Triangular-Swanling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

273

lifetime

Volume

$274

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 06-10 02:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

73% — —

Politics

14% 0% $-0

Crypto

10% 0% $-0

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+1	$1	98¢	$1	$-0	06-05 01:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	10	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	01-31 08:52
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	8	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	01-23 09:54
will usdai launch a token by march 31	7	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-11 02:55
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-30 00:23
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-24 07:10
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	5	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-13 03:43
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	06-05 01:14
crude oil all time high by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-27 06:59
will ukraine re enter huliaipole by march 31	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-05 09:35
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-07 09:49
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 02:53
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-19 10:02
us government funding lapse on january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-30 09:16
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-06 01:17
will stephen miran dissent the next fed decision	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 03:06
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 06:22
megaeth fdv above 500m one day after launch	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 06:34
Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	04-13 01:22
us strike on somalia by february 28 399	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-24 09:30
north korea missile test by march 31 472	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-13 03:44
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 08:26
cag quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt4	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 02:18
2026 valero texas open winner jordan spieth win	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 06:49
spx opens up or down on january 29 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-29 09:40
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-31 02:00
highest temperature in taipei on march 30 2026 29c	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-31 02:00
spx opens up or down on february 13 2026	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 02:57
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 01:29
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 00:42
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 08:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 02:03:15	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa862f9…
06-10 02:02:43	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x59d809…
06-10 01:55:15	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0c4c6a…
06-10 01:53:27	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xca6457…
06-09 01:38:51	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdb02b2…
06-09 01:38:34	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xea5381…
06-09 01:05:04	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaed2ef…
06-09 01:03:42	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4c1115…
06-08 02:04:52	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0d0a4d…
06-08 02:03:51	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe45834…
06-08 01:40:37	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3b275e…
06-08 01:37:52	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x84b28a…
06-06 01:17:06	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x27ec11…
06-06 01:04:28	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5eb718…
06-05 01:14:43	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8da2f4…
06-05 01:04:07	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x453109…
06-04 02:22:58	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5636ad…
06-04 02:10:03	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf3596f…
06-03 02:05:15	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd14f4b…
06-02 00:59:25	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x046177…
06-02 00:47:34	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0dd356…
06-01 02:13:01	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7ccad2…
06-01 01:57:16	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbc08a8…
05-30 00:24:09	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x98e3bf…
05-30 00:23:06	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbaf42b…
05-30 00:18:32	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x282f05…
05-29 00:51:14	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x41e2d0…
05-29 00:43:27	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x33dee9…
05-28 01:04:03	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9716e1…
05-28 00:55:55	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6431ba…
05-28 00:53:23	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xddb5cd…
05-26 01:20:10	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa40028…
05-26 01:19:28	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcbb4bd…
05-26 01:01:05	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50e562…
05-26 00:59:29	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0f3a9d…
05-25 01:46:48	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcb3af3…
05-25 01:37:06	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfb11d2…
05-19 10:22:19	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x14d408…
05-19 10:09:18	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0d3e0a…
05-13 10:04:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8f6fea…
05-13 09:51:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaca3a3…
05-11 10:19:46	Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x60a0d7…
05-11 10:11:46	Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1eb304…
05-08 08:17:26	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa55489…
05-08 08:03:41	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd84515…
05-07 08:36:57	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb92fb9…
05-07 08:19:06	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe77d9d…
04-30 06:34:10	megaeth fdv above 500m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x88d8a5…
04-30 06:33:30	Will the UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x977a36…
04-30 06:29:54	megaeth fdv above 500m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x369521…
04-30 06:28:06	Will the UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf74eb3…
04-29 07:34:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x343bc5…
04-29 07:33:54	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x386bed…
04-29 07:28:28	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe0924a…
04-29 07:26:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x87d037…
04-28 07:43:00	Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x746a5a…
04-28 07:42:16	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x948677…
04-28 07:35:20	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x10ac53…
04-28 07:33:02	Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5f5471…
04-27 00:42:58	Will White House post 80-99 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xaa9977…
04-27 00:42:06	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xed67d4…
04-27 00:30:58	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x551695…
04-27 00:29:04	Will White House post 80-99 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xac87d8…
04-25 01:30:48	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x78feb1…
04-25 00:59:48	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc8d058…
04-24 01:18:00	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0xe49dd5…
04-24 01:15:30	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x829b5e…
04-24 01:09:16	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe9221a…
04-24 01:05:42	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5fe77a…
04-21 01:54:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5be4f3…
04-21 01:53:02	Curmi vs. Oktiabreva: Match O/U 21.5	Over	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x1d95c1…
04-21 01:51:36	Curmi vs. Oktiabreva: Match O/U 21.5	Over	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf29ba8…
04-21 01:49:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8c0fca…
04-19 23:55:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x882695…
04-19 23:54:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3a4396…
04-18 01:57:14	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 14 20	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8114d1…
04-18 01:56:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5eb067…
04-18 01:54:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7ad7c5…
04-18 01:53:28	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 14 20	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x61329b…
04-17 01:39:30	wta muchova gauff 2026 04 17 set handicap away 1pt5	Gauff	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x96ac01…
04-17 01:36:44	wta muchova gauff 2026 04 17 set handicap away 1pt5	Gauff	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xca91fe…
04-16 02:19:22	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be between 1pt7b and 1pt8b at market close on ipo day	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xf7ce1e…
04-16 02:13:16	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be between 1pt7b and 1pt8b at market close on ipo day	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc08229…
04-15 00:59:20	megaeth fdv above 500m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xf49723…
04-15 00:58:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe44e93…
04-15 00:57:50	megaeth fdv above 500m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x19c9b4…
04-15 00:53:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x872ae1…
04-14 01:07:51	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be greater than $150M at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xac0b1c…
04-14 01:05:39	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be greater than $150M at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5b5020…
04-13 01:23:29	wti up or down on april 13 2026	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x99a49d…
04-13 01:22:39	Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x22033d…
04-13 01:21:37	Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x15deb8…
04-13 01:20:01	wti up or down on april 13 2026	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1bd5fa…
04-11 00:43:59	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x29561c…
04-11 00:42:41	will bitcoin dip to 71k on april 10	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x215610…
04-11 00:39:11	will bitcoin dip to 71k on april 10	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe6c41b…
04-11 00:36:11	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc8c598…
04-10 00:39:23	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa37cef…
04-10 00:38:27	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4884ac…
04-09 00:58:17	will madison airs market cap be less than 12pt0b at market close on ipo day	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xbe664e…