Affectionate-Chemical — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.81K

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

782

Trades

5,966

lifetime

Volume

$1.02M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$172

Open exposure

$24.8K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-28 10:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Other

80% 56% -$37,254

Sports

18% 46% -$1,475

Tech

2% 93% +$318

Crypto

0% 69% +$52

Politics

0% 62% -$820

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+24,367	$21,797	95¢	$23.1K	+$1,352	10-28 12:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+21,436	$5,235	5¢	$1.1K	-$4,163	10-24 12:31
76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	+559	$329	64¢	$355	+$26	10-27 19:15
Thunder vs. Mavericks	Thunder	+333	$252	66¢	$218	-$34	10-28 11:59
Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	+37	$22	60¢	$22	$0	10-27 22:47
Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	+35	$9	34¢	$12	+$3	10-27 07:37
76ers vs. Pacers	Pacers	+3	$1	36¢	$1	$0	10-27 18:04
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	+0	-$3	4¢	$0	+$3	05-25 05:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	55	$44.6K	75,995	179	+75,816	Spain	+$3,463	07-19 21:57
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	71	$40.0K	81,447	150	+81,297	Spain	-$18,135	07-14 20:31
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	61	$35.8K	57,303	0	+57,303	England	+$5,494	07-06 03:03
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	43	$33.3K	40,055	138	+39,918	Argentina	+$5,294	07-12 03:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	278	$33.2K	137,625	396	+137,229	No	-$32,782	09-16 18:00
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	47	$30.4K	49,010	680	+48,330	Argentina	-$19,672	07-15 20:59
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	67	$29.7K	54,772	374	+54,398	England	+$11,320	07-11 23:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	35	$29.7K	38,965	5	+38,959	Yes	+$8,877	07-29 17:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	249	$27.1K	45,937	133	+45,803	open	—	10-28 12:04
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	19	$23.0K	29,584	0	+29,584	France	+$2,917	07-09 21:42
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	35	$22.6K	29,199	0	+29,199	England	-$1,529	07-18 22:59
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	64	$18.4K	56,377	2,066	+54,311	Argentina	+$12,079	07-07 18:00
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	27	$17.6K	29,518	57	+29,461	Belgium	-$2,048	07-07 01:44
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	12	$14.8K	17,203	0	+17,203	Spain	+$2,357	07-02 19:42
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	29	$13.4K	17,680	0	+17,680	Argentina	+$3,030	07-04 00:42
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	62	$13.2K	20,379	387	+19,992	Paraguay	-$11,251	06-29 23:27
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	176	$11.6K	39,720	269	+39,451	Yes	-$7,066	09-16 16:33
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	50	$11.5K	38,443	313	+38,130	Brazil	-$9,124	06-29 18:57
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	29	$11.2K	16,493	849	+15,644	Yes	+$2,181	07-19 22:01
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	12	$10.6K	5,375	5,375	+0	Yes	+$83	06-06 05:23
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	31	$10.6K	24,798	1,445	+23,353	No	+$3,219	07-19 22:01
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	38	$10.4K	20,060	1,025	+19,034	Portugal	+$5,033	07-03 01:05
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	33	$10.4K	17,731	14	+17,716	England	+$7,311	07-01 17:37
Rockets vs. Spurs	68	$10.3K	21,291	0	+21,291	Rockets	-$5,232	10-24 04:17
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	4	$10.0K	5,500	5,500	+0	No	+$158	08-23 15:23
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	40	$9.7K	14,265	10	+14,255	Belgium	-$4,471	07-01 22:48
crint ind wst 2026 03 01	27	$9.4K	6,355	6,355	+0	India	-$426	03-01 15:17
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	32	$8.8K	16,760	665	+16,095	No	-$8,134	06-28 01:10
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	32	$8.6K	14,119	103	+14,016	Norway	+$4,112	06-30 18:55
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	25	$7.9K	4,055	4,055	+0	Yes	+$118	06-07 18:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 12:04:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x8b260c…
10-28 12:02:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xd07775…
10-28 12:02:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x079039…
10-28 11:59:26	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Thunder	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x3099b1…
10-28 11:38:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xa87fcf…
10-28 11:37:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0xd2c6af…
10-28 11:11:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x0e6f31…
10-28 11:10:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	155	95¢	$148	0xec3680…
10-28 11:10:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	136	95¢	$129	0xc05a95…
10-28 10:45:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0x3ba092…
10-28 10:45:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x8fb64c…
10-28 10:45:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x0bd73e…
10-28 10:44:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	86	95¢	$82	0x48caf0…
10-28 10:13:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xc5b1e0…
10-28 10:13:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x38261d…
10-28 10:13:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xac9484…
10-28 10:13:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x6e584d…
10-28 10:08:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x9b6964…
10-28 10:08:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xca6fc9…
10-28 09:50:01	Hornets vs. Wizards	Hornets	BUY	34	55¢	$19	0x180225…
10-28 08:33:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x81f5b1…
10-28 08:33:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	180	95¢	$171	0x7859fd…
10-28 08:33:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x50b564…
10-28 08:33:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa40296…
10-28 08:33:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xa53e72…
10-28 08:25:58	Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2c95ec…
