Affectionate-Chemical — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$9.90K

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

43.6%

Resolved (30d)

344

Trades (30d)

2,729

6,094 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$228.1K

$1.04M lifetime

Avg / trade

$170

Open exposure

$42

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-29 04:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Other

79% 55% -$40,719

Sports

18% 46% -$3,851

Tech

2% 93% +$318

Crypto

0% 69% +$52

Politics

0% 62% -$820

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Grizzlies	—	+141	$40	30¢	$42	+$2	10-29 01:08
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes		+0	-$3	3¢	$0	+$3	05-25 05:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	55	$44.6K	75,995	179	+75,816	Spain	+$3,463	07-19 21:57
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	71	$40.0K	81,447	150	+81,297	Spain	-$18,135	07-14 20:31
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	61	$35.8K	57,303	0	+57,303	England	+$5,494	07-06 03:03
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	43	$33.3K	40,055	138	+39,918	Argentina	+$5,294	07-12 03:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	278	$33.2K	137,625	396	+137,229	No	-$32,782	09-16 18:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	265	$30.8K	49,916	133	+49,783	Yes	-$2,457	10-28 15:38
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	47	$30.4K	49,010	680	+48,330	Argentina	-$19,672	07-15 20:59
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	67	$29.7K	54,772	374	+54,398	England	+$11,320	07-11 23:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	35	$29.7K	38,965	5	+38,959	Yes	+$8,877	07-29 17:51
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	19	$23.0K	29,584	0	+29,584	France	+$2,917	07-09 21:42
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	35	$22.6K	29,199	0	+29,199	England	-$1,529	07-18 22:59
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	64	$18.4K	56,377	2,066	+54,311	Argentina	+$12,079	07-07 18:00
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	27	$17.6K	29,518	57	+29,461	Belgium	-$2,048	07-07 01:44
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	12	$14.8K	17,203	0	+17,203	Spain	+$2,357	07-02 19:42
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	29	$13.4K	17,680	0	+17,680	Argentina	+$3,030	07-04 00:42
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	62	$13.2K	20,379	387	+19,992	Paraguay	-$11,251	06-29 23:27
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	176	$11.6K	39,720	269	+39,451	Yes	-$7,066	09-16 16:33
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	50	$11.5K	38,443	313	+38,130	Brazil	-$9,124	06-29 18:57
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	29	$11.2K	16,493	849	+15,644	Yes	+$2,181	07-19 22:01
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	12	$10.6K	5,375	5,375	+0	Yes	+$83	06-06 05:23
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	31	$10.6K	24,798	1,445	+23,353	No	+$3,219	07-19 22:01
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	38	$10.4K	20,060	1,025	+19,034	Portugal	+$5,033	07-03 01:05
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	33	$10.4K	17,731	14	+17,716	England	+$7,311	07-01 17:37
Rockets vs. Spurs	68	$10.3K	21,291	0	+21,291	Rockets	-$5,232	10-24 04:17
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	4	$10.0K	5,500	5,500	+0	No	+$158	08-23 15:23
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	40	$9.7K	14,265	10	+14,255	Belgium	-$4,471	07-01 22:48
crint ind wst 2026 03 01	27	$9.4K	6,355	6,355	+0	India	-$426	03-01 15:17
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	32	$8.8K	16,760	665	+16,095	No	-$8,134	06-28 01:10
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	32	$8.6K	14,119	103	+14,016	Norway	+$4,112	06-30 18:55
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	25	$7.9K	4,055	4,055	+0	Yes	+$118	06-07 18:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 04:09:22	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0xeca18f…
10-29 03:30:10	Lakers vs. Clippers	Clippers	BUY	94	23¢	$22	0x9a3fd7…
10-29 03:15:04	Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0x821082…
10-29 03:05:41	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	94	54¢	$51	0xf99d40…
10-29 03:01:26	Lakers vs. Clippers	Clippers	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x32a5fc…
10-29 02:57:14	Spurs vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	76	21¢	$16	0x40cb7b…
10-29 02:45:13	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Thunder	BUY	165	45¢	$74	0x404c58…
10-29 02:44:56	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x8bc85f…
10-29 02:44:47	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	95	50¢	$48	0x3050a6…
10-29 02:39:22	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xd92b11…
10-29 02:39:17	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x58cfff…
10-29 02:39:10	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	95	48¢	$46	0xfd123f…
10-29 02:39:07	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	232	48¢	$111	0x8d3284…
10-29 02:38:59	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	212	48¢	$102	0x7a0de3…
10-29 02:38:56	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	132	48¢	$63	0x8bea97…
10-29 02:29:25	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Thunder	BUY	29	39¢	$11	0x463eaa…
10-29 02:25:16	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xd6c818…
10-29 02:25:16	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x252055…
10-29 02:20:10	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Thunder	BUY	235	45¢	$106	0x0c3c15…
10-29 02:19:56	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	BUY	393	65¢	$255	0x89720f…
10-29 02:16:35	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	31	41¢	$13	0xef37f0…
10-29 02:16:34	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	188	41¢	$77	0xfc33bf…
10-29 02:16:32	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	250	41¢	$102	0xfab15b…
10-29 02:16:29	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xfdf349…
10-29 02:10:58	Knicks vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	104	47¢	$49	0x96d4e7…
10-29 02:10:56	Knicks vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	59	47¢	$28	0x78bcd6…
10-29 02:02:55	Knicks vs. Bulls	Knicks	BUY	37	43¢	$16	0x911ff9…
