting Illini	+$0	03-28 22:37
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 total 3pt5	2	$1.2K	1,510	1,510	+0	Under	+$0	04-08 15:43
cbb tx pur 2026 03 26	15	$1.2K	2,789	2,789	+0	Purdue Boilermakers	-$56	03-26 23:04
cbb tenn mich 2026 03 29	2	$1.1K	2,592	2,592	+0	Michigan Wolverines	-$52	03-29 17:15
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 spread home 1pt5	2	$1.0K	1,638	1,638	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	-$2	04-08 10:25
cbb tcu duke 2026 03 21	31	$966	4,678	3,375	+1,303	Duke Blue Devils	-$156	03-21 22:48
cbb txam hou 2026 03 21	2	$931	471	471	+0	Houston Cougars	+$8	03-21 23:32
will less than 8000 us flights be delayed on march 25	15	$756	402	402	+0	Yes	+$35	03-25 21:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	14	$670	479	478	+1	No	+$104	04-17 12:55
cbb hofst ala 2026 03 20	7	$602	2,015	2,015	+0	Alabama Crimson Tide	-$120	03-20 20:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	6	$571	350	348	+2	No	+$45	04-11 08:39
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$557	293	293	+0	No	+$9	04-30 10:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$557	366	366	+0	No	+$43	04-21 17:54
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	11	$549	640	319	+321	Yes	-$5	05-28 20:43
will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	17	$547	379	379	+0	No	+$67	06-29 15:32
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	11	$509	318	318	+0	No	+$65	03-20 19:58
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$496	938	938	+0	Yes	+$35	03-25 07:29
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	6	$471	267	267	+0	No	+$22	03-31 07:56
will the number of us flights delayed on march 30 be between 5000 and 5500	9	$464	258	258	+0	Yes	+$42	03-31 18:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	6	$423	300	300	+0	Yes	+$106	05-29 16:53
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	7	$422	254	254	+0	No	+$55	03-20 19:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	3	$390	213	213	+0	No	+$19	04-08 06:43
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	7	$388	281	281	+0	No	+$90	03-21 21:29
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	8	$388	243	243	+0	Yes	-$2	06-07 17:49
will between 6000 6500 us flights be delayed on march 24	4	$383	202	202	+0	No	+$12	03-25 10:05
cbb vcu ill 2026 03 21	2	$372	1,200	1,200	+0	Illinois Fighting Illini	-$12	03-21 21:28
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$358	200	200	+0	open	—	06-03 17:47
iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	9	$338	240	240	+0	No	+$85	07-14 22:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 19:57:48	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	33¢	$31	0x4e08ac…
09-13 19:32:33	1st Half Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)	US Sassuolo Calcio	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0xfaf7a4…
09-13 16:09:03	SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xede3aa…
09-13 07:22:15	1st Half Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)	US Sassuolo Calcio	BUY	32	87¢	$27	0xadea2f…
09-13 07:20:51	SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xf1bfb8…
09-13 07:20:39	SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xcdbbae…
09-13 07:17:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x0f8573…
09-12 20:19:36	Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xe8ffb9…
09-12 19:52:46	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0xf4b0d1…
09-12 19:52:21	Will NEC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	16	25¢	$4	0x9d07ba…
09-12 19:52:12	Spread: NEC (-1.5)	NEC	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x18a137…
09-12 19:51:09	Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	75	77¢	$58	0xe66179…
09-12 18:59:46	Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	29	84¢	$24	0x92d94f…
09-12 18:01:33	Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)	Elche CF	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x0c6755…
09-12 16:39:25	Spread: NEC (-1.5)	NEC	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x87b868…
09-12 16:35:03	Will NEC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x73a768…
09-12 16:33:37	Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x5a362b…
09-12 16:31:03	Georgia State vs. Kennesaw State: O/U 48.5	Over	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xef36f1…
09-12 16:30:58	Georgia State vs. Kennesaw State: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x5b0fad…
09-11 12:58:24	Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb9f5cf…
09-11 12:58:19	Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xe727b7…
09-11 12:58:15	Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 7.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x3be812…
09-11 12:42:49	Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)	Elche CF	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0xe3ce78…
09-11 12:41:55	1st Half Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x865f90…
09-11 12:41:19	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x43d228…
09-11 08:13:46	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0xc346f5…
09-11 07:43:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x8980b5…
09-11 07:35:37	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	43¢	$22	0xc034df…
09-11 07:34:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0xf2dda6…
09-11 07:34:22	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xbadb75…
09-11 07:34:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x2f344a…
09-11 03:53:36	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe85c24…
09-11 03:49:40	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x457cfb…
09-10 19:21:07	ucl mnu sf 2026 09 10 spread home 3pt5	Sabah FK	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xb5fd84…
09-10 13:41:39	Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf37321…
09-10 13:41:36	Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x1c7304…
09-10 13:41:06	FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xbaffb7…
09-10 13:40:40	FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x09ff04…
09-10 13:39:00	Spread: PSV (-2.5)	FK Shakhtar Donetsk	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xb7b126…
