Affectionate-Chemical — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$47.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

45.2%

Resolved (90d)

568

Trades (90d)

4,139

6,133 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$369.3K

$1.04M lifetime

Avg / trade

$169

Open exposure

$1.75K

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-29 22:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Other

79% 55% -$40,719

Sports

18% 46% -$3,851

Tech

2% 93% +$318

Crypto

0% 69% +$52

Politics

0% 62% -$820

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers		+1,460	$1,037	72¢	$1.1K	+$22	10-29 07:23
Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Hawks		+612	$312	52¢	$315	+$3	10-29 08:44
Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers		+240	$117	48¢	$117	$0	10-29 14:24
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming		+115	$91	90¢	$104	+$13	10-29 22:48
Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	—	+173	$92	52¢	$89	-$3	10-29 21:37
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Grizzlies		+141	$40	28¢	$39	-$1	10-29 01:08
Kings vs. Pelicans	Kings		+41	$13	32¢	$13	+$0	10-29 22:20
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports		+115	$21	10¢	$11	-$10	10-29 22:54
LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster		+620	$43	1¢	$6	-$37	10-29 21:01
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes		+0	-$3	4¢	$0	+$3	05-25 05:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	55	$44.6K	75,995	179	+75,816	Spain	+$3,463	07-19 21:57
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	71	$40.0K	81,447	150	+81,297	Spain	-$18,135	07-14 20:31
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	61	$35.8K	57,303	0	+57,303	England	+$5,494	07-06 03:03
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	43	$33.3K	40,055	138	+39,918	Argentina	+$5,294	07-12 03:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	278	$33.2K	137,625	396	+137,229	No	-$32,782	09-16 18:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	265	$30.8K	49,916	133	+49,783	Yes	-$2,457	10-28 15:38
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	47	$30.4K	49,010	680	+48,330	Argentina	-$19,672	07-15 20:59
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	67	$29.7K	54,772	374	+54,398	England	+$11,320	07-11 23:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	35	$29.7K	38,965	5	+38,959	Yes	+$8,877	07-29 17:51
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	19	$23.0K	29,584	0	+29,584	France	+$2,917	07-09 21:42
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	35	$22.6K	29,199	0	+29,199	England	-$1,529	07-18 22:59
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	64	$18.4K	56,377	2,066	+54,311	Argentina	+$12,079	07-07 18:00
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	27	$17.6K	29,518	57	+29,461	Belgium	-$2,048	07-07 01:44
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	12	$14.8K	17,203	0	+17,203	Spain	+$2,357	07-02 19:42
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	29	$13.4K	17,680	0	+17,680	Argentina	+$3,030	07-04 00:42
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	62	$13.2K	20,379	387	+19,992	Paraguay	-$11,251	06-29 23:27
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	176	$11.6K	39,720	269	+39,451	Yes	-$7,066	09-16 16:33
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	50	$11.5K	38,443	313	+38,130	Brazil	-$9,124	06-29 18:57
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	29	$11.2K	16,493	849	+15,644	Yes	+$2,181	07-19 22:01
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	12	$10.6K	5,375	5,375	+0	Yes	+$83	06-06 05:23
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	31	$10.6K	24,798	1,445	+23,353	No	+$3,219	07-19 22:01
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	38	$10.4K	20,060	1,025	+19,034	Portugal	+$5,033	07-03 01:05
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	33	$10.4K	17,731	14	+17,716	England	+$7,311	07-01 17:37
Rockets vs. Spurs	68	$10.3K	21,291	0	+21,291	Rockets	-$5,232	10-24 04:17
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	4	$10.0K	5,500	5,500	+0	No	+$158	08-23 15:23
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	40	$9.7K	14,265	10	+14,255	Belgium	-$4,471	07-01 22:48
crint ind wst 2026 03 01	27	$9.4K	6,355	6,355	+0	India	-$426	03-01 15:17
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	32	$8.8K	16,760	665	+16,095	No	-$8,134	06-28 01:10
