Ecstatic-Fleck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.6%

Resolved

Trades

247

lifetime

Volume

$244

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-11 03:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

62% — —

Politics

27% 0% $-0

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	26	$27	25	25	+0	open	—	02-10 03:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-18 03:25
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-19 07:29
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-05 02:58
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-30 01:52
Bill Gates charged by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-30 01:52
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-02 09:52
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 06:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 03:12
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 03:42
Will Alberta join the US?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-06 03:22
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 09:27
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 06:36
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-07 08:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$4	5	5	+0	Yes	$-0	01-16 09:17
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 03:10
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	05-27 08:02
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	05-23 06:51
bkcl jov wue 2026 03 10	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 07:01
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 12 be less than 75	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 02:19
2026 valero texas open winner hideki matsuyama win	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 08:43
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 09:25
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 06:52
Will Taylor Swift be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-05 06:14
will maria cantore win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 09:45
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 10 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 07:24
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-06 03:29
will iran strike israel on march 10	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 07:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 08:33
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-01 04:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 03:52:52	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xda31b6…
06-11 03:52:07	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x214389…
06-10 03:56:52	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x27ac87…
06-10 03:53:22	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5aa0ca…
06-09 06:22:06	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb9c48c…
06-09 06:21:48	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3d1f3d…
06-09 06:19:03	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa671f9…
06-09 06:17:37	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfc1cbc…
06-06 03:22:21	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4d29b3…
06-06 03:15:55	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x577dad…
06-05 02:58:46	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x324e37…
06-05 02:49:58	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa46446…
06-04 07:28:28	israeli forces enter tyre by june 7	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe2353e…
06-04 07:27:51	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8a00ef…
06-04 07:15:34	israeli forces enter tyre by june 7	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4376e9…
06-04 07:14:07	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcadfc5…
06-03 06:52:15	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe0ce59…
06-03 06:30:28	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e1255…
06-02 03:15:23	Israeli forces enter Tyre by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x943b6f…
06-02 03:14:39	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2997be…
06-02 03:08:09	Israeli forces enter Tyre by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf9d5b3…
06-02 03:05:44	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2d945a…
06-01 04:50:03	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb4ad27…
06-01 04:40:16	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x43158f…
05-30 01:52:58	Bill Gates charged by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8f3438…
05-30 01:52:13	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8cd348…
05-30 01:48:50	Bill Gates charged by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe3cb0c…
05-30 01:45:25	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc2ac96…
05-29 03:35:49	Bill Gates charged by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x757ebf…
05-29 03:34:10	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x06ef5f…
05-29 03:15:10	Bill Gates charged by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xed5f31…
05-29 03:13:32	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xba55f0…
05-28 02:53:27	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd4a261…
05-28 02:51:27	Bill Gates charged by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x55937c…
05-28 02:49:35	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xeef4ef…
05-28 02:48:40	Bill Gates charged by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf104d4…
05-27 08:02:36	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3bffb1…
05-26 06:18:29	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe3db04…
05-26 04:42:59	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x238a16…
05-25 04:35:30	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa220cf…
05-25 04:34:43	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x70710a…
05-25 03:56:31	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x277cf3…
05-25 03:54:37	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8d028b…
05-23 06:51:53	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc838bd…
05-21 09:53:00	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa5a215…
05-21 09:33:00	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb5f28e…
05-19 07:29:00	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x484c79…
05-19 06:31:22	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8020d6…
05-18 08:33:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6a22d6…
05-18 08:31:58	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x48ee91…
05-18 08:14:24	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbd8068…
05-18 08:11:36	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd529eb…
05-16 08:01:27	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x605c96…
05-16 07:28:33	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x35220e…
05-09 06:46:52	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x494b8c…
05-09 06:28:00	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe01a25…
05-05 06:14:08	Will Taylor Swift be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3fdf61…
05-05 04:06:30	Will Taylor Swift be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5e236e…
05-04 03:28:14	Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6626ff…
05-04 03:17:34	Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe633a5…
04-30 03:43:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x29b834…
04-30 03:42:16	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa3596f…
04-30 03:31:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9ff541…
04-30 03:29:54	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc59ec1…
04-29 06:15:28	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2f34e2…
04-29 04:59:10	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x64f1b9…
04-28 06:36:48	Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2de296…
04-28 04:49:56	Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa89259…
04-27 02:59:42	Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6bb1aa…
04-27 02:58:20	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xaee144…
04-27 02:28:02	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb34739…
04-27 02:20:30	Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2b8bd7…
04-25 03:36:48	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x981311…
04-25 03:33:42	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x572d52…
04-25 03:09:46	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa4227f…
04-25 03:04:46	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7519a1…
04-24 03:12:02	Over $800M crypto hack value in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xa921eb…
04-24 02:56:52	Over $800M crypto hack value in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x65e50d…
04-21 10:17:00	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x14a4f6…
04-21 10:14:14	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1f38ba…
04-20 01:00:30	Will Abdul Laskar win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6b100d…
04-20 00:58:20	Will Abdul Laskar win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb5a68d…
04-18 03:26:20	will anaconda be the 2 global netflix movie this week 495	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xc8f0a0…
04-18 03:25:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4941dc…
04-18 03:17:50	will anaconda be the 2 global netflix movie this week 495	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc0f4ac…
04-18 03:16:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2b311b…
04-17 03:13:36	will alamar biosciencess market cap be less than 0pt9b at market close on ipo day	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x798ecf…
04-17 03:12:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x25314d…
04-17 03:09:56	will alamar biosciencess market cap be less than 0pt9b at market close on ipo day	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x66e13d…
04-17 03:08:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf174b4…
04-16 07:23:52	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Dorian Nakamoto as Satoshi?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x291609…
04-16 07:02:38	Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Dorian Nakamoto as Satoshi?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1667ed…
04-15 02:52:50	Will Seoul have between 45-50mm of precipitation in April?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x817881…
04-15 02:50:22	Will Seoul have between 45-50mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xae4eb8…
04-14 02:41:11	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x486c0a…
04-14 02:40:51	will trump say hundred or thousand 7 times during dinner with dutch royals	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc5cbaf…
04-14 02:36:47	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xeba4cf…
04-14 02:36:01	will trump say hundred or thousand 7 times during dinner with dutch royals	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x35927e…
04-13 06:12:07	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa24c7f…
04-13 03:57:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc62ab4…