Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be 150 points or greater?
open
Total volume
$88
$177 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$19,514
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-14 05:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $20 | $20 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | — | $32 | $32 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median | 6 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $23 | $23 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $20 | $20 |
| unranked | 11 | — | $8 | $8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 4 | 05-14 05:16 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-09 18:27 |
| Agonizing-Crystal 0x5099…9862 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 09:44 |
| Shameful-Consulting 0x51b4…460e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 09:44 |
| Pleased-Hearsay 0xffe6…41fd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 09:44 |
| Complex-Valuable 0xd927…e8fb | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 09:44 |
| Bustling-Investor 0x911f…2c48 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 09:44 |
| Fond-Accordion 0x2f5f…c3b4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 09:44 |
| Droopy-Roller 0x560a…c872 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 09:44 |
| Soulful-Prostanoid 0xbafc…9a17 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 09:44 |
| Triangular-Swanling 0x6866…00ff | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 09:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 05:16:20 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x0ab429… |
| 05-14 05:06:07 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x8f9e6f… |
| 05-14 00:44:40 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x2c2c79… |
| 05-14 00:23:35 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xfce094… |
| 05-13 09:45:00 | Triangular-Swanling 0x6866…00ff | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x903e92… |
| 05-13 09:44:39 | Bustling-Investor 0x911f…2c48 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x93bb0f… |
| 05-13 09:44:39 | Droopy-Roller 0x560a…c872 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe650e5… |
| 05-13 09:44:37 | Soulful-Prostanoid 0xbafc…9a17 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0df9c5… |
| 05-13 09:44:35 | Complex-Valuable 0xd927…e8fb | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x9eec84… |
| 05-13 09:44:35 | Agonizing-Crystal 0x5099…9862 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x30b98f… |
| 05-13 09:44:34 | Pleased-Hearsay 0xffe6…41fd | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd83c33… |
| 05-13 09:44:34 | Fond-Accordion 0x2f5f…c3b4 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x135484… |
| 05-13 09:44:34 | Shameful-Consulting 0x51b4…460e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xb4dd59… |
| 05-13 08:21:38 | Obedient-Tomtom 0xe62b…d414 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xf5ab01… |
| 05-13 08:21:38 | Insistent-Toughguy 0x6c0e…23c4 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xcee7f3… |
| 05-13 08:21:38 | Lumpy-Uncertainty 0x1e9a…dedc | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x34c916… |
| 05-13 08:21:16 | Metallic-Meridian 0x7d51…fb2b | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x6a4616… |
| 05-12 21:32:57 | Paltry-Fortress 0x4b5c…4568 | No | SELL | 27 | 94¢ | $26 | 0xe7e2a6… |
| 05-12 07:16:23 | Pastel-Slippers 0xa699…5c54 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xa373b5… |
| 05-12 07:16:23 | Insistent-Toughguy 0x6c0e…23c4 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0271cf… |
| 05-12 07:16:23 | Posh-Task 0xbdc2…8e00 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0c459a… |
| 05-12 07:16:14 | Ecstatic-Fleck 0xfdcb…7568 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x2f2f16… |
| 05-12 07:16:14 | Obedient-Tomtom 0xe62b…d414 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe1ce08… |
| 05-12 07:16:14 | Zesty-Bronze 0x2ecf…70cd | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xb64fba… |
| 05-12 07:16:14 | Lumpy-Uncertainty 0x1e9a…dedc | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x7892e2… |
| 05-09 18:27:06 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xadf626… |