Elastic-Sauce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 06-06 19:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 0% $-5

Politics

29% — —

Other

14% — —

Sports

4% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	4	$250	400	400	+0	open	—	06-06 19:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$167	500	500	+0	open	—	05-21 10:43
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	2	$99	598	0	+598	open	—	04-14 06:34
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	2	$91	590	0	+590	open	—	04-28 07:38
ethereum above 2600 on april 15	2	$89	588	0	+588	open	—	04-15 06:59
ethereum above 1800 on april 1	2	$86	585	0	+585	open	—	04-01 05:45
ethereum above 1800 on march 28	2	$84	416	0	+416	open	—	03-28 07:06
ethereum above 1900 on april 4	2	$81	580	0	+580	open	—	04-04 07:49
bitcoin above 74k on march 26	2	$81	384	0	+384	open	—	03-26 08:19
highest temperature in austin on april 11 2026 62 63f	2	$76	338	0	+338	open	—	04-10 08:18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 25?	2	$71	374	0	+374	open	—	04-25 10:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	2	$71	403	0	+403	Yes	$-1	05-05 05:39
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	2	$71	320	0	+320	open	—	05-14 07:47
uef tur rom 2026 03 26 tur	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	03-26 08:16
nhl van sj 2026 04 11	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-10 08:13
nba ind chi 2026 04 01	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-01 05:42
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-15 06:58
nhl dal pit 2026 03 28	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	03-28 07:01
nhl lak van 2026 04 14	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-14 06:33
nhl las col 2026 04 11	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-10 08:13
nba sas den 2026 04 04	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	04-04 07:47
nba sas gsw 2026 04 01	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-01 05:42
nhl nj car 2026 03 28	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-28 07:05
nba det phi 2026 04 04	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	04-04 07:47
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-04-25?	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	04-25 10:33
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-04-25?	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	04-25 10:32
Wild vs. Avalanche	1	$3	5	0	+5	Avalanche	+$2	05-05 05:38
nhl tor ott 2026 04 15	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-15 06:58
nhl mon phi 2026 04 14	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-14 06:33
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-04-25?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-25 10:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 19:24:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0xb812d9…
06-06 18:34:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x55ce58…
06-06 09:50:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	200	31¢	$62	0xc0c80a…
06-06 09:34:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0xf7fc2b…
05-21 10:43:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	18¢	$18	0x2c1389…
05-21 10:43:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	18¢	$18	0x70e6fa…
05-21 10:42:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x68d1ee…
05-21 09:51:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xd57e44…
05-21 08:52:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x05ece2…
05-21 07:05:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	13¢	$39	0x5b82b4…
05-21 06:53:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	18¢	$54	0xd2d80c…
05-14 07:47:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x4c3bdb…
05-14 07:47:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	778	0¢	$1	0x7bd994…
05-14 07:46:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?	No	BUY	168	1¢	$1	0x304d0d…
05-14 07:46:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 14?	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x331740…
05-14 07:46:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1c7fb3…
05-14 07:46:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x6e6a81…
05-14 07:46:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x00f1a4…
05-05 05:40:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1e4054…
05-05 05:40:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xaed15a…
05-05 05:39:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xe7137a…
05-05 05:39:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xdfef2a…
05-05 05:39:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	339	0¢	$1	0x6ef845…
05-05 05:39:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x2e5282…
05-05 05:38:56	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf8ebb4…
04-30 06:52:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x231872…
04-30 06:52:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	251	0¢	$1	0x2798fd…
04-30 06:52:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x959515…
04-30 06:51:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x96e08d…
04-30 06:51:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 30?	No	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x85a64e…
04-28 07:38:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xe1c008…
04-28 07:37:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 28?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x543d5b…
04-28 07:37:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa5c2c1…
04-28 07:37:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 28?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xda59d7…
04-28 07:37:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 28?	No	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x24e814…
04-28 07:37:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1b04f0…
04-28 07:37:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x990e87…
04-28 07:34:40	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x976447…
04-28 07:34:32	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	196	1¢	$1	0x4c72d4…
04-28 07:34:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x684559…
