Complex-Valuable — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

387

lifetime

Volume

$384

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 08-13 04:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% — —

Politics

20% 0% $-0

Crypto

10% 0% $-0

Sports

4% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	10	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	01-23 10:03
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-31 08:38
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	7	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-18 02:37
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	8	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	01-31 08:52
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	01-24 07:10
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-11 09:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-26 02:13
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-30 00:23
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-27 08:04
will usdai launch a token by march 31	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-11 03:21
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	06-05 01:14
will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	5	$5	2	3	-1	open	—	06-22 00:44
Iran Nuke before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	08-13 04:11
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-11 01:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 10:04
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 01:30
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-02 07:54
bitcoin up or down on april 8 2026	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-08 02:25
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-07 09:49
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-06 01:11
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 02:54
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-15 09:15
us government funding lapse on january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-30 09:16
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-19 10:02
acn quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 19 2026 2pt85	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-11 03:21
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-06 01:17
will trump praise allah again by april 15	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-10 00:34
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-07 05:56
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 06:23
megaeth fdv above 500m one day after launch	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 06:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 04:11:15	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x182331…
08-13 04:10:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xacc8ad…
08-13 03:52:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6796b8…
08-13 03:45:15	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcdb730…
08-10 08:19:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdf4a30…
08-10 03:13:51	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xee8773…
07-31 08:38:54	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x436b4e…
07-31 08:38:18	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x97c7ea…
07-31 08:24:38	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe74b18…
07-31 08:23:35	will ansem reach 2 before 2027	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa77786…
07-27 03:13:12	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5169c2…
07-27 03:12:36	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x581179…
07-27 02:47:46	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x690cd8…
07-27 02:46:10	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc6296c…
07-25 01:46:24	will xrp reach 1pt6 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x555b3f…
07-25 01:45:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6fa1f7…
07-25 01:28:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe60eb2…
07-25 01:26:31	will xrp reach 1pt6 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcc2b91…
07-24 02:28:40	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf7d7b5…
07-24 01:48:42	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe2c393…
07-22 06:45:13	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6d4f8a…
07-22 04:50:48	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc04016…
07-21 09:13:03	israeli forces enter tyre by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0533d2…
07-20 10:13:04	will no episode air 20260717155813244	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x536d50…
07-20 10:10:39	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x02e853…
07-20 10:03:58	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd76434…
07-20 10:02:58	will no episode air 20260717155813244	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x14e822…
07-17 08:18:21	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xcf1f82…
07-17 07:55:06	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5289d5…
07-16 07:57:25	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x376aa9…
07-16 07:32:58	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xab1259…
07-15 09:15:32	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x2ed3af…
07-15 09:09:05	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x035774…
07-14 09:07:25	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xefed28…
07-14 09:06:58	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf928d0…
07-14 08:49:58	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd6c0e5…
07-14 08:48:59	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc26b4d…
07-13 10:07:49	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd1826e…
07-13 10:02:31	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7301b8…
07-11 09:04:40	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5a3070…
07-11 09:04:11	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x51c404…
07-11 08:58:34	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7a6dff…
07-11 08:55:29	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf9c79f…
07-10 08:54:10	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xadb8ba…
07-10 08:42:16	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6ae877…
07-09 04:52:35	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc239f1…
07-09 04:52:11	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd5f67a…
07-09 04:47:56	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2037dc…
07-09 04:47:17	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x75f450…
07-08 08:20:47	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x008631…
07-08 08:05:07	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd9e16c…
07-07 07:41:38	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5e59fe…
07-07 07:40:59	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2e71a9…
07-07 07:35:14	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5a1103…
07-07 07:34:40	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc5f321…
07-06 09:00:49	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xedd4af…
07-06 08:52:35	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x275c1f…
07-04 07:02:53	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd35581…
07-04 06:57:17	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x61500f…
07-03 04:53:02	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdcce05…
07-03 04:52:32	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8ca910…
07-03 04:44:43	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xff8307…
07-03 04:43:38	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbace8a…
07-02 07:54:55	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0d7718…
07-02 07:54:19	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa1aba3…
07-02 07:50:13	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x39405e…
07-02 07:49:31	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7b86ef…
07-01 09:40:02	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb21154…
07-01 09:30:37	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdcd3ee…
06-30 08:20:17	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622192122520	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdebfe1…
06-30 08:19:40	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x0afc16…
06-30 08:15:01	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe2bf02…
06-30 08:13:55	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622192122520	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe672c8…
06-29 06:49:23	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbf4b5b…
06-29 05:12:31	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x887e15…
06-27 08:04:19	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x35a079…
06-27 07:50:11	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x329be7…
06-26 02:13:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe78e7a…
06-26 02:08:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x844ffe…
06-24 00:55:28	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x56f913…
06-24 00:54:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x74bf56…
06-24 00:53:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x700c9f…
06-24 00:52:22	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x492ead…
06-23 01:31:52	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 118	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x75ead3…
06-23 01:31:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2cd5d3…
06-23 01:25:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbf97ad…
06-23 01:22:20	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 118	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9fcc05…
06-22 00:45:08	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x249ea3…
06-22 00:44:46	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x11a734…
06-22 00:41:10	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd6566c…
06-22 00:40:19	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x67d0b9…
06-21 02:17:13	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf7b74f…
06-21 02:03:50	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x687211…
06-18 01:18:50	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x235987…
06-18 01:09:07	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe53abd…
06-18 01:03:46	will abdel fattah el sisi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950085	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xea849d…
06-18 01:02:34	will abdel fattah el sisi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950085	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbdcd58…
06-18 01:00:55	will abdel fattah el sisi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950085	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc5cb88…
06-17 00:58:22	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdda624…
06-17 00:51:25	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9410a2…