Affectionate-Chemical — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$22

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

812

Trades

6,252

lifetime

Volume

$1.05M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$167

Open exposure

$1.28K

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-30 13:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Other

79% 55% -$41,980

Sports

18% 45% -$6,889

Tech

2% 93% +$318

Crypto

0% 69% +$52

Politics

0% 62% -$820

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	+830	$522	68¢	$568	+$46	10-29 20:30
Rockets vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	+606	$217	32¢	$191	-$26	10-30 01:55
Magic vs. Raptors	Magic	+387	$140	34¢	$134	-$7	10-29 16:56
Lakers vs. Warriors	Lakers	+233	$126	56¢	$131	+$5	10-29 19:29
Magic vs. Raptors	Raptors	+161	$108	66¢	$106	-$2	10-30 07:27
Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	+173	$92	54¢	$93	+$1	10-29 21:37
Hornets vs. Wizards	Hornets	+74	$38	52¢	$38	$0	10-30 13:16
Pacers vs. Heat	Heat	+25	$17	74¢	$18	+$1	10-29 17:00
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	+0	-$3	4¢	$0	+$3	05-25 05:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	55	$44.6K	75,995	179	+75,816	Spain	+$3,463	07-19 21:57
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	71	$40.0K	81,447	150	+81,297	Spain	-$18,135	07-14 20:31
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	61	$35.8K	57,303	0	+57,303	England	+$5,494	07-06 03:03
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	43	$33.3K	40,055	138	+39,918	Argentina	+$5,294	07-12 03:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	278	$33.2K	137,625	396	+137,229	No	-$32,782	09-16 18:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	265	$30.8K	49,916	133	+49,783	Yes	-$2,457	10-28 15:38
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	47	$30.4K	49,010	680	+48,330	Argentina	-$19,672	07-15 20:59
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	67	$29.7K	54,772	374	+54,398	England	+$11,320	07-11 23:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	35	$29.7K	38,965	5	+38,959	Yes	+$8,877	07-29 17:51
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	19	$23.0K	29,584	0	+29,584	France	+$2,917	07-09 21:42
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	35	$22.6K	29,199	0	+29,199	England	-$1,529	07-18 22:59
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	64	$18.4K	56,377	2,066	+54,311	Argentina	+$12,079	07-07 18:00
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	27	$17.6K	29,518	57	+29,461	Belgium	-$2,048	07-07 01:44
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	12	$14.8K	17,203	0	+17,203	Spain	+$2,357	07-02 19:42
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	29	$13.4K	17,680	0	+17,680	Argentina	+$3,030	07-04 00:42
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	62	$13.2K	20,379	387	+19,992	Paraguay	-$11,251	06-29 23:27
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	176	$11.6K	39,720	269	+39,451	Yes	-$7,066	09-16 16:33
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	50	$11.5K	38,443	313	+38,130	Brazil	-$9,124	06-29 18:57
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	29	$11.2K	16,493	849	+15,644	Yes	+$2,181	07-19 22:01
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	12	$10.6K	5,375	5,375	+0	Yes	+$83	06-06 05:23
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	31	$10.6K	24,798	1,445	+23,353	No	+$3,219	07-19 22:01
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	38	$10.4K	20,060	1,025	+19,034	Portugal	+$5,033	07-03 01:05
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	33	$10.4K	17,731	14	+17,716	England	+$7,311	07-01 17:37
Rockets vs. Spurs	68	$10.3K	21,291	0	+21,291	Rockets	-$5,232	10-24 04:17
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	4	$10.0K	5,500	5,500	+0	No	+$158	08-23 15:23
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	40	$9.7K	14,265	10	+14,255	Belgium	-$4,471	07-01 22:48
crint ind wst 2026 03 01	27	$9.4K	6,355	6,355	+0	India	-$426	03-01 15:17
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	32	$8.8K	16,760	665	+16,095	No	-$8,134	06-28 01:10
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	32	$8.6K	14,119	103	+14,016	Norway	+$4,112	06-30 18:55
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	25	$7.9K	4,055	4,055	+0	Yes	+$118	06-07 18:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 13:16:58	Hornets vs. Wizards	Hornets	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x87d12b…
10-30 11:35:21	Pistons vs. Nets	Nets	BUY	162	27¢	$44	0x1a766e…
10-30 08:15:54	Trail Blazers vs. Jazz	Trail Blazers	BUY	22	71¢	$16	0xe13175…
10-30 08:15:54	Trail Blazers vs. Jazz	Trail Blazers	BUY	16	72¢	$12	0x1b5d03…
10-30 07:27:03	Magic vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	161	67¢	$108	0xbba545…
10-30 05:12:55	Pistons vs. Nets	Nets	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xae4ad2…
10-30 03:55:13	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	79	36¢	$28	0xf745f7…
10-30 03:54:46	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x5ab4e2…
10-30 03:54:45	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	106	37¢	$39	0x5aa3c1…
10-30 03:53:25	Pistons vs. Nets	Pistons	BUY	682	73¢	$498	0x132194…
10-30 03:50:13	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Grizzlies	BUY	38	68¢	$26	0xdf167e…
10-30 03:46:52	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x74617d…
10-30 03:42:27	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0xaf0b5e…
10-30 03:42:07	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Grizzlies	BUY	110	39¢	$43	0xdaaec8…
10-30 03:41:58	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Grizzlies	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0xea566a…
10-30 03:41:49	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Grizzlies	BUY	138	38¢	$52	0x9a8e5a…
10-30 03:41:10	Thunder vs. Rockets	Thunder	BUY	45	43¢	$19	0x1d9b74…
10-30 03:15:04	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	162	3¢	$5	0x998ac2…
10-30 03:15:00	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	513	3¢	$15	0x5c5a59…
10-30 03:14:57	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	503	3¢	$15	0x4f6b83…
10-30 03:14:49	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	501	3¢	$15	0xf2abdd…
10-30 03:14:46	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	493	3¢	$14	0x304bb2…
10-30 03:14:40	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	493	3¢	$14	0xdb0516…
10-30 03:14:37	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	308	3¢	$9	0x560e74…
10-30 03:14:31	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	494	3¢	$14	0x98193e…
