Complex-Valuable — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.3%

Resolved

178

Trades

513

lifetime

Volume

$514

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 08-13 04:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Other

65% 9% -$6

Politics

20% 11% $0

Crypto

8% 21% $0

Sports

3% 25% $0

Tech

2% 25% $0

Pop-Culture

2% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	10	$10	5	5	-0	open	—	07-31 08:38
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	10	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	01-23 10:03
Trump out as President by June 30?	7	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	06-17 00:58
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	7	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	03-18 02:37
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	8	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	01-31 08:52
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	8	$8	4	4	+0	Gold	$0	01-24 07:10
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	06-05 01:14
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-13 00:59
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	07-11 09:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-26 02:13
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	05-30 00:23
Will XLG win Valorant Masters London 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-13 00:59
Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-06 01:14
will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-22 00:44
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-27 08:04
will usdai launch a token by march 31	6	$6	4	4	+0	No	$0	03-11 03:21
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-25 01:45
Iran Nuke before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	08-13 04:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-13 10:04
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-22 02:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	08-13 04:10
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-25 01:30
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-02 07:54
bitcoin up or down on april 8 2026	3	$4	2	2	+0	Up	$0	04-08 02:25
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-07 09:49
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-06 01:11
ZywOo	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-04 01:44
will abdel fattah el sisi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950085	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-18 01:18
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song this week?	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-13 10:11
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	02-13 02:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 04:11:15	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x182331…
08-13 04:10:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xacc8ad…
08-13 03:52:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6796b8…
08-13 03:45:15	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcdb730…
08-10 08:19:54	Will Lisa Nandy be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4ac57e…
08-10 08:19:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdf4a30…
08-10 03:13:51	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xee8773…
08-10 03:12:55	Will Lisa Nandy be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1e1a77…
07-31 08:38:54	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x436b4e…
07-31 08:38:18	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x97c7ea…
07-31 08:24:38	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe74b18…
07-31 08:23:35	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa77786…
07-29 02:42:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0c7667…
07-29 02:41:48	Macron out by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x15507f…
07-29 02:10:24	Macron out by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0db041…
07-29 02:09:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6b1a65…
07-27 03:13:12	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5169c2…
07-27 03:12:36	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x581179…
07-27 02:47:46	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x690cd8…
07-27 02:46:10	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc6296c…
07-25 01:46:24	will xrp reach 1pt6 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x555b3f…
07-25 01:45:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6fa1f7…
07-25 01:28:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe60eb2…
07-25 01:26:31	will xrp reach 1pt6 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcc2b91…
07-24 02:29:36	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xb2e31f…
07-24 02:28:40	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf7d7b5…
07-24 01:48:42	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe2c393…
07-22 06:45:13	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6d4f8a…
07-22 04:50:48	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc04016…
07-22 04:48:00	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x053e26…
07-21 09:13:03	israeli forces enter tyre by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0533d2…
07-21 09:12:33	Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x97e3b3…
07-21 09:01:21	Israeli forces enter Tyre by July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe71f52…
07-21 09:00:15	Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x782695…
07-20 10:13:04	will no episode air 20260717155813244	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x536d50…
07-20 10:10:39	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x02e853…
07-20 10:03:58	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd76434…
07-20 10:02:58	will no episode air 20260717155813244	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x14e822…
07-17 08:18:21	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xcf1f82…
07-17 08:17:40	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4e89ac…
07-17 07:55:57	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd85d39…
07-17 07:55:06	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5289d5…
07-16 07:59:38	Will "The Wow! Signal - Muse" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9ba114…
07-16 07:57:25	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x376aa9…
07-16 07:35:49	Will "The Wow! Signal - Muse" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x773184…
07-16 07:32:58	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xab1259…
07-15 09:15:58	Will "Future - The Real Me" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe42491…
07-15 09:15:32	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x2ed3af…
07-15 09:09:46	Will "Future - The Real Me" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 25?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf7d0db…
07-15 09:09:05	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x035774…
07-14 09:07:25	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xefed28…
07-14 09:06:58	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf928d0…
07-14 08:49:58	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd6c0e5…
07-14 08:48:59	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc26b4d…
07-13 10:11:19	Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song this week?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x1f9ea4…
07-13 10:10:11	Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song this week?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x05bf4f…
07-13 10:07:49	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd1826e…
07-13 10:02:31	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7301b8…
07-13 10:01:46	Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song this week?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdfb91c…
07-11 09:04:40	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5a3070…
07-11 09:04:11	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x51c404…
07-11 08:58:34	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7a6dff…
07-11 08:55:29	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf9c79f…
07-10 08:54:31	Will "CONFESSIONS II - Madonna" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x252778…
07-10 08:54:10	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xadb8ba…
07-10 08:42:16	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6ae877…
07-10 08:40:37	Will "CONFESSIONS II - Madonna" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe1e3f4…
07-09 04:52:35	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc239f1…
07-09 04:52:11	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd5f67a…
07-09 04:47:56	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2037dc…
07-09 04:47:17	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x75f450…
07-08 08:22:46	Will "Iceman - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdcb4ff…
07-08 08:20:47	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x008631…
07-08 08:05:07	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd9e16c…
07-08 08:04:17	Will "Iceman - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6f04b7…
07-07 07:41:38	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5e59fe…
07-07 07:40:59	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2e71a9…
07-07 07:35:14	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5a1103…
07-07 07:34:40	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc5f321…
07-06 09:02:46	Will "The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xabac4a…
07-06 09:00:49	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xedd4af…
07-06 08:54:47	Will "The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa3df6a…
07-06 08:52:35	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x275c1f…
07-04 07:03:38	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe4b79e…
07-04 07:02:53	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd35581…
07-04 06:57:17	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x61500f…
07-04 06:55:59	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x72219c…
07-03 04:53:02	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdcce05…
07-03 04:52:32	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8ca910…
07-03 04:44:43	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xff8307…
07-03 04:43:38	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbace8a…
07-02 07:54:55	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0d7718…
07-02 07:54:19	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa1aba3…
07-02 07:50:13	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x39405e…
07-02 07:49:31	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7b86ef…
07-01 09:40:02	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb21154…
07-01 09:38:47	Will Beşiktaş Esports Win Emea Challengers Stage	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa75ae2…
07-01 09:30:37	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdcd3ee…
07-01 09:29:44	Will Beşiktaş Esports Win Emea Challengers Stage	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xddfb81…
06-30 08:20:17	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622192122520	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdebfe1…