Breakable-Deer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

440

Trades

816

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 10-19 16:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Other

75% 81% +$3

Crypto

21% 84% +$1

Politics

2% 80% +$0

Sports

1% 50% $0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 27?	4	$98	49	49	+0	No	$0	07-27 18:32
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$87	44	44	+0	No	$0	07-19 09:41
will bitcoin reach 68k on july 20	3	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-20 22:17
Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	6	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	05-21 16:48
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 29?	4	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-29 06:38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or below on July 25?	3	$69	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-25 04:02
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on July 21?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-21 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 28?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-27 04:03
will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	3	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-30 07:56
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C or higher on May 28?	5	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	05-28 13:51
will bitcoin reach 68k july 20 26 2026	3	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-26 07:45
xrp above 1pt3 on july 25 2026	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-25 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 29?	4	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-29 11:55
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 112-113°F on July 21?	4	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-21 10:59
sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-30 02:17
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 20?	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-20 13:50
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on July 30?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-29 19:52
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 100°F or higher on July 18?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-18 23:19
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on July 22?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-21 16:12
will wti dip to 55 by july 6 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-10 21:14
will russia capture myropillia by july 31	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-01 03:14
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 10?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-10 21:16
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on May 4?	3	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-03 16:37
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 44°C or higher on July 29?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-29 12:46
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 89°F or below on July 25?	5	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-25 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 29?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-28 17:48
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 21?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-21 05:31
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C or below on July 25?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-24 20:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 27?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-26 23:38
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on July 28?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-28 03:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 16:19:42	Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 20?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc7e6b9…
10-18 18:28:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 19?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x97c19d…
10-16 12:04:10	Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #1 US song this week?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xc1ac57…
10-14 19:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on October 14?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xef6737…
10-13 08:27:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on October 14?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6a8e79…
10-12 10:17:54	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 12?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x64b957…
10-12 06:24:06	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6440ee…
10-12 00:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 12?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x443b1d…
10-12 00:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 12?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfb3f47…
10-11 19:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 12?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x11e3a3…
10-11 17:04:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xfe2e9f…
10-11 16:49:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x417029…
10-10 08:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 10?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x9e97cf…
10-10 04:23:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C on October 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35cc25…
10-05 08:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 6?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd9d862…
10-02 03:59:26	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30.5 and 31 million views on day 6?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x362eca…
10-01 22:40:48	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on October 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x15cfd6…
10-01 04:55:27	bitcoin above 74k on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x635cd6…
09-28 02:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 28?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x3abeb8…
09-27 18:57:00	will bitcoin reach 90k september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xeaa654…
09-23 05:32:05	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdbc0f3…
09-23 02:49:16	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd7cad8…
09-22 21:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x68483f…
09-22 17:17:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xab7ea9…
09-22 16:25:10	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 23?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xb25e62…
09-22 00:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on September 22?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x970313…
09-19 01:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x18b1b0…
09-18 01:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 18?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xa2f89e…
09-17 13:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or higher on September 18?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x568872…
09-13 04:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x242d68…
09-11 02:49:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb6c477…
09-10 20:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x461d47…
09-07 17:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 8?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x537766…
09-06 12:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 33°C or higher on September 7?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x2032a7…
09-06 06:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0xe22510…
09-06 00:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x54a341…
09-05 05:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x2cc545…
09-05 02:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb1bc51…
09-04 21:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x71ce7f…
09-04 14:30:21	bitcoin above 82k on september 4 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe567b5…
09-04 07:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 4?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc3614c…
09-04 05:33:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x78dce9…
09-03 21:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 4?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb487b9…
09-03 10:45:03	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x104626…
09-03 08:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4101a0…
09-02 21:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x356ccd…
09-02 12:18:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x12e358…
09-02 06:15:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 2?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8a3430…
09-01 10:49:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on September 1?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x50424f…
08-31 02:44:01	Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa1ffd7…
08-31 01:13:10	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc250b0…
08-30 16:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on August 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a9524…
08-30 15:13:12	bitcoin above 78k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x21b32c…
08-30 04:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 30?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x417cc8…
08-29 18:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x423332…
08-29 16:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2ca1a0…
08-29 10:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x44f333…
08-29 06:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd65636…
08-27 11:06:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6a10bf…
08-27 08:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0xa1366d…
08-27 01:16:21	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x09d449…
08-26 18:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x38fe32…
08-26 11:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x86b18c…
08-26 08:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 26?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x8c28b1…
08-25 12:55:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x84c056…
08-25 12:17:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbdff98…
08-25 06:54:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x482f62…
08-24 21:47:15	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x06bdda…
08-24 14:47:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x873ef8…
08-24 10:08:52	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa18a0d…
08-23 22:55:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 24?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x588cbc…
08-23 18:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on August 24?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8b6ce6…
08-14 16:13:39	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbf5d98…
08-14 07:02:31	ethereum above 2000 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a875d…
08-13 18:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 14?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4c54be…
08-13 14:34:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xe10083…
08-13 08:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 14?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4e5813…
08-13 06:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc59dfb…
08-12 21:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or below on August 13?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x933a4f…
08-12 06:13:10	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd70109…
08-12 03:37:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 12?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x431553…
08-11 23:30:42	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28a76e…
08-11 21:51:27	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xcd3783…
08-11 13:53:10	bitcoin above 66k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x30a8c1…
08-10 21:13:51	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x574366…
08-10 20:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x3ea458…
08-10 14:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x623119…
08-10 12:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x179d85…
08-09 13:53:54	Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xea798a…
08-09 10:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C or higher on August 10?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x702399…
08-09 05:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd1b5a7…
08-09 02:57:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 9?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x75204b…
08-08 19:05:06	will ethereum dip to 1600 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x1e0343…
08-08 08:43:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 8?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xda8984…
08-08 02:33:31	will ethereum reach 1950 on august 7	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2c5ce6…
08-07 19:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 8?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb44c11…
08-07 16:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x55a660…
08-07 13:56:43	will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x508297…
08-07 08:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5fd30f…
08-06 07:40:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 41°C or higher on August 7?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x33d218…