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	32	$8.6K	14,119	103	+14,016	Norway	+$4,112	06-30 18:55
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	25	$7.9K	4,055	4,055	+0	Yes	+$118	06-07 18:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 22:54:39	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0xd84859…
10-29 22:54:34	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	90	18¢	$16	0x879012…
10-29 22:48:54	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	26	79¢	$21	0x06408c…
10-29 22:48:48	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x606d13…
10-29 22:48:40	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	51	80¢	$40	0xd34a28…
10-29 22:20:00	Kings vs. Pelicans	Kings	BUY	41	32¢	$13	0x732c4f…
10-29 21:59:58	76ers vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xf6d12b…
10-29 21:37:10	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	173	53¢	$92	0x70b734…
10-29 21:09:24	Will Everton FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	9¢	$3	0xa3d4ad…
10-29 21:09:19	Will Everton FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	136	9¢	$12	0x8a79ff…
10-29 21:09:15	Will Everton FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	61	9¢	$5	0xa1c8c0…
10-29 21:09:12	Will Everton FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	93	9¢	$8	0x8fbef8…
10-29 21:01:40	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa30161…
10-29 21:01:21	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	124	7¢	$9	0x684712…
10-29 21:01:16	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	479	7¢	$34	0x4f9f59…
10-29 20:30:24	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	BUY	193	61¢	$118	0x75e1e2…
10-29 20:30:21	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	BUY	76	60¢	$46	0x20b063…
10-29 20:20:57	Will Everton FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	95	23¢	$22	0x1d7d4f…
10-29 20:09:42	Cavaliers vs. Bucks	Cavaliers	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x66ab46…
10-29 19:29:43	Lakers vs. Warriors	Lakers	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x661c8b…
10-29 19:16:16	Lakers vs. Warriors	Lakers	BUY	28	55¢	$15	0x764653…
10-29 17:00:17	Pacers vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x069021…
10-29 16:56:46	Magic vs. Raptors	Magic	BUY	332	35¢	$116	0x82f51f…
10-29 16:52:16	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x3b53e1…
10-29 16:13:46	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	355	37¢	$131	0x531330…
10-29 14:24:44	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	46	49¢	$23	0x7c6645…
10-29 14:24:40	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	167	49¢	$82	0xe977df…
10-29 12:09:29	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	46	3¢	$2	0x26152d…
10-29 11:23:05	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x6108fd…
10-29 11:23:04	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	68	96¢	$65	0x1c2504…
10-29 11:16:47	Lakers vs. Warriors	Lakers	BUY	53	55¢	$29	0x5a96a1…
10-29 10:08:16	76ers vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xd88014…
10-29 08:44:44	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	564	51¢	$288	0xb5f566…
10-29 08:37:02	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	BUY	167	62¢	$104	0x5f1b99…
10-29 08:23:47	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	393	56¢	$220	0xa2c28c…
10-29 07:53:55	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x777f5c…
10-29 07:53:50	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xdc3150…
10-29 07:53:49	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x2aeb61…
10-29 07:23:13	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	1,460	71¢	$1,037	0xe8c9f2…
10-29 07:06:55	Lakers vs. Warriors	Lakers	BUY	69	53¢	$37	0x406e5b…
10-29 04:09:22	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0xeca18f…
10-29 03:30:10	Lakers vs. Clippers	Clippers	BUY	94	23¢	$22	0x9a3fd7…
10-29 03:15:04	Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0x821082…
10-29 03:05:41	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	94	54¢	$51	0xf99d40…
10-29 03:01:26	Lakers vs. Clippers	Clippers	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x32a5fc…
10-29 02:57:14	Spurs vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	76	21¢	$16	0x40cb7b…
10-29 02:45:13	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Thunder	BUY	165	45¢	$74	0x404c58…
10-29 02:44:56	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x8bc85f…
10-29 02:44:47	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	95	50¢	$48	0x3050a6…
