Absolute-Ambience — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$297

Unrealized P&L

-$57

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

271

Trades

413

lifetime

Volume

$22.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

$93

1 position

First seen

2026-05-12

last 10-19 16:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Other

74% 42% -$63

Crypto

23% 49% +$417

Politics

2% 25% -$28

Sports

0% 0% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+429	$150	22¢	$93	-$57	07-29 18:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	2	$741	441	441	+0	Yes	+$141	06-22 19:13
Will Canada win on 2026-09-26?	2	$577	377	377	+0	Yes	+$177	09-27 02:37
Will Minnesota United FC vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?	1	$500	798	0	+798	No	-$500	09-10 02:17
Will O'Higgins FC vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?	1	$500	1,064	0	+1,064	No	-$500	07-31 01:47
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	2	$487	290	290	+0	Yes	+$87	06-21 01:56
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?	1	$400	772	0	+772	Yes	+$372	07-14 20:45
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-09-09?	2	$400	526	0	+526	Yes	+$126	09-10 02:23
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	1	$400	494	0	+494	Yes	+$94	06-19 02:34
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	1	$400	440	0	+440	Yes	+$40	07-07 17:56
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-07-29?	2	$350	250	250	+0	Yes	+$150	07-29 22:02
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	2	$328	238	238	+0	Yes	+$128	06-24 20:54
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-07?	1	$300	714	0	+714	Yes	+$414	09-07 19:34
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-10-12?	1	$300	1,034	0	+1,034	No	-$300	10-12 11:01
Will Athletic Bilbao B win on 2026-10-11?	1	$300	682	0	+682	No	-$300	10-11 10:21
Will France win on 2026-10-05?	1	$300	455	0	+455	Yes	+$155	10-05 19:06
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Czechia?	2	$289	219	219	+0	Yes	+$149	10-03 20:43
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-09-08?	2	$275	175	175	+0	Yes	+$75	09-09 00:29
Will Russia win on 2026-09-29?	2	$275	175	175	+0	Yes	+$75	09-29 19:12
Will St. Vincent and the Grenadines win on 2026-10-03?	2	$272	172	172	+0	Yes	+$72	10-03 23:33
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	1	$250	641	0	+641	No	-$250	07-14 16:37
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?	2	$249	149	149	+0	Yes	+$49	10-02 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$235	167	167	+0	Down	+$35	05-14 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$229	139	139	+0	Down	+$29	05-13 20:29
Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?	2	$217	122	122	+0	Yes	+$17	09-29 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$213	114	114	+0	Up	+$13	05-13 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$211	112	112	+0	Up	+$11	05-15 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$206	113	113	+0	Up	+$6	05-16 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$205	106	106	+0	Up	+$5	05-15 02:45
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-17?	1	$200	714	0	+714	No	-$200	09-17 18:29
Will France win on 2026-09-28?	1	$200	444	0	+444	Yes	+$244	09-28 18:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 16:45:35	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	118	34¢	$40	0xfba190…
10-18 18:44:36	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x8a8f0f…
10-14 21:43:52	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	344	32¢	$110	0x4e8cc5…
10-14 12:43:32	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	133	30¢	$40	0x2c2bcf…
10-12 11:01:56	Will SD Eibar win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	1,034	29¢	$300	0x9d9929…
10-11 14:01:03	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	359	55¢	$197	0xa0d592…
10-11 10:21:23	Will Athletic Bilbao B win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	682	44¢	$300	0x377a4f…
10-10 08:39:28	Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	168	30¢	$50	0xeaee0b…
10-10 08:27:04	Arsenal FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x2ea70c…
10-05 23:55:14	Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Platense end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x97618d…
10-05 22:41:07	Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xcb7bcd…
10-05 19:06:07	Will France win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	455	66¢	$300	0xff1675…
10-04 22:37:52	Will Curaçao win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xdf5545…
10-03 23:33:25	Will St. Vincent and the Grenadines win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0x97e03d…
10-03 23:28:44	Will CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	176	6¢	$10	0x80cbb7…
10-03 22:55:20	Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0xb35bc2…
10-03 20:55:20	Will Cuiabá EC vs. AA Ponte Preta end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0x5d4461…
10-03 20:53:49	Will St. Vincent and the Grenadines win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xd90314…
10-03 20:43:22	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Czechia?	Yes	SELL	219	100¢	$219	0x9b6df5…
10-03 20:18:37	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Czechia?	Yes	BUY	219	32¢	$70	0xa508bd…
10-03 19:39:21	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	133	45¢	$60	0xcfa9bc…
10-03 18:48:15	Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x390bd5…
10-02 20:42:08	Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	SELL	149	100¢	$149	0xe2fdd2…
10-02 18:42:45	Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x0d8b13…
10-02 18:40:23	Will France win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0x25a024…
10-02 18:39:51	Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x23f08e…
10-02 02:02:15	Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	325	22¢	$70	0xa18bf4…
10-01 21:59:56	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0xae9420…
10-01 21:44:30	Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x41738a…
10-01 21:15:09	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x604e7a…
10-01 18:09:42	Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x9a5165…
10-01 18:07:08	Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x437190…
10-01 18:06:42	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x0cc026…
