Obedient-Tomtom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.7%

Resolved

Trades

321

lifetime

Volume

$315

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-08 06:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

58% 0% $-1

Politics

26% 0% $-0

Crypto

10% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	27	$27	24	24	+0	open	—	02-10 03:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-17 03:19
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	7	$7	4	3	+1	open	—	06-13 02:48
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	06-24 06:10
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	07-04 03:50
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-19 07:29
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-05 03:11
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	01-31 06:39
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 12 be less than 75	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-01 08:15
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 03:41
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-02 06:47
ebola pandemic in 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 06:12
will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 03:43
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 09:27
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 06:37
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-07 08:49
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-15 07:16
SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	05-30 02:02
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 03:10
fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 06:13
ncaa tournament no 16 seed to win a game	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	03-20 09:41
2026 valero texas open winner hideki matsuyama win	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 08:43
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 06:59
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 09:52
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-16 03:10
Will Taylor Swift be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-05 06:14
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-27 08:35
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-01 06:34
Trump out as President by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-27 03:44
us strikes yemen by december 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-03 07:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 06:13:38	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x0e62d7…
07-08 06:12:52	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb6cadc…
07-08 04:52:28	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xeade33…
07-08 04:51:26	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3a6ac9…
07-07 04:37:25	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6e1770…
07-07 04:17:58	will cap reach 0pt08 before 2027	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd21546…
07-07 04:09:22	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7e8895…
07-06 07:18:02	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x31d879…
07-06 07:17:29	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x322f1d…
07-06 07:03:11	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x112125…
07-06 07:00:34	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdcc42a…
07-04 03:59:34	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x51eb21…
07-04 03:50:58	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbed138…
07-04 03:45:25	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4f526c…
07-04 03:44:19	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe1b002…
07-03 07:49:40	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x429cb3…
07-03 07:49:20	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x040d73…
07-03 07:43:41	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf436fe…
07-03 07:43:08	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2aee33…
07-02 06:47:50	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa0ce23…
07-02 06:42:26	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdf0c9f…
07-01 03:22:13	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x581d7a…
07-01 03:21:26	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9a72fb…
07-01 03:15:41	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x68f7a8…
07-01 03:13:04	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf5b0d1…
06-30 06:52:56	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5c21cd…
06-30 06:52:07	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa7e0bc…
06-30 06:47:28	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x48f70f…
06-30 06:45:13	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc14641…
06-29 09:47:40	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x319bfd…
06-29 09:34:40	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe631d4…
06-27 03:44:08	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6a68ad…
06-27 03:43:47	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x38f7db…
06-27 03:38:11	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x24b27f…
06-27 03:36:17	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x23a257…
06-26 08:10:04	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa0c6a5…
06-26 08:09:16	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x54b74b…
06-26 07:57:41	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x37d242…
06-26 07:56:46	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfdeb44…
06-24 06:10:58	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbe4e25…
06-24 06:10:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcd0111…
06-24 04:48:11	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x30410f…
06-24 04:46:56	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x426e69…
06-23 06:08:07	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4b01c8…
06-23 04:58:55	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdf576f…
06-22 02:57:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x078aa4…
06-22 02:50:23	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb74f82…
06-21 06:56:08	will xrp reach 2pt8 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf7b260…
06-21 06:55:04	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc9553c…
06-21 06:27:34	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4a8212…
06-21 04:56:01	will xrp reach 2pt8 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9d41b3…
06-18 07:11:10	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbe9dd3…
06-18 07:10:16	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x8ef960…
06-18 07:03:10	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0defb0…
06-18 06:59:47	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x34ba3d…
06-17 04:38:26	will reya launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x05a4be…
06-17 04:37:50	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1b055b…
06-17 04:31:47	will reya launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3cd194…
06-17 04:30:11	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc29ba3…
06-16 03:10:54	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x474bc1…
06-16 03:10:34	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x44224f…
06-16 02:51:37	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x01123e…
06-16 02:47:10	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0e4910…
06-15 07:16:13	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x8cee8f…
06-15 06:36:58	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbc83f7…
06-13 02:48:30	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9ae42c…
06-13 02:47:31	will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0bab90…
06-12 06:52:57	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x4b6b8b…
06-12 06:52:03	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7148ff…
06-12 06:40:37	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf97b00…
06-12 06:39:33	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4d9c06…
06-11 04:47:46	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0c0d89…
06-11 04:46:34	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x736bd2…
06-11 04:35:15	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x927556…
06-11 04:34:36	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8f1f42…
06-10 06:13:19	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xac201d…
06-10 06:12:45	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1d0c7e…
06-10 04:44:55	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x195e24…
06-10 04:42:48	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2ebbf5…
06-10 04:35:42	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x63af6d…
06-10 04:32:57	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7b7c5c…
06-09 06:31:07	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0e8334…
06-09 06:28:28	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5fca45…
06-08 06:15:46	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x675d22…
06-08 04:56:00	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x28771a…
06-06 03:36:10	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x8f4084…
06-06 03:35:25	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x774502…
06-06 03:30:07	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x31bb01…
06-06 03:29:15	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3b9746…
06-05 03:11:25	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x339b78…
06-05 03:02:51	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8c5ab7…
06-04 07:44:24	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x70ecad…
06-04 07:42:51	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd7e208…
06-04 07:33:54	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8e6bb8…
06-04 07:31:43	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x478827…
06-03 07:20:03	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x81a6a1…
06-03 07:19:30	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x47a4bd…
06-03 06:58:53	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9e7bbf…
06-03 06:57:43	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8e0e12…
06-02 03:38:27	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3d1db8…