Obedient-Tomtom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.7%

Resolved

Trades

379

lifetime

Volume

$372

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-28 07:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

59% 0% $-1

Politics

25% 0% $-0

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

4% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	27	$27	24	24	+0	open	—	02-10 03:11
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	12	$12	6	6	-0	open	—	07-25 07:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-17 03:19
ebola pandemic in 2026	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-11 07:55
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	7	$7	4	3	+1	open	—	06-13 02:48
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	06-24 06:10
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-19 07:29
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 07:42
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-05 03:11
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	01-31 06:39
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 12 be less than 75	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-01 08:15
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 03:41
will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-11 07:55
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-20 08:42
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-02 06:47
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-23 09:05
will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 03:43
us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-24 08:30
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-16 02:57
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 09:27
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 06:37
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-07 08:49
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-15 07:16
SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	05-30 02:02
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 03:10
will cxmt ipo by july 31 2026 20260629164309098	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-16 02:57
fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 06:13
ncaa tournament no 16 seed to win a game	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	03-20 09:41
2026 valero texas open winner hideki matsuyama win	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 08:43
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 06:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 07:27:15	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x501509…
07-28 07:16:21	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4e2424…
07-27 09:33:34	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x701a80…
07-27 09:32:37	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x99c39e…
07-27 09:13:57	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x956204…
07-27 09:12:22	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xacedca…
07-25 07:06:15	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcf46a0…
07-25 06:49:31	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb06afa…
07-24 08:30:52	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0f79f1…
07-24 08:30:15	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x407323…
07-24 08:22:00	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe47bcf…
07-24 08:21:01	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x956483…
07-23 09:06:07	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x62782c…
07-23 09:05:39	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x38c474…
07-23 08:43:19	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdfa97a…
07-23 08:36:57	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc230a5…
07-22 10:05:34	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x44d10d…
07-22 09:14:58	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x152be9…
07-22 09:10:42	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe92a23…
07-22 09:07:57	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6f1c1d…
07-21 07:24:52	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x95f9bf…
07-21 07:15:24	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6581b2…
07-20 08:43:16	gpu rental prices h200 up or down in july 20260709173352389	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x2fac66…
07-20 08:42:48	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd619d1…
07-20 08:34:04	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8e96cb…
07-20 08:31:36	gpu rental prices h200 up or down in july 20260709173352389	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6b54fe…
07-18 07:42:42	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf45d77…
07-18 07:29:00	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd5e5b8…
07-17 04:25:33	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9ec19b…
07-17 03:54:31	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x989f02…
07-16 02:57:31	will cxmt ipo by july 31 2026 20260629164309098	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xaa92b5…
07-16 02:57:05	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xccff5e…
07-16 02:49:02	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50be2a…
07-16 02:48:10	will cxmt ipo by july 31 2026 20260629164309098	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0b30b7…
07-15 07:42:43	will the ethereum volatility index dip to 35 by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x777db5…
07-15 07:42:16	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x31862b…
07-15 07:21:22	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb07fad…
07-15 07:20:29	will the ethereum volatility index dip to 35 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb96d23…
07-14 04:39:59	will cxmt ipo by july 31 2026 20260629164309098	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xca1f59…
07-14 04:39:28	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb321db…
07-14 04:20:19	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6fdf64…
07-14 04:19:07	will cxmt ipo by july 31 2026 20260629164309098	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x51c787…
07-13 08:42:29	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x299a5a…
07-13 08:42:07	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xed20fc…
07-13 08:32:35	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9fecac…
07-13 08:31:49	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9161a9…
07-11 07:55:38	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x633e35…
07-11 07:55:02	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3346f9…
07-11 07:43:10	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x49475b…
07-11 07:42:07	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc5dd98…
07-10 06:57:46	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x35ac6c…
07-10 06:57:17	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb03875…
07-10 06:43:35	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe86c90…
07-10 06:41:28	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6d0b7e…
07-09 03:02:53	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe43110…
07-09 03:02:11	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe64b45…
07-09 02:50:04	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf25661…
07-09 02:49:17	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2df4bd…
07-08 06:13:38	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x0e62d7…
07-08 06:12:52	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb6cadc…
07-08 04:52:28	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xeade33…
07-08 04:51:26	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3a6ac9…
07-07 04:37:25	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6e1770…
07-07 04:17:58	will cap reach 0pt08 before 2027	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd21546…
07-07 04:09:22	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7e8895…
07-06 07:18:02	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x31d879…
07-06 07:17:29	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x322f1d…
07-06 07:03:11	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x112125…
07-06 07:00:34	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdcc42a…
07-04 03:59:34	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x51eb21…
07-04 03:50:58	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbed138…
07-04 03:45:25	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4f526c…
07-04 03:44:19	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe1b002…
07-03 07:49:40	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x429cb3…
07-03 07:49:20	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x040d73…
07-03 07:43:41	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf436fe…
07-03 07:43:08	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2aee33…
07-02 06:47:50	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa0ce23…
07-02 06:42:26	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdf0c9f…
07-01 03:22:13	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x581d7a…
07-01 03:21:26	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9a72fb…
07-01 03:15:41	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x68f7a8…
07-01 03:13:04	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf5b0d1…
06-30 06:52:56	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5c21cd…
06-30 06:52:07	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa7e0bc…
06-30 06:47:28	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x48f70f…
06-30 06:45:13	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc14641…
06-29 09:47:40	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x319bfd…
06-29 09:34:40	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe631d4…
06-27 03:44:08	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6a68ad…
06-27 03:43:47	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x38f7db…
06-27 03:38:11	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x24b27f…
06-27 03:36:17	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x23a257…
06-26 08:10:04	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa0c6a5…
06-26 08:09:16	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x54b74b…
06-26 07:57:41	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x37d242…
06-26 07:56:46	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfdeb44…
06-24 06:10:58	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbe4e25…
06-24 06:10:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcd0111…
06-24 04:48:11	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x30410f…