Triangular-Swanling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

325

lifetime

Volume

$325

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 07-04 07:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

70% — —

Politics

17% 0% $-0

Crypto

9% 0% $-0

Sports

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+1	$1	98¢	$1	$-0	06-05 01:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	10	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	01-31 08:52
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	8	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	01-23 09:54
will usdai launch a token by march 31	7	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-11 02:55
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-26 02:13
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-30 00:23
will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-22 00:44
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-27 08:04
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-24 07:10
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	5	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-13 03:43
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	06-05 01:14
crude oil all time high by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-27 06:59
will ukraine re enter huliaipole by march 31	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-05 09:35
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-11 01:21
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-02 07:54
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-07 09:49
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 02:53
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-19 10:02
us government funding lapse on january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-30 09:16
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-06 01:17
will stephen miran dissent the next fed decision	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 03:06
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 06:22
megaeth fdv above 500m one day after launch	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 06:34
Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	04-13 01:22
us strike on somalia by february 28 399	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-24 09:30
north korea missile test by march 31 472	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-13 03:44
Trump out as President by June 30?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	06-17 00:58
will abdel fattah el sisi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950085	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	06-18 01:03
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 08:26
cag quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt4	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 02:18
2026 valero texas open winner jordan spieth win	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 06:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 07:02:34	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8d7c17…
07-04 06:57:11	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5de330…
07-03 04:52:56	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x752e4b…
07-03 04:52:23	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1917ab…
07-03 04:44:38	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1b3328…
07-03 04:43:34	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9a2f30…
07-02 07:54:43	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe5c5ae…
07-02 07:54:04	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbb7881…
07-02 07:50:10	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8c9bc1…
07-02 07:49:28	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x316023…
07-01 09:39:58	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x120feb…
07-01 09:30:31	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa255a0…
06-30 08:20:08	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622192122520	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x84ded6…
06-30 08:19:28	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x732659…
06-30 08:14:56	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4100f9…
06-30 08:13:47	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622192122520	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe278a0…
06-29 06:49:08	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe382ca…
06-29 05:12:25	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x66fee2…
06-27 08:04:13	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4ebd96…
06-27 07:50:04	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1567d5…
06-26 02:13:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5f2dfb…
06-26 02:08:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeeac41…
06-24 00:55:26	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8a58f1…
06-24 00:54:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7bef96…
06-24 00:53:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3f7461…
06-24 00:52:22	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x40cd8f…
06-23 01:31:52	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 118	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2afd97…
06-23 01:31:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6f6cbf…
06-23 01:24:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc1930b…
06-23 01:22:19	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 118	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd3eed3…
06-22 00:45:07	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x273dbe…
06-22 00:44:44	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x966eee…
06-22 00:41:08	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xece996…
06-22 00:40:20	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0941a2…
06-21 02:17:11	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc0f859…
06-21 02:03:50	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x461af0…
06-18 01:18:50	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x591dfa…
06-18 01:09:05	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa27111…
06-18 01:03:43	will abdel fattah el sisi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950085	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcc3f04…
06-18 01:02:31	will abdel fattah el sisi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950085	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3d6e9f…
06-18 01:00:49	will abdel fattah el sisi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950085	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0f89e8…
06-17 00:58:14	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfe1c6b…
06-17 00:51:14	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2b308b…
06-16 00:58:21	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8b299c…
06-15 02:46:28	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xed9757…
06-15 02:45:49	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf1e318…
06-15 01:49:21	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc9cbcc…
06-15 01:46:51	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb6bb06…
06-12 01:44:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc982b6…
06-12 01:33:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb1693b…
06-11 01:21:40	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9015dd…
06-11 01:08:48	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0b352b…
06-10 02:03:15	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa862f9…
06-10 02:02:43	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x59d809…
06-10 01:55:15	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0c4c6a…
06-10 01:53:27	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xca6457…
06-09 01:38:51	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdb02b2…
06-09 01:38:34	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xea5381…
06-09 01:05:04	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaed2ef…
06-09 01:03:42	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4c1115…
06-08 02:04:52	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0d0a4d…
06-08 02:03:51	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe45834…
06-08 01:40:37	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3b275e…
06-08 01:37:52	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x84b28a…
06-06 01:17:06	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x27ec11…
06-06 01:04:28	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5eb718…
06-05 01:14:43	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8da2f4…
06-05 01:04:07	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x453109…
06-04 02:22:58	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5636ad…
06-04 02:10:03	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf3596f…
06-03 02:05:15	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd14f4b…
06-02 00:59:25	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x046177…
06-02 00:47:34	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0dd356…
06-01 02:13:01	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7ccad2…
06-01 01:57:16	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbc08a8…
05-30 00:24:09	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x98e3bf…
05-30 00:23:06	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbaf42b…
05-30 00:18:32	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x282f05…
05-29 00:51:14	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x41e2d0…
05-29 00:43:27	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x33dee9…
05-28 01:04:03	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9716e1…
05-28 00:55:55	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6431ba…
05-28 00:53:23	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xddb5cd…
05-26 01:20:10	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa40028…
05-26 01:19:28	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcbb4bd…
05-26 01:01:05	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50e562…
05-26 00:59:29	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0f3a9d…
05-25 01:46:48	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcb3af3…
05-25 01:37:06	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfb11d2…
05-19 10:22:19	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x14d408…
05-19 10:09:18	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0d3e0a…
05-13 10:04:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8f6fea…
05-13 09:51:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaca3a3…
05-11 10:19:46	Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x60a0d7…
05-11 10:11:46	Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1eb304…
05-08 08:17:26	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa55489…
05-08 08:03:41	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd84515…
05-07 08:36:57	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb92fb9…
05-07 08:19:06	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe77d9d…
04-30 06:34:10	megaeth fdv above 500m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x88d8a5…