Insistent-Toughguy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.5%

Resolved

Trades

325

lifetime

Volume

$324

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-08 06:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

58% 0% $-1

Politics

26% 0% $-0

Crypto

9% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	29	$31	28	28	+0	open	—	02-10 03:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-17 03:19
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	7	$7	4	3	+1	open	—	06-13 02:48
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	06-24 06:10
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	07-04 03:51
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-19 07:29
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-05 03:11
SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-30 02:02
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 06:39
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 03:41
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 12 be less than 75	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-01 08:15
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-02 06:47
ebola pandemic in 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 06:12
will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 03:43
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 09:27
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-07 08:49
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 06:37
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 03:46
bkcl jov wue 2026 03 10	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-10 07:01
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-15 07:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$4	5	5	+0	Yes	$-0	01-16 09:17
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 03:11
fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 06:13
2026 valero texas open winner hideki matsuyama win	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 08:43
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 06:59
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 09:52
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-16 03:10
Will Taylor Swift be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-05 06:14
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-27 08:35
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-01 06:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 06:13:41	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x07eb10…
07-08 06:12:58	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x57b64c…
07-08 04:52:37	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc8839c…
07-08 04:51:29	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x68bea8…
07-07 04:37:28	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdf9f62…
07-07 04:18:01	will cap reach 0pt08 before 2027	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3e2e32…
07-07 04:09:28	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb871cb…
07-06 07:18:04	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xcc74e6…
07-06 07:17:31	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2229c5…
07-06 07:03:14	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6aade7…
07-06 07:00:32	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8a1b31…
07-04 03:59:37	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x116fd4…
07-04 03:51:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3024d3…
07-04 03:45:26	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd0941d…
07-04 03:44:17	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd1cf59…
07-03 07:49:43	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5079dc…
07-03 07:49:23	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x78d774…
07-03 07:43:43	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa3ae70…
07-03 07:43:11	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5f0462…
07-02 06:47:53	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xde4b1c…
07-02 06:42:31	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8f38c6…
07-01 03:22:17	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x036eec…
07-01 03:21:34	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa060d3…
07-01 03:15:44	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8ef4ff…
07-01 03:13:14	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x990cec…
06-30 06:52:59	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1d41b3…
06-30 06:52:14	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x375293…
06-30 06:47:31	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x70e8c8…
06-30 06:45:22	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8ace7b…
06-29 09:47:46	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xaa73f3…
06-29 09:34:41	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd85a4e…
06-27 03:44:11	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6353b7…
06-27 03:43:52	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc0f85c…
06-27 03:38:16	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd9c37e…
06-27 03:36:23	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x639caf…
06-26 08:10:01	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9f111a…
06-26 08:09:28	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6bcc05…
06-26 07:57:44	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa111cf…
06-26 07:56:52	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb33a4b…
06-24 06:11:05	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9a8e4e…
06-24 06:10:28	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbb5b1d…
06-24 04:48:17	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x26e009…
06-24 04:47:08	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa08c82…
06-23 06:09:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc5497a…
06-23 04:58:56	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8b6eab…
06-22 02:57:37	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x386555…
06-22 02:50:23	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4bd3c2…
06-21 06:56:05	will xrp reach 2pt8 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x24c315…
06-21 06:55:17	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x54fecc…
06-21 06:16:41	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3e1958…
06-21 04:56:11	will xrp reach 2pt8 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa908cc…
06-18 07:11:28	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x17c425…
06-18 07:10:23	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc638fe…
06-18 07:03:07	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5b1b39…
06-18 06:59:55	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd914e6…
06-17 04:38:34	will reya launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x5b81e0…
06-17 04:37:59	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5b223b…
06-17 04:31:50	will reya launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xebbe62…
06-17 04:30:17	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xca5675…
06-16 03:10:57	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0f6b5d…
06-16 03:10:37	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4e928b…
06-16 02:51:40	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x57dc49…
06-16 02:47:15	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x889ca4…
06-15 07:16:21	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xac2bc1…
06-15 06:36:33	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1bbedb…
06-13 02:48:30	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc41c4b…
06-13 02:47:34	will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe180f2…
06-12 06:53:04	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x0e1a99…
06-12 06:52:09	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x397fed…
06-12 06:40:43	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x758129…
06-12 06:39:40	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x114986…
06-11 04:48:37	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x40738b…
06-11 04:46:37	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb15ad1…
06-11 04:35:30	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8e3370…
06-11 04:34:42	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2273b4…
06-10 06:13:24	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xd7bf4a…
06-10 06:12:46	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7ef31a…
06-10 04:42:52	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa41744…
06-10 04:38:48	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa744a6…
06-10 04:35:48	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd8402e…
06-10 04:33:01	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x786a3c…
06-09 06:31:04	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xca8f8e…
06-09 06:28:25	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2e1e00…
06-08 06:15:52	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x964602…
06-08 04:55:57	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x48f059…
06-06 03:36:22	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xb02c6d…
06-06 03:35:30	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe581f3…
06-06 03:30:10	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xcb2742…
06-06 03:29:18	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6829dc…
06-05 03:11:28	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3deb39…
06-05 03:02:54	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x755e9c…
06-04 07:44:31	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x71e23b…
06-04 07:42:58	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x76ed53…
06-04 07:33:55	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x737854…
06-04 07:31:46	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9f5a4d…
06-03 07:20:08	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xef2e74…
06-03 07:19:47	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x22df8c…
06-03 06:58:56	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7047c2…
06-03 06:57:46	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x458597…
06-02 03:38:31	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x39b4dd…