Complex-Valuable — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

330

lifetime

Volume

$328

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 07-04 07:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% — —

Politics

20% 0% $-0

Crypto

11% 0% $-0

Sports

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+1	$1	98¢	$1	$-0	06-05 01:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	10	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	01-23 10:03
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	7	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-18 02:37
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	8	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	01-31 08:52
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	01-24 07:10
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-26 02:13
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-30 00:23
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-27 08:04
will usdai launch a token by march 31	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-11 03:21
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	06-05 01:14
will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	5	$5	2	3	-1	open	—	06-22 00:44
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-11 01:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 10:04
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 01:30
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-02 07:54
bitcoin up or down on april 8 2026	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-08 02:25
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-07 09:49
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-06 01:11
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 02:54
us government funding lapse on january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-30 09:16
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-19 10:02
acn quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 19 2026 2pt85	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-11 03:21
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-06 01:17
will trump praise allah again by april 15	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-10 00:34
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-07 05:56
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 06:23
megaeth fdv above 500m one day after launch	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 06:34
Trump out as President by June 30?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	06-17 00:58
will abdel fattah el sisi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950085	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	06-18 01:03
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 08:26
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 24 30	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-31 01:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 07:02:53	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd35581…
07-04 06:57:17	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x61500f…
07-03 04:53:02	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdcce05…
07-03 04:52:32	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8ca910…
07-03 04:44:43	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xff8307…
07-03 04:43:38	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbace8a…
07-02 07:54:55	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0d7718…
07-02 07:54:19	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa1aba3…
07-02 07:50:13	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x39405e…
07-02 07:49:31	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7b86ef…
07-01 09:40:02	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb21154…
07-01 09:30:37	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdcd3ee…
06-30 08:20:17	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622192122520	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdebfe1…
06-30 08:19:40	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x0afc16…
06-30 08:15:01	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe2bf02…
06-30 08:13:55	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622192122520	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe672c8…
06-29 06:49:23	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbf4b5b…
06-29 05:12:31	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x887e15…
06-27 08:04:19	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x35a079…
06-27 07:50:11	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x329be7…
06-26 02:13:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe78e7a…
06-26 02:08:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x844ffe…
06-24 00:55:28	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x56f913…
06-24 00:54:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x74bf56…
06-24 00:53:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x700c9f…
06-24 00:52:22	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x492ead…
06-23 01:31:52	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 118	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x75ead3…
06-23 01:31:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2cd5d3…
06-23 01:25:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbf97ad…
06-23 01:22:20	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 118	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9fcc05…
06-22 00:45:08	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x249ea3…
06-22 00:44:46	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x11a734…
06-22 00:41:10	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd6566c…
06-22 00:40:19	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x67d0b9…
06-21 02:17:13	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf7b74f…
06-21 02:03:50	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x687211…
06-18 01:18:50	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x235987…
06-18 01:09:07	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe53abd…
06-18 01:03:46	will abdel fattah el sisi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950085	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xea849d…
06-18 01:02:34	will abdel fattah el sisi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950085	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbdcd58…
06-18 01:00:55	will abdel fattah el sisi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950085	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc5cb88…
06-17 00:58:22	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdda624…
06-17 00:51:25	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9410a2…
06-16 00:58:27	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7debd8…
06-15 02:46:51	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x606036…
06-15 02:45:55	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf2c079…
06-15 01:46:54	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x45928a…
06-12 01:44:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x80c685…
06-12 01:33:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9632e0…
06-11 01:21:43	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x972cd9…
06-11 01:08:48	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0b8586…
06-10 02:03:16	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x907122…
06-10 02:02:43	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xee8007…
06-10 01:55:19	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb20762…
06-10 01:53:28	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x749a33…
06-09 01:38:51	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf0cb86…
06-09 01:38:34	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xef5229…
06-09 01:05:01	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdac5bd…
06-09 01:03:42	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x25c0ed…
06-08 02:04:51	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa00ff5…
06-08 02:03:51	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdef360…
06-08 01:40:36	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc7e264…
06-08 01:37:51	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xeeaaba…
06-06 01:17:09	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x37f3ba…
06-06 01:04:30	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc624a8…
06-05 01:14:43	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1dea6d…
06-05 01:04:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0b9bf6…
06-04 02:23:03	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdb8bad…
06-04 02:10:04	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7901b9…
06-03 02:05:15	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8e600c…
06-02 00:59:26	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9f729a…
06-02 00:47:36	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x738f4b…
06-01 02:13:06	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7cb9cd…
06-01 01:57:16	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa4350f…
05-30 00:24:11	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x18840b…
05-30 00:23:12	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x088538…
05-30 00:18:32	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4646ca…
05-29 00:51:16	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb7964f…
05-29 00:43:29	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe4fbcb…
05-28 01:04:01	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf67418…
05-28 00:55:55	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x26bc56…
05-28 00:53:23	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2edf4b…
05-26 01:20:12	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0df7e1…
05-26 01:19:30	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3ec32a…
05-26 01:01:07	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc7dbcb…
05-26 00:59:33	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x807b54…
05-25 01:46:50	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf0aef8…
05-25 01:37:07	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe4d89b…
05-19 10:22:17	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb53d4d…
05-19 10:09:57	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x655014…
05-13 10:04:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9c3b80…
05-13 09:52:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x149a08…
05-13 09:51:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x90e439…
05-11 10:19:46	Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb6b464…
05-11 10:11:58	Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x86af06…
05-08 08:17:29	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2620ea…
05-08 08:03:59	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x07d911…
05-07 08:36:50	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xde6e35…
05-07 08:18:56	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe3e979…
04-30 06:34:14	megaeth fdv above 500m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1c106e…