Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$560
$261 in 24h
Trades
21
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$1,020
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 17:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $226 | $226 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $0 | $209 | $209 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | — | $115 | $115 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $0 | $425 | $425 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 5 | — | $71 | $71 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $19 | $19 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard-To-Find-Lip 0xe3c3…ac62 | No | +200 | $199 | $199 | 1 | 05-15 14:36 |
| Parched-Color 0x0d2e…f1a2 | No | +190 | $190 | $190 | 1 | 05-16 17:04 |
| Dangerous-Pitcher 0xb88c…7d3f | No | +40 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 05-14 04:25 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +36 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-16 15:10 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +21 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-16 02:00 |
| Unwelcome-Jaguar 0x93a4…d159 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-15 22:24 |
| Inferior-Currant 0x28c4…adfb | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-15 22:15 |
| Tidy-Enthusiasm 0xbfec…4dc7 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 03:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xd615…ae32 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 16:17 |
| Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 00:13 |
| Usable-Steam 0x107b…7cb0 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 21:58 |
| Compassionate-Font 0x5c5d…1e18 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 09:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 03:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 17:04:44 | Parched-Color 0x0d2e…f1a2 | No | BUY | 190 | 100¢ | $190 | 0xaf61b6… |
| 05-16 16:17:43 | (anonymous) 0xd615…ae32 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x1e5612… |
| 05-16 15:36:44 | Husky-Golf 0x1041…f452 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x336347… |
| 05-16 15:10:10 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 36 | 100¢ | $36 | 0x964154… |
| 05-16 11:20:48 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e8cde… |
| 05-16 11:20:48 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4dfdd7… |
| 05-16 04:48:57 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x39fc23… |
| 05-16 02:00:31 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd8c6eb… |
| 05-16 00:13:33 | Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x5d1e54… |
| 05-16 00:05:50 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6629aa… |
| 05-15 22:24:00 | Unwelcome-Jaguar 0x93a4…d159 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xc1e950… |
| 05-15 22:15:49 | Inferior-Currant 0x28c4…adfb | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x050703… |
| 05-15 21:58:48 | Usable-Steam 0x107b…7cb0 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x572051… |
| 05-15 20:50:33 | Frank-Detour-Archrival 0x978c…9f5b | Yes | SELL | 218 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x093ffa… |
| 05-15 14:36:52 | Hard-To-Find-Lip 0xe3c3…ac62 | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $199 | 0xa275d9… |
| 05-15 03:05:37 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x73ede9… |
| 05-14 09:34:19 | Compassionate-Font 0x5c5d…1e18 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x46d182… |
| 05-14 04:25:17 | Dangerous-Pitcher 0xb88c…7d3f | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x62a31c… |
| 05-14 04:05:19 | Dangerous-Pitcher 0xb88c…7d3f | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xe74378… |
| 05-14 03:56:00 | (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x00a5ef… |
| 05-14 03:35:18 | Tidy-Enthusiasm 0xbfec…4dc7 | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x886e23… |