09-30 13:50:06	Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xf61c8b…
09-29 20:15:02	Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	SELL	96	98¢	$95	0x82d9cc…
09-29 20:12:54	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	45	38¢	$17	0xb9ee8c…
09-29 20:09:00	Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	SELL	122	96¢	$117	0xd50de5…
09-29 19:12:29	Will Russia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0x54fd72…
09-29 19:06:27	Spain vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xb79f34…
09-29 17:58:42	Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xc4856f…
09-29 17:58:29	Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x02c980…
09-29 17:53:12	Will Moldova vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xf7ced5…
09-29 17:30:15	Will Moldova win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xb5bab6…
09-29 17:07:18	Will Moldova vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	75	27¢	$20	0xf4da3c…
09-29 15:25:20	Will Russia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xb85ba1…
09-28 18:21:56	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	444	45¢	$200	0x5c1d99…
09-27 02:37:00	Will Canada win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	SELL	377	100¢	$377	0x3b8b79…
09-27 02:36:51	Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x5c0ec7…
09-27 00:04:56	Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x0551a8…
09-26 23:33:56	Will Colombia win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0xea391b…
09-26 23:30:21	Will Canada win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0x7a2c5f…
09-26 03:01:23	Will El Salvador win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x761a83…
09-26 02:45:57	Will Sint Maarten win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0xcbc8bd…
09-26 02:35:23	Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x85fb6a…
09-25 18:46:44	Will Italy win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0xd1ada5…
09-25 18:45:20	Will France win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xef3513…
09-24 16:03:27	Will Malta win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xda8e50…
09-24 16:01:38	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xa82bbf…
09-17 18:29:09	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-17?	Yes	BUY	714	28¢	$200	0x28736d…
09-12 23:11:30	Will CA Unión win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	412	24¢	$100	0xda19b4…
09-12 18:35:25	Will Konyaspor vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0x6133b9…
09-12 18:18:45	Will Athletic Club vs. Elche CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0x9d3764…
09-12 00:59:42	Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0xd9bbf0…
09-10 05:56:00	Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0xe7ae28…
09-10 05:50:25	Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x78fd2c…
09-10 02:23:01	Will FC Dallas win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	360	83¢	$300	0x71927f…
09-10 02:17:33	Will Minnesota United FC vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	798	63¢	$500	0xb413d7…
09-10 02:01:18	Will FC Dallas win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x2317da…
09-09 00:57:27	Exact Score: Cuiabá EC 2 - 0 Athletic Club?	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xa20de1…
09-09 00:32:12	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xee6324…
09-09 00:29:40	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0x25e0ae…
09-09 00:29:09	Exact Score: Cuiabá EC 1 - 0 Athletic Club?	Yes	BUY	125	32¢	$40	0xd979b9…
09-08 22:10:58	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x3be59b…
09-07 23:09:27	Will EC Vitória win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	BUY	315	45¢	$143	0xcffdc9…
09-07 19:34:42	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	BUY	714	42¢	$300	0x3dc227…
09-03 20:40:28	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-03?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x0afa91…
07-31 02:33:54	Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x87b81c…
07-31 02:32:47	Will Elche CF win on 2026-07-31?	Yes	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0x30ed25…
07-31 02:07:11	Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	SELL	130	76¢	$99	0x0e243a…
07-31 01:47:45	Will O'Higgins FC vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,064	47¢	$500	0xe1b14e…
07-30 18:33:38	Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,156	1¢	$10	0x07f62b…
07-30 18:33:29	Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	177	6¢	$10	0xd4d303…
07-30 18:33:03	Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	538	19¢	$100	0xc1bccf…
07-30 18:27:26	Will AC Monza win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	SELL	196	0¢	$0	0x5feb89…
07-30 18:24:08	Will CA Huracán win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x9c1a51…
07-30 18:15:21	Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0x9db261…
07-30 18:13:03	Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xcb0931…
07-30 16:01:38	Will FK Rostov win on 2026-07-31?	Yes	BUY	141	43¢	$60	0xe70ee9…
07-30 15:58:30	Will AC Monza win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xb5ff9e…
07-30 01:38:24	Exact Score: EC Vitória 0 - 2 SE Palmeiras?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x3e069f…
07-30 01:26:57	Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-29?	Yes	BUY	235	17¢	$40	0xf392aa…
07-29 23:15:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe66f95…
07-29 23:13:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xf60656…
07-29 22:02:59	Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-07-29?	Yes	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x13ceb9…
07-29 20:40:56	Exact Score: CSyD Defensa y Justicia 2 - 0 CD Riestra?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xe45157…
07-29 18:31:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x6f4728…
07-29 18:29:08	Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-08-08?	Yes	BUY	113	44¢	$50	0xf6b0fd…
07-29 18:26:54	Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-07-29?	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x5fb624…
07-29 00:03:43	Will EC Juventude win on 2026-07-28?	Yes	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x6c736d…
07-19 21:44:55	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x8914b3…