Pleased-Hearsay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.0%

Resolved

177

Trades

501

lifetime

Volume

$502

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 08-13 04:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Other

70% 10% -$5

Politics

17% 9% $0

Crypto

7% 8% -$1

Sports

3% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

2% 0% $0

Tech

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	11	$12	8	8	+0	Yes	$0	01-31 08:52
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	10	$10	5	5	-0	open	—	07-31 08:38
will usdai launch a token by march 31	8	$10	6	6	+0	No	$0	03-11 02:55
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	10	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	01-23 09:55
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-13 00:59
Trump out as President by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-17 00:58
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	07-11 09:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-26 02:13
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-05 01:14
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	05-30 00:23
Will XLG win Valorant Masters London 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-13 00:59
Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-06 01:14
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Gold	$0	01-24 07:10
will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-22 00:44
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-27 08:04
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	5	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	03-13 03:43
crude oil all time high by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-27 06:59
will ukraine re enter huliaipole by march 31	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	03-05 09:35
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-25 01:45
Iran Nuke before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	08-13 04:11
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-22 02:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	08-13 04:10
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-02 07:54
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-07 09:49
will abdel fattah el sisi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950085	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-18 01:18
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song this week?	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-13 10:11
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	02-13 02:53
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	01-19 10:02
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-15 09:15
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-06 01:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 04:11:12	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x48d89f…
08-13 04:10:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x143de8…
08-13 03:52:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe69123…
08-13 03:45:06	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xedee6e…
07-31 08:38:51	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x063b6f…
07-31 08:38:18	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5c9c26…
07-31 08:24:35	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc8c5ea…
07-31 08:23:30	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc0944c…
07-29 02:42:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3022bc…
07-29 02:41:48	Macron out by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x481bd5…
07-29 02:10:18	Macron out by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x183327…
07-29 02:08:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf18edc…
07-27 03:13:09	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xca6f86…
07-27 03:12:28	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2e463a…
07-27 02:47:43	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf0c877…
07-27 02:46:10	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xae2ccb…
07-25 01:46:21	will xrp reach 1pt6 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7112c5…
07-25 01:45:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2513d5…
07-25 01:28:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5c6c9b…
07-25 01:26:28	will xrp reach 1pt6 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaa3825…
07-24 02:29:19	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x1baf30…
07-24 02:28:37	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7776af…
07-24 01:48:40	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc87fd0…
07-22 06:45:09	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x98b66e…
07-22 04:50:43	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa81eaf…
07-22 04:47:54	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x31126e…
07-21 09:13:03	israeli forces enter tyre by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf44855…
07-21 09:12:31	Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x345705…
07-21 09:01:16	Israeli forces enter Tyre by July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x870610…
07-21 09:00:13	Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd5d194…
07-20 10:13:12	will no episode air 20260717155813244	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x049ffd…
07-20 10:10:34	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x551743…
07-20 10:03:54	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd0a326…
07-20 10:02:34	will no episode air 20260717155813244	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x861317…
07-17 08:18:12	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2bd192…
07-17 08:17:40	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7b977c…
07-17 07:55:54	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf54a1f…
07-17 07:55:03	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5ddb34…
07-16 07:59:34	Will "The Wow! Signal - Muse" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x68de74…
07-16 07:57:20	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0b8a62…
07-16 07:35:46	Will "The Wow! Signal - Muse" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x44a05f…
07-16 07:32:56	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0bcd9e…
07-15 09:15:55	Will "Future - The Real Me" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0c3c8d…
07-15 09:15:31	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x577876…
07-15 09:09:43	Will "Future - The Real Me" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa6d7d5…
07-15 09:08:58	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3c033b…
07-14 09:07:22	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8e27d5…
07-14 09:06:55	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x383a02…
07-14 08:49:47	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2737fe…
07-14 08:48:58	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x54b48a…
07-13 10:11:16	Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song this week?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x97be8a…
07-13 10:10:10	Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song this week?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x140488…
07-13 10:07:46	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3705e7…
07-13 10:02:28	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0cae88…
07-13 10:01:44	Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song this week?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb1a8e4…
07-11 09:04:40	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd8d69d…
07-11 09:04:04	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xde8e92…
07-11 08:58:32	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3c4b0d…
07-11 08:56:38	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x84e4ff…
07-10 08:54:28	Will "CONFESSIONS II - Madonna" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4c0724…
07-10 08:54:01	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x80b9a1…
07-10 08:42:07	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8d9a24…
07-10 08:40:47	Will "CONFESSIONS II - Madonna" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4581af…
07-09 04:52:31	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0a4d13…
07-09 04:52:07	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x49a650…
07-09 04:47:53	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x56d946…
07-09 04:47:17	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbf8d76…
07-08 08:22:38	Will "Iceman - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x274c88…
07-08 08:20:40	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0b6524…
07-08 08:05:04	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x248d78…
07-08 08:04:13	Will "Iceman - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7b72f7…
07-07 07:41:28	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2eb511…
07-07 07:40:53	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x684b4d…
07-07 07:35:10	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xab379e…
07-07 07:34:32	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x21da0d…
07-06 09:02:38	Will "The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x42b0c9…
07-06 09:00:43	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4212a1…
07-06 08:54:43	Will "The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x878d7c…
07-06 08:52:31	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x40d366…
07-04 07:03:34	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x734172…
07-04 07:02:38	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdc4abb…
07-04 06:57:13	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x299f2f…
07-04 06:55:49	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb8db2f…
07-03 04:52:58	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcbdb53…
07-03 04:52:25	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7b606c…
07-03 04:44:38	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x699f4b…
07-03 04:43:37	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe75204…
07-02 07:54:43	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xddbd78…
07-02 07:54:07	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x536b0c…
07-02 07:50:10	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x137925…
07-02 07:49:29	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2a5608…
07-01 09:39:59	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xddba97…
07-01 09:38:46	Will Beşiktaş Esports Win Emea Challengers Stage	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x96a8c5…
07-01 09:30:32	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6fb598…
07-01 09:29:47	Will Beşiktaş Esports Win Emea Challengers Stage	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x577b64…
06-30 08:20:13	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622192122520	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x37b222…
06-30 08:19:34	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x3cd5b8…
06-30 08:14:50	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe8afb2…
06-30 08:13:49	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622192122520	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd32a92…
06-29 06:49:58	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8b2610…