Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on May 10?
open
Total volume
$391
$2,916 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$2,753
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 08:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $71 | $71 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $1 | $306 | $305 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $0 | $47 | $47 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $166 | $166 |
| Median | 9 | — | $129 | $129 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $30 | $30 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idle-Explanation 0x8429…642f | Yes | +167 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 03:18 |
| Wan-Terracotta 0x27d0…7943 | No | +136 | $136 | $136 | 1 | 05-10 07:07 |
| Stupendous-Objective 0x0ec4…5ed3 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-10 04:47 |
| Half-Dirt 0xf6d0…3c67 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-10 04:26 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-09 23:31 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 00:04 |
| Ordinary-Boogeyman 0xa953…db4b | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-10 03:07 |
| Bewitched-Yang 0x5aee…665e | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-09 09:15 |
| Amusing-Hemisphere 0x38ae…244c | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-10 04:52 |
| Flustered-Chassis 0xfe26…063e | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-09 15:51 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 07:02 |
| Costly-Papaya 0xbab7…c59c | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-09 14:03 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-10 03:01 |
| International-Towel 0xcc95…538f | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 21:30 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 03:06 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 05:23 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 06:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 08:54:14 | Potable-Mobile 0xcdef…de52 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x6ba6a4… |
| 05-10 07:07:34 | (anonymous) 0x8fab…19d1 | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xe3ce9a… |
| 05-10 07:07:29 | Wan-Terracotta 0x27d0…7943 | No | BUY | 136 | 100¢ | $136 | 0xb844cc… |
| 05-10 07:02:57 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x1c5778… |
| 05-10 06:56:52 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8ec966… |
| 05-10 06:56:52 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xbc26b0… |
| 05-10 05:23:00 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x28fa18… |
| 05-10 04:52:51 | Amusing-Hemisphere 0x38ae…244c | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x7b9f80… |
| 05-10 04:47:18 | Stupendous-Objective 0x0ec4…5ed3 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xf5aa9c… |
| 05-10 04:26:57 | Half-Dirt 0xf6d0…3c67 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xbd8473… |
| 05-10 03:18:45 | Idle-Explanation 0x8429…642f | Yes | BUY | 167 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc6779a… |
| 05-10 03:07:05 | Ordinary-Boogeyman 0xa953…db4b | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x32bf48… |
| 05-10 03:06:58 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf800e7… |
| 05-10 03:01:57 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97ea66… |
| 05-10 03:01:57 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaa0e38… |
| 05-10 00:04:44 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xf0798e… |
| 05-09 23:31:15 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x5e0176… |
| 05-09 23:31:15 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5f76d2… |
| 05-09 21:30:04 | International-Towel 0xcc95…538f | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x88b81e… |
| 05-09 15:51:11 | Flustered-Chassis 0xfe26…063e | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xc6138d… |
| 05-09 14:03:05 | Costly-Papaya 0xbab7…c59c | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xeb003f… |
| 05-09 09:15:07 | Bewitched-Yang 0x5aee…665e | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xc2bd1f… |
| 05-08 22:31:27 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9384c1… |
| 05-08 20:05:12 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x907697… |