Leading-Crayon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$84

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.7%

Resolved

141

Trades

200

lifetime

Volume

$9.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 06-27 17:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 73% -$47

Other

19% 25% -$42

Politics

3% 78% +$5

Sports

3% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	8	$921	463	463	+0	No	$0	02-20 11:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 21:30 UTC	1	$724	739	0	+739	Down	+$15	02-03 21:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 07:15 UTC	1	$644	651	0	+651	Down	+$7	02-04 07:28
ethereum up or down on february 3	2	$644	656	0	+656	Down	+$12	02-03 16:03
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	2	$401	211	211	+0	No	+$0	02-09 10:47
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	2	$401	202	202	+0	No	$0	02-09 11:10
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	2	$302	202	101	+101	No	$0	02-16 12:24
ethereum up or down on february 4	4	$271	239	239	+0	Down	+$71	02-03 20:58
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$261	134	134	+0	No	+$0	02-10 15:50
bitcoin above 62k on february 12	1	$207	208	0	+208	Yes	+$0	02-12 14:27
will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on february 10	1	$204	204	0	+204	No	+$1	02-10 15:59
ethereum above 1700 on february 13	1	$202	202	0	+202	Yes	+$0	02-13 15:48
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	2	$201	101	101	+0	No	$0	02-09 16:31
bitcoin above 68k on february 9	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	02-09 17:08
bitcoin above 80k on february 4	1	$200	201	0	+201	No	+$1	02-04 14:13
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	2	$200	101	101	+0	No	+$0	02-09 16:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 09:00 UTC	9	$183	192	2	+190	Up	+$7	02-07 09:13
will ethereum dip to 1200 in march 2026	2	$128	64	64	+0	No	+$0	03-31 08:59
bitcoin above 76k on february 5	2	$110	197	20	+177	No	-$90	02-03 22:25
bitcoin up or down on february 11	2	$107	108	0	+108	Down	+$1	02-11 15:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:00 UTC	2	$102	104	0	+104	Down	+$2	02-04 08:13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 4?	1	$102	102	0	+102	Yes	+$0	05-04 07:15
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on february 18	1	$101	101	0	+101	No	+$0	02-18 10:15
bitcoin above 72k on february 7	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	02-07 10:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 10:15 UTC	1	$100	102	0	+102	Down	-$100	02-07 10:28
bitcoin above 84k on february 5	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-04 22:19
ethereum above 1600 on february 11	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	02-11 09:01
bitcoin above 78k on february 8	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-07 21:34
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$100	53	53	+0	open	—	06-15 12:53
Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on April 27?	1	$97	97	0	+97	No	+$0	04-27 07:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 17:19:10	will ethena dip to 0pt04 in june	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x6b816d…
06-15 13:19:16	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xce0710…
06-15 13:18:18	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x55aa03…
06-15 13:17:06	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x3798a1…
06-15 13:15:55	Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in June?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x985c75…
06-15 12:59:24	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xb01594…
06-15 12:58:40	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x8667a4…
06-15 12:57:06	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x2870cf…
06-15 12:53:42	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	53	93¢	$50	0x1156bc…
05-18 09:09:14	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x0ce2d8…
05-18 09:07:34	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x1c220f…
05-14 08:54:11	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xba8273…
05-14 08:52:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x663327…
05-14 08:52:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbdad5d…
05-14 08:51:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x13a7a5…
05-04 07:15:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x359d07…
05-04 07:09:30	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x756f63…
04-30 12:39:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xf0e07e…
04-30 12:38:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xa90461…
04-27 07:57:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on April 27?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x1f3007…
04-24 19:53:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x4d5759…
04-24 19:51:50	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xaf6566…
04-24 19:50:58	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9e222c…
04-24 19:50:44	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x8ad32c…
04-24 19:50:32	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x736b10…
04-24 19:50:22	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x906fb0…
04-24 19:50:10	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x7b390b…
04-24 19:44:04	sea nap cre 2026 04 24 cre	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3cb739…
04-24 19:43:00	sea nap cre 2026 04 24 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x82a55c…
04-24 19:41:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xe4fa33…
04-24 19:37:22	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x29283b…
04-23 08:48:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xefbe6d…
04-23 08:48:28	bitcoin above 72k on april 23	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5d5577…
04-23 08:44:54	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 April 20-26?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe00e3f…
04-23 08:44:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe41ac3…
04-23 08:38:40	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0cd32…
04-23 08:27:32	bitcoin above 72k on april 23	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x419901…
04-21 15:26:24	will bitcoin reach 77k on april 21	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xc69ba3…
04-21 15:26:22	will bitcoin reach 77k on april 21	Yes	BUY	49	27¢	$13	0x286cc8…