10-28 07:38:05	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	31	50¢	$16	0x1803d2…
10-28 07:37:40	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xc8f1c7…
10-28 05:13:10	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Trail Blazers	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x97930c…
10-28 04:53:04	Pistons vs. Nets	Pistons	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0xf69882…
10-28 04:45:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xe742c5…
10-28 04:45:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	96¢	$57	0x341b04…
10-28 04:45:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x2c5562…
10-28 04:44:58	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	45	74¢	$33	0x42d29c…
10-28 04:42:53	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	101	71¢	$72	0x10ae5d…
10-28 04:18:19	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	59	53¢	$31	0x3eb941…
10-28 04:11:14	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	97	46¢	$45	0xec25f3…
10-28 04:11:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	130	96¢	$125	0xc63ab1…
10-28 04:11:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	114	96¢	$109	0x76c482…
10-28 04:09:55	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	95	49¢	$47	0xf742f5…
10-28 03:36:09	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	69	61¢	$42	0x509abe…
10-28 03:03:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	65	96¢	$62	0xe36b25…
10-28 02:34:21	Pistons vs. Nets	Pistons	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0xda3377…
10-28 02:31:18	Spurs vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	54	16¢	$9	0x910f3c…
10-28 02:26:27	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0xc300f3…
10-28 02:12:59	Nets vs. Celtics	Nets	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb8642d…
10-28 02:11:00	Pistons vs. Knicks	Pistons	BUY	71	2¢	$1	0xf76053…
10-28 02:10:08	Heat vs. Hawks	Heat	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x208a1d…
10-28 01:54:48	Nets vs. Celtics	Nets	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0xf2ee2d…
10-28 01:31:21	Nets vs. Celtics	Nets	BUY	159	17¢	$27	0x6d51ae…
10-28 01:31:20	Nets vs. Celtics	Nets	BUY	122	17¢	$21	0x9f111f…
10-28 01:03:54	Pistons vs. Knicks	Pistons	BUY	204	50¢	$102	0x18d5e2…
10-28 01:03:47	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	178	68¢	$121	0x4ef9a0…
10-28 01:01:11	Pistons vs. Knicks	Pistons	BUY	80	57¢	$46	0xdd382b…
10-28 01:00:47	Nets vs. Celtics	Nets	BUY	155	28¢	$44	0x62dea3…
10-28 00:59:50	Nets vs. Celtics	Nets	BUY	475	28¢	$133	0x204363…
10-28 00:48:41	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xa16b5a…
10-28 00:43:20	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	356	38¢	$135	0x079e18…
10-28 00:40:36	Pistons vs. Knicks	Pistons	BUY	95	57¢	$54	0x42abda…
10-28 00:37:57	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	185	49¢	$91	0x14bbe7…
10-28 00:33:38	Pistons vs. Knicks	Pistons	BUY	94	46¢	$43	0xf757ff…
10-28 00:31:00	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	246	73¢	$180	0xca6925…
10-28 00:28:41	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	36	71¢	$26	0xaaa8ea…
10-28 00:22:00	Nets vs. Celtics	Nets	BUY	33	23¢	$8	0x73e848…
10-28 00:18:47	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	94	70¢	$66	0x7126fb…
10-28 00:17:23	Pistons vs. Knicks	Pistons	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x545736…
10-28 00:17:21	Pistons vs. Knicks	Pistons	BUY	76	36¢	$27	0xb04577…
10-28 00:16:11	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xb65471…
10-28 00:00:08	Clippers vs. Timberwolves	Clippers	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xbd259c…
10-27 23:56:14	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	285	83¢	$237	0x8e2cf7…
10-27 23:55:06	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	34	85¢	$29	0x5ca6a4…
10-27 23:48:21	Nets vs. Celtics	Nets	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xfb64c2…
10-27 23:48:06	Heat vs. Hawks	Heat	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xc2c637…
10-27 23:46:26	Nets vs. Celtics	Nets	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xaeb7e2…
10-27 23:41:39	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	86	84¢	$72	0xfb0414…
10-27 23:41:23	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	66	85¢	$56	0x1ef095…
10-27 22:47:00	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	37	60¢	$22	0x744de3…
10-27 21:47:12	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	53	37¢	$20	0x1cfd1f…
10-27 21:40:21	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xc24f24…
10-27 21:40:17	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	484	9¢	$43	0x446d6b…
10-27 21:40:14	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	479	9¢	$43	0x951035…
10-27 21:15:57	Rockets vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x1c88e5…
10-27 20:55:12	Rockets vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0xb8614e…
10-27 20:50:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x6e4568…
10-27 20:50:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	118	95¢	$112	0xdb544c…
10-27 20:21:38	Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0x0e240a…
10-27 20:15:42	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xd56f42…
10-27 20:15:33	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	91	5¢	$5	0x87880e…
10-27 20:14:39	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x3dfdcb…
10-27 20:14:35	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	235	89¢	$209	0x501380…
10-27 20:10:14	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	106	4¢	$4	0x203b52…
10-27 20:10:09	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	106	4¢	$4	0xd31497…
10-27 20:10:06	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0x146aab…
10-27 20:08:14	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	327	5¢	$16	0xfce558…
10-27 19:55:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	75	95¢	$72	0x0ef165…
10-27 19:55:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	266	95¢	$253	0x808750…
10-27 19:53:33	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x51e57b…
10-27 19:53:17	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x9bcdbf…
10-27 19:53:15	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x3376c8…
10-27 19:32:35	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Thunder	BUY	48	77¢	$37	0xde0d22…