04-25 10:35:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xe02354…
04-25 10:34:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 25?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x025d29…
04-25 10:34:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 25?	No	BUY	304	0¢	$1	0x8b1af7…
04-25 10:34:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd723aa…
04-25 10:34:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	308	0¢	$1	0x74bb2d…
04-25 10:34:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xf0510a…
04-25 10:34:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc5beb1…
04-25 10:34:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb356a4…
04-25 10:33:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x59309e…
04-25 10:33:22	Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x677ca6…
04-25 10:33:06	Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x84e7b4…
04-25 10:32:58	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x598871…
04-25 10:32:36	Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x18ae0b…
04-15 06:59:48	ethereum above 2500 on april 15	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x24f3cb…
04-15 06:59:36	ethereum above 2700 on april 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe45b4b…
04-15 06:59:28	ethereum above 2600 on april 15	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xb53fbe…
04-15 06:59:10	ethereum above 2600 on april 15	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x44fbbf…
04-15 06:58:50	nhl tor ott 2026 04 15	Senators	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x83b191…
04-15 06:58:28	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x96902a…
04-14 06:34:33	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 400 419	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x866d26…
04-14 06:34:23	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	Yes	BUY	140	1¢	$1	0x3cc3ea…
04-14 06:34:09	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x7e617e…
04-14 06:33:55	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x244271…
04-14 06:33:35	nhl lak van 2026 04 14	Kings	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x0d2738…
04-14 06:33:17	nhl mon phi 2026 04 14	Canadiens	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xfb5975…
04-10 08:18:03	highest temperature in austin on april 11 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x2fc63d…
04-10 08:17:51	highest temperature in austin on april 11 2026 62 63f	Yes	BUY	263	0¢	$1	0x0c79b0…
04-10 08:13:33	nhl van sj 2026 04 11	Sharks	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x7ea36f…
04-10 08:13:17	nhl las col 2026 04 11	Avalanche	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xffc3c1…
04-04 07:49:33	ethereum above 1900 on april 4	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x5d308f…
04-04 07:49:11	ethereum above 1900 on april 4	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xeb24e2…
04-04 07:48:05	bitcoin above 64k on april 4	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe6fc17…
04-04 07:47:49	nba det phi 2026 04 04	Pistons	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x003ffe…
04-04 07:47:19	nba sas den 2026 04 04	Spurs	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x76a0b5…
04-01 05:46:07	ethereum above 1700 on april 1	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf13d3e…
04-01 05:45:37	ethereum above 1800 on april 1	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x813f6d…
04-01 05:45:19	ethereum above 1800 on april 1	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x109e9e…
04-01 05:45:03	ethereum above 1900 on april 1	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x78f6d1…
04-01 05:42:39	nba sas gsw 2026 04 01	Spurs	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf02f03…
04-01 05:42:17	nba ind chi 2026 04 01	Bulls	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x3878e8…
03-28 07:07:51	ethereum above 2300 on march 28	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6bdcf8…
03-28 07:07:43	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xefcf0f…
03-28 07:07:37	ethereum above 2100 on march 28	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x9f368a…
03-28 07:06:39	ethereum above 1700 on march 28	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x401700…
03-28 07:06:33	ethereum above 1800 on march 28	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xdd87f7…
03-28 07:06:21	ethereum above 1800 on march 28	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x7a0075…
03-28 07:05:23	nhl nj car 2026 03 28	Hurricanes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x22da1f…
03-28 07:01:39	nhl dal pit 2026 03 28	Stars	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc5f301…
03-26 08:21:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 26	Yes	BUY	332	0¢	$1	0x38b0bb…
03-26 08:21:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 26	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xa4b92d…
03-26 08:20:31	bitcoin above 64k on march 26	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5f7abf…
03-26 08:20:23	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xafb194…
03-26 08:19:27	bitcoin above 76k on march 26	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb1b2f5…
03-26 08:19:21	bitcoin above 74k on march 26	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xe54b3b…
03-26 08:19:07	bitcoin above 74k on march 26	Yes	BUY	304	0¢	$1	0x686999…
03-26 08:16:57	uef tur rom 2026 03 26 tur	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xbae2b2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	48	$98.2K	1,980	06-09 13:09
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	38	$190.3K	1,123	05-14 15:00
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	38	$1.87K	38	05-14 14:19
Powerless-Product 0xf961…34dd	38	$1.24K	125	05-30 19:50
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	35	$1.42K	327	05-25 22:55
(anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394	34	$219.6K	2,774	04-28 07:52
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	30	$20.3K	773	05-14 15:54
Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316	30	$3.29K	270	05-14 15:01