10-29 02:02:53	Knicks vs. Bulls	Knicks	BUY	182	43¢	$78	0xead6cd…
10-29 01:57:55	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Nuggets	BUY	128	79¢	$101	0xbde845…
10-29 01:57:53	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Nuggets	BUY	128	79¢	$101	0x3a859f…
10-29 01:54:19	Lakers vs. Warriors	Lakers	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0xd32e50…
10-29 01:54:13	Lakers vs. Warriors	Lakers	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0x6869b7…
10-29 01:17:16	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	232	8¢	$19	0xdaf9da…
10-29 01:10:23	Rockets vs. Bucks	Bucks	SELL	122	3¢	$4	0xc6a2d9…
10-29 01:10:20	Rockets vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	903	4¢	$36	0xbbf6fe…
10-29 01:08:20	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Grizzlies	BUY	130	28¢	$36	0xa08196…
10-29 01:04:52	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Thunder	BUY	29	63¢	$18	0xf74640…
10-29 01:02:38	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0x009e11…
10-29 01:02:26	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0xd252f6…
10-29 00:55:23	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	35	32¢	$11	0x655cfd…
10-29 00:49:43	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	85	55¢	$47	0x9ae8d0…
10-29 00:49:41	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	85	55¢	$47	0xf554b8…
10-29 00:49:38	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	63	55¢	$35	0x9211ae…
10-29 00:47:25	Rockets vs. Bucks	Rockets	BUY	39	82¢	$32	0x054a04…
10-29 00:41:23	Heat vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	93	16¢	$15	0x78fefc…
10-29 00:40:46	Magic vs. Raptors	Magic	BUY	62	21¢	$13	0xa1c10f…
10-29 00:26:40	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xabd7e1…
10-29 00:26:40	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x947ba8…
10-29 00:15:59	Rockets vs. Bucks	Rockets	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xf88f29…
10-29 00:10:35	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	46	9¢	$4	0xd01458…
10-29 00:10:31	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xbc6982…
10-29 00:05:29	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	144	45¢	$64	0xb0f514…
10-29 00:05:02	Hornets vs. Pistons	Hornets	BUY	95	51¢	$48	0x297666…
10-28 23:46:05	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	46	61¢	$28	0x043020…
10-28 23:46:04	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x83f0ed…
10-28 23:31:40	Hornets vs. Pistons	Hornets	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xc2c52d…
10-28 23:31:40	Hornets vs. Pistons	Hornets	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x29e649…
10-28 23:19:44	Hornets vs. Pistons	Hornets	BUY	65	41¢	$27	0xdcbb03…
10-28 23:15:52	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x5a85db…
10-28 23:15:40	Hornets vs. Pistons	Hornets	BUY	72	41¢	$30	0xb1ea69…
10-28 23:14:50	Hornets vs. Pistons	Hornets	BUY	56	42¢	$24	0x41ee34…
10-28 23:13:11	76ers vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	277	27¢	$75	0x5ab5e6…
10-28 23:13:10	76ers vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x28ef9b…
10-28 23:10:59	76ers vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	51	28¢	$14	0x41fda5…
10-28 23:10:50	76ers vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0xff94ab…
10-28 22:10:43	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0x2a3ad2…
10-28 22:05:26	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	142	38¢	$54	0x6b33dd…
10-28 21:20:38	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x261e9a…
10-28 21:00:50	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0x787b73…
10-28 21:00:49	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	80	33¢	$26	0x1fe4fa…
10-28 21:00:47	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	157	32¢	$50	0x371056…
10-28 20:54:46	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf494a4…
10-28 20:54:44	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	173	1¢	$2	0xf23b24…
10-28 20:54:44	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa9c6bd…
10-28 20:54:44	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2b6ea3…
10-28 20:54:44	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	220	1¢	$2	0x28c500…
10-28 20:53:29	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	444	2¢	$9	0xdadcbb…
10-28 20:44:11	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x2c8ddb…
10-28 20:43:59	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xa82712…
10-28 20:39:46	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	505	94¢	$475	0x386e9f…
10-28 20:39:43	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	510	94¢	$479	0xd7041e…
10-28 20:17:25	Will UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x06c157…
10-28 20:11:13	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	147	50¢	$74	0xebd681…
10-28 19:59:28	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	35	89¢	$32	0x84c3c4…
10-28 19:57:17	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	163	4¢	$7	0x96dbd7…
10-28 19:56:53	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x4482e9…
10-28 19:56:50	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0x2c62b8…
10-28 19:51:56	Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	47	78¢	$37	0xccb347…
10-28 18:55:14	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Grizzlies	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0xee3b66…
10-28 18:05:11	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	509	58¢	$295	0xa8aff2…
10-28 17:59:20	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	1,020	76¢	$775	0x9c532d…
10-28 17:53:31	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	BUY	426	39¢	$166	0xc906d1…
10-28 17:46:19	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	34	76¢	$26	0x345b46…
10-28 17:36:20	76ers vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x786acd…
10-28 17:35:58	Knicks vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	1,388	28¢	$389	0x309a9f…
10-28 16:53:50	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	507	90¢	$456	0x4be59b…
10-28 16:49:44	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Thunder	BUY	1,972	65¢	$1,282	0x08dc85…
10-28 15:38:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	147	95¢	$139	0x6c68d5…
10-28 15:32:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0xcc3ffe…
10-28 15:29:11	76ers vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x726e36…