09-10 13:37:13	Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-10?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xec8c65…
09-09 20:18:39	SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	191	72¢	$137	0xe2616a…
09-09 18:25:06	Will Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xab05fd…
09-09 18:21:37	Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)	Viking FK	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0x8342de…
09-09 18:21:33	Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)	Feyenoord Rotterdam	SELL	34	49¢	$17	0x31a5a5…
09-09 14:17:00	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	128	92¢	$118	0x02a20a…
09-09 14:16:46	Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)	Feyenoord Rotterdam	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x229400…
09-09 14:14:52	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	153	90¢	$138	0x08f0f5…
09-09 12:41:31	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	102	83¢	$85	0xf0acd5…
09-09 12:41:12	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	SELL	98	90¢	$88	0x37e11e…
09-09 06:58:24	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	98	91¢	$89	0xaab83d…
09-09 06:57:46	Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)	Viking FK	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x86877a…
09-09 02:47:49	laptop fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	40	46¢	$18	0x910493…
09-08 19:03:19	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	FC Porto	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x113b10…
09-08 18:12:46	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xc2e550…
09-08 18:10:31	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x355a7c…
09-08 07:05:25	laptop fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x67c8cf…
09-08 01:26:15	laptop fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0xa0e2cb…
09-08 01:25:19	laptop fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x704b90…
09-07 20:38:13	US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xee9293…
09-06 20:05:43	Juventus FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x5a36c0…
09-06 20:04:45	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: Sevilla FC O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x527a99…
09-06 20:02:58	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	28	35¢	$10	0x06408d…
09-06 10:19:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x5e447d…
09-06 06:57:49	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: Sevilla FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xb37060…
09-06 06:56:54	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xe912d2…
09-06 06:56:12	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x961d99…
09-06 05:59:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x2584d6…
09-05 22:23:25	Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xd0c1b7…
09-05 22:17:19	Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 7.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xcc6865…
09-05 22:16:49	Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x52053f…
09-05 22:16:40	Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 11.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xff8acf…
09-05 22:15:21	Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x1755f5…
09-05 22:15:07	Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x2ab8ab…
09-04 20:51:27	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x026f8b…
09-04 20:51:04	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x8b6026…
09-04 20:51:03	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x9fb9af…
09-04 20:50:58	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xeca2fc…
09-04 20:50:52	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xd7ab33…
09-04 20:08:30	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-09-04?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0xa4f3ca…
09-04 20:08:24	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xb90b6d…
09-04 19:34:00	atp bublik paul 2026 09 04	Alexander Bublik	SELL	12	53¢	$6	0x085a38…
09-04 19:15:12	epl ips liv 2026 09 04 spread away 2pt5	Ipswich Town FC	SELL	13	44¢	$6	0x340e50…
09-04 19:14:09	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	83	92¢	$76	0xc7fb20…
09-04 19:12:09	Miami (FL) vs. Stanford: O/U 56.5	Under	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xf3e34f…
09-04 18:49:52	atp bublik paul 2026 09 04	Alexander Bublik	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xea63be…
09-04 07:33:31	Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xc4be75…
09-04 07:32:55	Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf42930…
09-04 07:31:25	Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd8ff65…
09-04 07:30:10	Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x928c2e…
09-04 07:29:07	Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)	Ipswich Town FC	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x2fa5c2…
09-04 07:28:49	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-09-04?	No	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x5736ba…
09-04 07:28:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	35¢	$35	0x91e275…
09-02 19:00:03	1st Half Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	97	95¢	$92	0xb0ce29…
09-02 16:44:27	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 2?	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xd1658d…
09-02 16:44:01	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 2?	Down	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x74d98d…
09-02 16:36:22	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 2?	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x18c764…
09-02 16:21:40	wti up or down on september 2 2026	Up	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x35ce29…
09-02 05:32:34	wti up or down on september 2 2026	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe0483e…
09-01 21:42:39	spcx up or down on september 2 2026	Up	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x1a5b24…
09-01 21:34:09	spcx up or down on september 2 2026	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xcc3782…