Bustling-Investor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.3%

Resolved

176

Trades

501

lifetime

Volume

$503

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 08-13 04:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Other

69% 12% -$4

Politics

17% 9% $0

Crypto

7% 8% -$1

Sports

3% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

2% 0% $0

Tech

2% 33% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	11	$12	8	8	+0	Yes	$0	01-23 09:33
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	10	$10	5	5	-0	open	—	07-31 08:38
will usdai launch a token by march 31	9	$10	6	6	+0	No	$0	03-30 00:01
Trump out as President by June 30?	8	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	06-17 00:58
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	6	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	03-13 03:43
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-13 00:59
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	07-11 09:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-26 02:13
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-05 01:14
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	05-30 00:23
Will XLG win Valorant Masters London 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-13 00:59
Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-06 01:14
will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-22 00:44
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-27 08:04
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Gold	$0	01-24 07:10
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	5	$5	4	3	+1	Yes	+$0	01-28 10:53
crude oil all time high by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-27 06:59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-25 01:45
Iran Nuke before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	08-13 04:11
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-22 02:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	08-13 04:09
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-02 07:54
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-07 09:49
will abdel fattah el sisi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950085	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-18 01:18
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song this week?	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-13 10:11
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	02-13 02:53
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-15 09:15
us government funding lapse on january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	01-30 09:16
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-06 01:17
epstein blackmail evidence released by march 31	4	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	01-31 08:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 04:11:12	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x25ec36…
08-13 04:09:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x172d45…
08-13 03:52:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe5bf79…
08-13 03:48:43	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc3a6db…
07-31 08:38:50	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x46274d…
07-31 08:38:17	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x37b13f…
07-31 08:24:35	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf74bc1…
07-31 08:23:27	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc6ce22…
07-29 02:42:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdeefb5…
07-29 02:41:47	Macron out by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8a342a…
07-29 02:10:14	Macron out by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf14670…
07-29 02:08:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xed61b6…
07-27 03:13:03	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8828de…
07-27 03:12:27	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe29f03…
07-27 02:47:42	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1a5727…
07-27 02:46:09	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x110979…
07-25 01:46:19	will xrp reach 1pt6 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7e9cb9…
07-25 01:45:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x251e41…
07-25 01:28:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x47cec7…
07-25 01:26:27	will xrp reach 1pt6 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe5b9f5…
07-24 02:29:19	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x2d716c…
07-24 02:28:36	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1f7ab3…
07-24 01:48:40	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x24ddbc…
07-22 06:45:06	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x857abf…
07-22 04:51:03	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8c4075…
07-22 04:47:51	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7fff99…
07-21 09:13:00	Israeli forces enter Tyre by July 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x45d21b…
07-21 09:12:30	Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x635884…
07-21 09:01:10	Israeli forces enter Tyre by July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x30cee6…
07-21 09:00:18	Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6768c1…
07-20 10:12:03	will no episode air 20260717155813244	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbd41f7…
07-20 10:10:33	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x32551c…
07-20 10:04:06	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2b7e17…
07-20 10:02:39	will no episode air 20260717155813244	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb406c8…
07-17 08:18:09	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb71b37…
07-17 08:17:40	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb7410c…
07-17 07:55:51	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x98fabd…
07-17 07:55:01	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfa6d48…
07-16 07:59:41	Will "The Wow! Signal - Muse" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xae9ffa…
07-16 07:57:23	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7e3683…
07-16 07:35:46	Will "The Wow! Signal - Muse" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcf637e…
07-16 07:33:04	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x763f33…
07-15 09:15:59	Will "Future - The Real Me" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb0edc4…
07-15 09:15:35	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xfd43da…
07-15 09:09:41	Will "Future - The Real Me" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5e0aa4…
07-15 09:08:56	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9a3622…
07-14 09:07:20	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3c3083…
07-14 09:06:55	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8d9719…
07-14 08:49:47	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcfdba1…
07-14 08:48:58	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1f702d…
07-13 10:11:11	Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song this week?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x454683…
07-13 10:10:08	Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song this week?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdd6d53…
07-13 10:07:47	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x53d322…
07-13 10:02:26	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x859f8a…
07-13 10:01:43	Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song this week?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf38822…
07-11 09:04:44	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc25d42…
07-11 09:04:02	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x46e610…
07-11 08:58:31	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6b55fa…
07-11 08:55:26	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x29b09b…
07-10 08:54:28	Will "CONFESSIONS II - Madonna" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbc5b63…
07-10 08:54:05	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa66259…
07-10 08:42:10	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb316aa…
07-10 08:40:22	Will "CONFESSIONS II - Madonna" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xee597b…
07-09 04:52:32	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x236d15…
07-09 04:52:08	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2cdf02…
07-09 04:47:53	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3e94cc…
07-09 04:47:14	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc44bc0…
07-08 08:22:41	Will "Iceman - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd22d73…
07-08 08:20:41	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x364c94…
07-08 08:05:05	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf44bd4…
07-08 08:04:13	Will "Iceman - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf7878f…
07-07 07:41:31	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc56b47…
07-07 07:40:55	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9dc536…
07-07 07:35:11	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9a5e6a…
07-07 07:34:34	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x55e9ac…
07-06 09:02:41	Will "The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x022704…
07-06 09:00:46	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdc4fde…
07-06 08:54:43	Will "The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe84ed3…
07-06 08:52:32	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x014e6e…
07-04 07:03:35	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8ed4a5…
07-04 07:02:44	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x14489b…
07-04 06:57:14	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xac1499…
07-04 06:55:53	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9c5bea…
07-03 04:52:59	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x95f907…
07-03 04:52:28	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x110b8c…
07-03 04:44:40	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0c751b…
07-03 04:43:38	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x002ce7…
07-02 07:54:49	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xce3f92…
07-02 07:54:11	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe65625…
07-02 07:50:11	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaccafa…
07-02 07:49:28	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xadb369…
07-01 09:40:01	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xcbc926…
07-01 09:38:46	Will Beşiktaş Esports Win Emea Challengers Stage	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5792d7…
07-01 09:30:34	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x98fe2b…
07-01 09:29:37	Will Beşiktaş Esports Win Emea Challengers Stage	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1d71bb…
06-30 08:20:13	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622192122520	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9e076d…
06-30 08:19:34	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x4fc72c…
06-30 08:14:59	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfe305f…
06-30 08:13:50	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622192122520	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x33b727…
06-29 06:50:04	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8df195…