04-21 15:11:10	wti closes above 92 on april 21 2026	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x157b73…
04-21 15:04:50	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x820795…
04-21 15:02:40	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x2f4279…
04-16 13:10:26	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x6586c5…
04-16 13:08:50	solana above 80 on april 16	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5575cf…
04-16 13:06:54	will google gemini be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 17	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x19c414…
04-14 12:59:57	bitcoin above 66k on april 15	Yes	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xce2dfe…
04-07 13:29:51	will bitcoin reach 74k on april 7	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x68e7c6…
04-07 12:37:57	will solana reach 95 on april 7	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x76c064…
04-02 12:49:13	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x4394ca…
04-02 12:45:55	dota2 mouz 1win 2026 04 02 game handicap away 1pt5	MOUZ	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb8455b…
04-01 09:35:01	will bitcoin dip to 61k on april 1	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xc00ddc…
03-31 08:59:09	will ethereum dip to 1200 in march 2026	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x4dda75…
03-30 16:35:13	will ethereum dip to 1200 in march 2026	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xae6218…
03-25 08:11:25	will trump say iran during national agriculture day events	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5c52c2…
03-24 12:32:47	will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 24	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x2c6339…
03-24 12:32:07	will crude oil cl hit low 55 by end of march 636 962 469 326 685 977 449 282 342 385 842	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x84a724…
03-23 09:54:41	ethereum above 2200 on march 23	No	BUY	66	99¢	$66	0x219fd2…
03-20 12:12:45	will xrp reach 1pt7 on march 20	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x23d70a…
03-20 12:11:21	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 16 22	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1304e6…
03-20 12:10:51	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4da795…
03-20 12:10:07	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 20	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6cd732…
03-19 09:12:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xec7124…
03-16 07:44:11	will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on march 16	No	BUY	66	100¢	$65	0x29f666…
03-16 07:42:51	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x56566e…
03-16 07:42:31	will italy win the 2026 world baseball classic	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbdea8a…
03-13 14:15:21	will bitcoin dip to 65k on march 13	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x2404f7…
03-12 12:32:35	will bitcoin dip to 62k on march 12	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xf02b63…
03-11 08:22:29	ethereum above 2200 on march 11	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xf7eeef…
03-11 08:20:37	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xdabd55…
03-11 08:19:21	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xa7d7a0…
03-10 10:21:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 10	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4b9ef4…
03-10 10:20:25	will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on march 10	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xe828fe…
03-10 10:19:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x30a0c3…
03-03 20:52:47	ethereum above 1500 on march 4	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x16361e…
03-02 09:28:39	ethereum above 1500 on march 3	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$70	0x214eee…
02-27 06:43:14	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0xe4110a…
02-26 15:20:42	bitcoin above 62k on february 26	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x27b600…
02-25 10:13:06	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 220 239	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd6e9d7…
02-25 10:12:52	bitcoin above 70k on february 25	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x484755…
02-25 10:09:32	bitcoin above 70k on february 25	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3aef54…
02-25 09:55:42	bitcoin above 70k on february 25	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x367fd1…
02-24 08:08:52	bitcoin above 70k on february 25	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x207ee8…
02-23 17:11:02	bitcoin above 70k on february 25	No	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0xeb8625…
02-23 12:31:32	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0x7ea595…
02-20 11:11:20	bitcoin above 64k on february 20	Yes	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x60fc5c…
02-20 11:04:02	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xbabf4a…
02-19 11:03:32	bitcoin above 70k on february 19	No	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0xf3eec7…
02-19 11:02:32	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x2849bf…
02-18 10:15:48	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on february 18	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x19535c…
02-16 12:24:01	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x6d0d21…
02-16 10:14:17	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x2afe73…
02-16 10:07:25	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	203	99¢	$202	0xbe73c5…
02-13 20:20:13	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	203	99¢	$202	0xda7d1b…
02-13 15:48:17	ethereum above 1700 on february 13	Yes	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0xda6a3d…
02-12 14:27:59	bitcoin above 62k on february 12	Yes	BUY	208	100¢	$207	0x3f4e0d…
02-12 14:27:19	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	209	99¢	$207	0x09553f…
02-12 06:59:49	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	209	99¢	$208	0xecb34b…
02-12 06:58:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 06:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xc6f1a2…
02-12 06:56:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x467dc7…
02-11 15:54:27	bitcoin up or down on february 11	Down	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xf71085…