Insistent-Toughguy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.5%

Resolved

Trades

381

lifetime

Volume

$379

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-28 07:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

58% 0% $-1

Politics

26% 0% $-0

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

4% — —

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	29	$31	28	28	+0	open	—	02-10 03:11
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	12	$12	6	6	-0	open	—	07-25 07:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-17 03:19
ebola pandemic in 2026	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-11 07:55
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	7	$7	4	3	+1	open	—	06-13 02:48
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	06-24 06:10
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-19 07:29
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 07:42
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-05 03:11
SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-30 02:02
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 06:39
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 03:41
will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-11 07:55
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-20 08:42
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 12 be less than 75	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-01 08:15
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-02 06:47
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-23 09:05
will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 03:43
us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-24 08:30
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-16 02:57
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 09:27
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-07 08:49
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 0 weeks?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 06:37
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 03:46
bkcl jov wue 2026 03 10	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-10 07:01
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-15 07:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$4	5	5	+0	Yes	$-0	01-16 09:17
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 03:11
will cxmt ipo by july 31 2026 20260629164309098	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-16 02:57
fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 06:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 07:27:25	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xec6608…
07-28 07:16:27	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfdaec2…
07-27 09:33:40	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9c3bd3…
07-27 09:32:40	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x78e053…
07-27 09:14:01	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaefb6c…
07-27 09:12:31	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x95e251…
07-25 07:06:18	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xca23d9…
07-25 06:49:37	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x79779d…
07-24 08:30:51	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x200041…
07-24 08:30:21	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbf9444…
07-24 08:22:03	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8be69a…
07-24 08:21:04	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4889e8…
07-23 09:06:12	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc8122a…
07-23 09:05:40	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xce5a5a…
07-23 08:43:22	will qatar recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x992dfa…
07-23 08:36:58	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x65240e…
07-22 09:15:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xacaaac…
07-22 09:10:45	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xde1914…
07-21 07:24:57	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4fd94e…
07-21 07:15:27	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x600653…
07-20 08:43:21	gpu rental prices h200 up or down in july 20260709173352389	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x9e5387…
07-20 08:42:51	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x31b3f4…
07-20 08:34:21	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xefbac9…
07-20 08:31:40	gpu rental prices h200 up or down in july 20260709173352389	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9c6f74…
07-18 07:42:45	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7e8991…
07-18 07:29:00	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x14e042…
07-17 04:25:37	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0fdaac…
07-17 03:54:34	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4d1ffe…
07-16 02:57:35	will cxmt ipo by july 31 2026 20260629164309098	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x618cc1…
07-16 02:57:11	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb9723a…
07-16 02:49:04	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x034504…
07-16 02:48:14	will cxmt ipo by july 31 2026 20260629164309098	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x924086…
07-15 07:42:44	will the ethereum volatility index dip to 35 by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf12b75…
07-15 07:42:20	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xea4de6…
07-15 07:21:26	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5e134e…
07-15 07:20:35	will the ethereum volatility index dip to 35 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe4fe66…
07-14 04:40:04	will cxmt ipo by july 31 2026 20260629164309098	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x19b223…
07-14 04:39:31	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf77711…
07-14 04:20:35	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x75c233…
07-14 04:19:13	will cxmt ipo by july 31 2026 20260629164309098	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb7a8a5…
07-13 08:42:34	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa98235…
07-13 08:42:10	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x71bba3…
07-13 08:32:37	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd39f40…
07-13 08:31:49	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9abb8e…
07-11 07:55:40	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe8c39d…
07-11 07:55:05	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc9bdcf…
07-11 07:43:14	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x64a08e…
07-11 07:42:10	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1d39b1…
07-10 06:57:52	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf29dda…
07-10 06:57:20	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9257fc…
07-10 06:43:40	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3375ba…
07-10 06:41:31	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x35cefb…
07-09 03:02:59	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd8b34a…
07-09 03:02:14	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x32b76f…
07-09 02:50:08	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcf44f6…
07-09 02:49:19	will lifi launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc18fa7…
07-08 06:13:41	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x07eb10…
07-08 06:12:58	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x57b64c…
07-08 04:52:37	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc8839c…
07-08 04:51:29	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x68bea8…
07-07 04:37:28	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdf9f62…
07-07 04:18:01	will cap reach 0pt08 before 2027	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3e2e32…
07-07 04:09:28	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb871cb…
07-06 07:18:04	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xcc74e6…
07-06 07:17:31	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2229c5…
07-06 07:03:14	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6aade7…
07-06 07:00:32	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8a1b31…
07-04 03:59:37	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x116fd4…
07-04 03:51:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3024d3…
07-04 03:45:26	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd0941d…
07-04 03:44:17	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd1cf59…
07-03 07:49:43	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5079dc…
07-03 07:49:23	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x78d774…
07-03 07:43:43	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa3ae70…
07-03 07:43:11	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in july 2026 20260626153701906	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5f0462…
07-02 06:47:53	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xde4b1c…
07-02 06:42:31	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8f38c6…
07-01 03:22:17	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x036eec…
07-01 03:21:34	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa060d3…
07-01 03:15:44	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8ef4ff…
07-01 03:13:14	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x990cec…
06-30 06:52:59	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1d41b3…
06-30 06:52:14	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x375293…
06-30 06:47:31	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x70e8c8…
06-30 06:45:22	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8ace7b…
06-29 09:47:46	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xaa73f3…
06-29 09:34:41	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd85a4e…
06-27 03:44:11	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6353b7…
06-27 03:43:52	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc0f85c…
06-27 03:38:16	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd9c37e…
06-27 03:36:23	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x639caf…
06-26 08:10:01	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9f111a…
06-26 08:09:28	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6bcc05…
06-26 07:57:44	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa111cf…
06-26 07:56:52	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb33a4b…
06-24 06:11:05	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9a8e4e…
06-24 06:10:28	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbb5b1d…
06-24 04:48:17	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x26e009…
06-24 04:47:08	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa08c82…
06-23 06:09:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc5497a…