10-29 02:39:22	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xd92b11…
10-29 02:39:17	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x58cfff…
10-29 02:39:10	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	95	48¢	$46	0xfd123f…
10-29 02:39:07	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	232	48¢	$111	0x8d3284…
10-29 02:38:59	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	212	48¢	$102	0x7a0de3…
10-29 02:38:56	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	132	48¢	$63	0x8bea97…
10-29 02:29:25	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Thunder	BUY	29	39¢	$11	0x463eaa…
10-29 02:25:16	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xd6c818…
10-29 02:25:16	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x252055…
10-29 02:20:10	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Thunder	BUY	235	45¢	$106	0x0c3c15…
10-29 02:19:56	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	BUY	393	65¢	$255	0x89720f…
10-29 02:16:35	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	31	41¢	$13	0xef37f0…
10-29 02:16:34	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	188	41¢	$77	0xfc33bf…
10-29 02:16:32	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	250	41¢	$102	0xfab15b…
10-29 02:16:29	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xfdf349…
10-29 02:10:58	Knicks vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	104	47¢	$49	0x96d4e7…
10-29 02:10:56	Knicks vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	59	47¢	$28	0x78bcd6…
10-29 02:02:55	Knicks vs. Bulls	Knicks	BUY	37	43¢	$16	0x911ff9…
10-29 02:02:53	Knicks vs. Bulls	Knicks	BUY	182	43¢	$78	0xead6cd…
10-29 01:57:55	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Nuggets	BUY	128	79¢	$101	0xbde845…
10-29 01:57:53	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Nuggets	BUY	128	79¢	$101	0x3a859f…
10-29 01:54:19	Lakers vs. Warriors	Lakers	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0xd32e50…
10-29 01:54:13	Lakers vs. Warriors	Lakers	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0x6869b7…
10-29 01:17:16	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	232	8¢	$19	0xdaf9da…
10-29 01:10:23	Rockets vs. Bucks	Bucks	SELL	122	3¢	$4	0xc6a2d9…
10-29 01:10:20	Rockets vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	903	4¢	$36	0xbbf6fe…
10-29 01:08:20	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Grizzlies	BUY	130	28¢	$36	0xa08196…
10-29 01:04:52	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Thunder	BUY	29	63¢	$18	0xf74640…
10-29 01:02:38	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0x009e11…
10-29 01:02:26	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0xd252f6…
10-29 00:55:23	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	35	32¢	$11	0x655cfd…
10-29 00:49:43	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	85	55¢	$47	0x9ae8d0…
10-29 00:49:41	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	85	55¢	$47	0xf554b8…
10-29 00:49:38	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	63	55¢	$35	0x9211ae…
10-29 00:47:25	Rockets vs. Bucks	Rockets	BUY	39	82¢	$32	0x054a04…
10-29 00:41:23	Heat vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	93	16¢	$15	0x78fefc…
10-29 00:40:46	Magic vs. Raptors	Magic	BUY	62	21¢	$13	0xa1c10f…
10-29 00:26:40	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xabd7e1…
10-29 00:26:40	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x947ba8…
10-29 00:15:59	Rockets vs. Bucks	Rockets	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xf88f29…
10-29 00:10:35	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	46	9¢	$4	0xd01458…
10-29 00:10:31	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xbc6982…
10-29 00:05:29	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	144	45¢	$64	0xb0f514…
10-29 00:05:02	Hornets vs. Pistons	Hornets	BUY	95	51¢	$48	0x297666…
10-28 23:46:05	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	46	61¢	$28	0x043020…
10-28 23:46:04	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x83f0ed…
10-28 23:31:40	Hornets vs. Pistons	Hornets	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xc2c52d…
10-28 23:31:40	Hornets vs. Pistons	Hornets	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x29e649…
10-28 23:19:44	Hornets vs. Pistons	Hornets	BUY	65	41¢	$27	0xdcbb03…
10-28 23:15:52	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x5a85db…
10-28 23:15:40	Hornets vs. Pistons	Hornets	BUY	72	41¢	$30	0xb1ea69…