10-30 03:14:18	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	505	3¢	$15	0xed37ac…
10-30 03:14:12	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	518	3¢	$15	0xacbb47…
10-30 03:14:07	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0x06c5b3…
10-30 03:14:03	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0xea5c66…
10-30 03:14:00	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	536	3¢	$15	0x8f492a…
10-30 03:13:55	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	577	3¢	$15	0x1a1596…
10-30 03:10:49	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	527	14¢	$73	0x2ffcb9…
10-30 03:10:45	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	551	14¢	$76	0xbd85f0…
10-30 03:10:40	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	522	14¢	$73	0xd41135…
10-30 03:10:36	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	553	14¢	$76	0x347f81…
10-30 03:10:33	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	513	14¢	$72	0x128e12…
10-30 03:10:28	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	498	14¢	$72	0x5c7b07…
10-30 03:10:22	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	498	14¢	$72	0x3c480c…
10-30 03:10:19	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xbbc9a2…
10-30 03:10:16	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	536	14¢	$78	0xda52b2…
10-30 03:10:12	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xf07278…
10-30 03:10:10	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	536	14¢	$78	0x34d225…
10-30 03:10:04	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x28cc49…
10-30 03:10:03	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	536	14¢	$78	0x93d201…
10-30 03:09:58	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	SELL	53	14¢	$8	0x0eb4fe…
10-30 03:09:57	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	539	14¢	$78	0xbbe687…
10-30 03:09:52	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x68a188…
10-30 03:09:49	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	536	14¢	$78	0xc070d8…
10-30 03:09:45	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x2672eb…
10-30 03:09:42	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	536	14¢	$78	0xf90b68…
10-30 03:09:36	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x8a8473…
10-30 03:09:34	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	536	14¢	$78	0xcc5647…
10-30 03:09:30	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x63bbf5…
10-30 03:09:28	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	536	14¢	$78	0xb00326…
10-30 03:09:22	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x080108…
10-30 03:09:21	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	536	14¢	$78	0x55de6c…
10-30 03:09:16	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x937320…
10-30 03:09:15	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	536	14¢	$78	0x5879c5…
10-30 03:09:10	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	SELL	53	14¢	$8	0xdf4ed7…
10-30 03:09:09	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	565	14¢	$82	0xc39418…
10-30 03:09:06	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xdc4332…
10-30 03:09:04	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	537	14¢	$78	0x99ba85…
10-30 03:09:00	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	SELL	53	14¢	$8	0x454063…
10-30 03:08:58	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	565	14¢	$82	0x4c2b93…
10-30 03:08:54	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	548	15¢	$82	0x46f15f…
10-30 03:08:49	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	548	15¢	$82	0xa7a187…
10-30 02:47:16	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Grizzlies	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0xd4a772…
10-30 02:33:46	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x00b240…
10-30 02:23:28	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	79	21¢	$17	0xaed4e8…
10-30 02:22:39	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x74e78d…
10-30 02:19:00	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	152	12¢	$18	0xd8d51b…
10-30 02:18:03	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xc663ce…
10-30 02:11:33	Cavaliers vs. Bucks	Cavaliers	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x72578c…
10-30 02:03:55	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	38	14¢	$5	0xeeb5a6…
10-30 02:03:52	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	67	14¢	$9	0x82965f…
10-30 01:56:28	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	205	19¢	$39	0xa47033…
10-30 01:56:27	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	44	18¢	$8	0x91d38c…
10-30 01:56:24	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	81	18¢	$15	0xf177eb…
10-30 01:55:28	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	251	34¢	$85	0x02ad74…
10-30 01:43:09	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	51	36¢	$18	0xa0a60b…
10-30 01:38:51	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	24	66¢	$16	0xa24f32…
10-30 01:34:18	Kings vs. Pelicans	Kings	BUY	114	19¢	$22	0x630696…
10-30 01:32:04	Panthers vs. Packers	Panthers	BUY	38	19¢	$7	0xb4b127…
10-30 00:53:48	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	93	59¢	$55	0xb22bc6…
10-30 00:53:46	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	106	59¢	$62	0xc387b7…
10-30 00:53:46	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	126	59¢	$74	0x0f6a56…
10-30 00:53:43	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	95	59¢	$56	0xe9c295…
10-30 00:53:42	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	97	58¢	$56	0xaf8e66…
10-30 00:51:24	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	372	2¢	$6	0x3a3240…
10-30 00:48:33	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	121	3¢	$3	0x6b428a…
10-30 00:47:03	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	172	10¢	$17	0x5113ce…
10-30 00:47:03	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	26	10¢	$3	0x4eb5ae…
10-30 00:46:55	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	523	10¢	$53	0xb5dbbe…
10-30 00:45:55	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	474	12¢	$55	0x6f36f5…
10-30 00:45:48	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	544	11¢	$61	0x978886…
10-30 00:45:45	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	505	12¢	$60	0x7adc08…
10-30 00:45:04	Kings vs. Pelicans	Kings	BUY	222	36¢	$80	0x90f7f7…
10-30 00:44:43	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	534	13¢	$70	0x9d7a8a…
10-30 00:44:37	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	516	13¢	$66	0x907ca1…
10-30 00:43:06	Kings vs. Pelicans	Kings	BUY	156	45¢	$70	0xb6d7c8…