Ecstatic-Fleck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.6%

Resolved

Trades

292

lifetime

Volume

$288

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-01 03:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

60% — —

Politics

27% 0% $-0

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	26	$27	25	25	+0	open	—	02-10 03:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-18 03:25
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-19 07:29
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-05 02:58
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-30 01:52
Bill Gates charged by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-30 01:52
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-02 09:52
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 06:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 03:12
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 03:42
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 03:31
Will Alberta join the US?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-06 03:22
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 09:27
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 06:36
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-07 08:49
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-15 07:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$4	5	5	+0	Yes	$-0	01-16 09:17
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 03:10
will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-13 02:43
will russia enter borova by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-24 03:56
will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	06-17 04:25
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	06-17 04:25
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	05-27 08:02
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	05-23 06:51
bkcl jov wue 2026 03 10	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 07:01
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 12 be less than 75	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 02:19
2026 valero texas open winner hideki matsuyama win	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 08:43
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 09:25
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 06:52
Will Taylor Swift be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-05 06:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 03:06:16	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd39e11…
07-01 03:05:28	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6ad795…
07-01 02:58:05	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe73054…
07-01 02:56:37	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd32163…
06-30 06:39:47	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x4ff55c…
06-30 06:39:01	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf41b3d…
06-30 06:29:14	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdb2754…
06-30 06:27:31	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0944e2…
06-29 09:25:04	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf5259e…
06-29 09:15:16	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0de6f5…
06-27 03:31:20	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb10631…
06-27 03:20:35	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x32a006…
06-26 07:45:59	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x69833d…
06-26 07:30:17	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa5678e…
06-24 03:56:16	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x327ed5…
06-24 03:55:55	will solana reach 140 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x000726…
06-24 03:37:52	will solana reach 140 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xebc9d8…
06-24 03:36:34	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x26d18c…
06-23 04:50:25	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe74669…
06-23 04:12:56	will russia enter borova by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x689b5e…
06-22 02:38:19	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x77b64f…
06-22 02:31:23	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4415bf…
06-21 06:56:02	will xrp reach 2pt8 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8c3f67…
06-21 06:55:08	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x00469d…
06-21 06:30:32	will xrp reach 2pt8 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x83da81…
06-21 06:28:04	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0ebf66…
06-18 06:53:19	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xaaa0fa…
06-18 06:52:25	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa95aa0…
06-18 06:45:29	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf14678…
06-18 06:43:05	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbcaf96…
06-17 04:25:35	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x906815…
06-17 04:25:02	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8cc262…
06-17 03:58:58	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x686305…
06-17 03:57:10	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x21d58b…
06-16 02:42:45	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x403a6a…
06-16 02:42:18	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdef405…
06-15 07:05:42	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xb5182a…
06-15 06:38:19	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe5ad10…
06-13 02:43:31	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xa4d3a0…
06-13 02:43:07	will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa41c91…
06-13 02:29:18	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xceb618…
06-12 06:32:01	will gwynne shotwell be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212482	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x705069…
06-12 06:31:27	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xdb05cf…
06-12 04:49:48	will gwynne shotwell be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212482	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc0cb58…
06-12 04:47:48	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x680118…
06-11 03:52:52	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xda31b6…
06-11 03:52:07	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x214389…
06-10 03:56:52	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x27ac87…
06-10 03:53:22	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5aa0ca…
06-09 06:22:06	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb9c48c…
06-09 06:21:48	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3d1f3d…
06-09 06:19:03	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa671f9…
06-09 06:17:37	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfc1cbc…
06-06 03:22:21	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4d29b3…
06-06 03:15:55	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x577dad…
06-05 02:58:46	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x324e37…
06-05 02:49:58	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa46446…
06-04 07:28:28	israeli forces enter tyre by june 7	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe2353e…
06-04 07:27:51	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8a00ef…
06-04 07:15:34	israeli forces enter tyre by june 7	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4376e9…
06-04 07:14:07	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcadfc5…
06-03 06:52:15	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe0ce59…
06-03 06:30:28	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e1255…
06-02 03:15:23	Israeli forces enter Tyre by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x943b6f…
06-02 03:14:39	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2997be…
06-02 03:08:09	Israeli forces enter Tyre by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf9d5b3…
06-02 03:05:44	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2d945a…
06-01 04:50:03	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb4ad27…
06-01 04:40:16	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x43158f…
05-30 01:52:58	Bill Gates charged by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8f3438…
05-30 01:52:13	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8cd348…
05-30 01:48:50	Bill Gates charged by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe3cb0c…
05-30 01:45:25	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc2ac96…
05-29 03:35:49	Bill Gates charged by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x757ebf…
05-29 03:34:10	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x06ef5f…
05-29 03:15:10	Bill Gates charged by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xed5f31…
05-29 03:13:32	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xba55f0…
05-28 02:53:27	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd4a261…
05-28 02:51:27	Bill Gates charged by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x55937c…
05-28 02:49:35	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xeef4ef…
05-28 02:48:40	Bill Gates charged by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf104d4…
05-27 08:02:36	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3bffb1…
05-26 06:18:29	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe3db04…
05-26 04:42:59	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x238a16…
05-25 04:35:30	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa220cf…
05-25 04:34:43	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x70710a…
05-25 03:56:31	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x277cf3…
05-25 03:54:37	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8d028b…
05-23 06:51:53	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc838bd…
05-21 09:53:00	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa5a215…
05-21 09:33:00	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb5f28e…
05-19 07:29:00	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x484c79…
05-19 06:31:22	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8020d6…
05-18 08:33:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6a22d6…
05-18 08:31:58	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x48ee91…
05-18 08:14:24	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbd8068…
05-18 08:11:36	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd529eb…
05-16 08:01:27	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x605c96…
05-16 07:28:33	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x35220e…
05-09 06:46:52	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x494b8c…