Triangular-Swanling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.4%

Resolved

177

Trades

502

lifetime

Volume

$505

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 08-13 04:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Other

69% 11% -$4

Politics

18% 9% $0

Crypto

7% 8% -$1

Sports

3% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

2% 0% $0

Tech

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	10	$10	5	5	-0	open	—	07-31 08:38
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	10	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	01-31 08:52
Trump out as President by June 30?	7	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	06-17 00:58
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	8	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	01-23 09:54
will usdai launch a token by march 31	7	$8	5	5	+0	No	$0	03-11 02:55
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-13 00:59
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	07-11 09:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-26 02:13
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-05 01:14
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	05-30 00:23
Will XLG win Valorant Masters London 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-13 00:59
will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-22 00:44
Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-06 01:14
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-27 08:04
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Gold	$0	01-24 07:10
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	5	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	03-13 03:43
crude oil all time high by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-27 06:59
will ukraine re enter huliaipole by march 31	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	03-05 09:35
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-25 01:45
Iran Nuke before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	08-13 04:11
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-22 02:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	08-13 04:10
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-02 07:54
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-07 09:49
ZywOo	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-04 01:44
will abdel fattah el sisi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950085	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-18 01:18
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song this week?	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-13 10:11
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	02-13 02:53
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	01-19 10:02
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-15 09:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 04:11:13	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9105be…
08-13 04:10:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0ed83c…
08-13 03:52:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x04f23a…
08-13 03:45:04	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe2c67b…
07-31 08:38:53	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xea384b…
07-31 08:38:18	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x45785e…
07-31 08:24:36	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x08c262…
07-31 08:23:33	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x300593…
07-29 02:42:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x94e953…
07-29 02:41:47	Macron out by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x476085…
07-29 02:10:21	Macron out by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8770b8…
07-29 02:08:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf4e5ce…
07-27 03:13:12	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1ee33d…
07-27 03:12:30	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xcdfeb7…
07-27 02:47:43	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3ac9e5…
07-27 02:46:10	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1b5aec…
07-25 01:46:21	will xrp reach 1pt6 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9e55ea…
07-25 01:45:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x599bac…
07-25 01:28:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9a1066…
07-25 01:26:28	will xrp reach 1pt6 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb05a7b…
07-24 02:29:19	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x00a390…
07-24 02:28:36	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe5193f…
07-24 01:48:42	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x11a6f6…
07-22 06:45:10	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc31de8…
07-22 04:50:46	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3b1ee6…
07-22 04:47:57	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x26e40a…
07-21 09:13:03	israeli forces enter tyre by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3e0e9c…
07-21 09:12:31	Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xdc50e6…
07-21 09:01:13	Israeli forces enter Tyre by July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9b8c75…
07-21 09:00:12	Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x439803…
07-20 10:12:04	will no episode air 20260717155813244	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x49d017…
07-20 10:10:36	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x77aaf6…
07-20 10:04:04	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5988c8…
07-20 10:02:33	will no episode air 20260717155813244	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x908430…
07-17 08:18:19	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe4ac05…
07-17 08:17:40	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1c6140…
07-17 07:55:55	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2dd25e…
07-17 07:55:03	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf0d1fb…
07-16 07:59:35	Will "The Wow! Signal - Muse" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x99e116…
07-16 07:57:23	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf3c07a…
07-16 07:35:49	Will "The Wow! Signal - Muse" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x18ab60…
07-16 07:32:56	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xeaabf2…
07-15 09:15:56	Will "Future - The Real Me" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc6c2d9…
07-15 09:15:34	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x4208e8…
07-15 09:09:43	Will "Future - The Real Me" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfe3273…
07-15 09:08:59	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb72228…
07-14 09:07:22	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd2265a…
07-14 09:06:56	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc10558…
07-14 08:49:56	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x367b03…
07-14 08:48:59	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x10925e…
07-13 10:11:17	Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song this week?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x710293…
07-13 10:10:10	Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song this week?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfb5c99…
07-13 10:07:49	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4a6a4a…
07-13 10:02:28	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x408979…
07-13 10:01:44	Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song this week?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3f7889…
07-11 09:04:41	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6ff995…
07-11 09:04:08	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9a858c…
07-11 08:58:34	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x408036…
07-11 08:55:28	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xef5046…
07-10 08:54:26	Will "CONFESSIONS II - Madonna" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf6d7e6…
07-10 08:54:01	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x9bea75…
07-10 08:42:05	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa317e0…
07-10 08:40:49	Will "CONFESSIONS II - Madonna" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa16a77…
07-09 04:52:29	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xafc12e…
07-09 04:52:05	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x13e0a5…
07-09 04:47:52	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x431631…
07-09 04:47:13	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcc0215…
07-08 08:28:49	Will "Iceman - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x46022a…
07-08 08:20:38	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x98833c…
07-08 08:05:02	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe17aa5…
07-08 08:04:11	Will "Iceman - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9dff46…
07-07 07:41:23	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7047cc…
07-07 07:40:53	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8ea456…
07-07 07:35:10	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4d1830…
07-07 07:34:29	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd50975…
07-06 09:02:37	Will "The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcae17d…
07-06 09:00:41	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc9f4dc…
07-06 08:54:41	Will "The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1244a9…
07-06 08:52:29	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x96be82…
07-04 07:03:34	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x79a3f6…
07-04 07:02:34	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8d7c17…
07-04 06:57:11	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5de330…
07-04 06:55:49	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf59b70…
07-03 04:52:56	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x752e4b…
07-03 04:52:23	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1917ab…
07-03 04:44:38	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1b3328…
07-03 04:43:34	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9a2f30…
07-02 07:54:43	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe5c5ae…
07-02 07:54:04	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbb7881…
07-02 07:50:10	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8c9bc1…
07-02 07:49:28	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x316023…
07-01 09:39:58	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x120feb…
07-01 09:38:43	Will Beşiktaş Esports Win Emea Challengers Stage	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7f970c…
07-01 09:30:31	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa255a0…
07-01 09:29:41	Will Beşiktaş Esports Win Emea Challengers Stage	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf5658f…
06-30 08:20:08	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622192122520	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x84ded6…
06-30 08:19:28	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x732659…
06-30 08:14:56	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4100f9…
06-30 08:13:47	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622192122520	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe278a0…
06-29 06:49:56	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x66c9f5…