Compassionate-Font — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$56

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.6%

Resolved

Trades

561

lifetime

Volume

$7.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-22 21:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 71% +$56

Politics

32% — —

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 185 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$1.3K	1,425	0	+1,425	open	—	06-15 11:46
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	12	$542	1,490	0	+1,490	open	—	06-15 19:39
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	1	$500	526	0	+526	open	—	06-15 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	10	$233	250	0	+250	open	—	05-14 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$201	210	0	+210	open	—	05-14 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$175	204	0	+204	open	—	05-14 16:04
Hamburg European Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan-Lennard Struff	1	$150	152	0	+152	open	—	05-18 19:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	1	$150	170	0	+170	open	—	05-19 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	4	$141	151	0	+151	open	—	05-18 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	13	$123	438	0	+438	Down	$-105	05-12 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$120	130	0	+130	open	—	05-14 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	6	$114	150	42	+108	open	—	05-18 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$112	123	0	+123	open	—	05-14 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	5	$96	106	5	+100	open	—	05-18 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	6	$86	115	0	+115	Up	+$11	05-12 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$81	43	43	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 11:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$62	63	0	+63	open	—	05-31 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	4	$59	63	0	+63	Down	+$4	05-11 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$55	84	0	+84	open	—	05-18 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	5	$55	62	0	+62	Down	+$3	05-12 09:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$51	29	26	+4	Down	$-1	05-12 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$51	69	0	+69	Up	+$18	05-11 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	6	$51	64	0	+64	open	—	05-18 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	4	$51	87	24	+63	Up	$-3	05-12 12:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	1	$50	161	0	+161	open	—	05-22 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	5	$49	230	4	+226	open	—	05-22 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$48	58	0	+58	Up	$-7	05-12 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	4	$47	53	0	+53	Up	+$6	05-11 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$47	48	0	+48	open	—	06-01 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	5	$46	64	0	+64	Down	+$5	05-12 09:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 21:29:52	btc updown 5m 1782163500	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x754943…
06-22 21:26:14	btc updown 5m 1782163500	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf94268…
06-15 19:39:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0x721d51…
06-15 11:46:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	95¢	$380	0x153553…
06-15 06:43:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0xac9f99…
06-15 06:42:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	798	94¢	$750	0x70ba1b…
06-14 22:06:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	86¢	$195	0x92b474…
06-14 21:45:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x8be831…
06-14 21:42:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	560	36¢	$200	0xc8cd5c…
06-14 21:41:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	260	38¢	$100	0x189a6b…
06-14 21:41:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	251	40¢	$100	0xa8d861…
06-14 21:39:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	84	36¢	$30	0xcddf76…
06-14 21:37:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	85	35¢	$30	0x599293…
06-14 21:25:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	68	47¢	$32	0x289df1…
06-08 11:41:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5543ec…
06-08 11:40:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x721e52…
06-08 11:40:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x550444…
06-08 11:39:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xada190…
06-04 21:05:18	btc updown 5m 1780607100	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x053d26…
06-04 21:03:30	btc updown 5m 1780606800	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe500c3…
06-04 18:16:49	spx up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2075d6…
06-03 20:50:43	btc updown 5m 1780519800	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x505c69…
06-03 20:45:27	btc updown 5m 1780519500	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xd4ade7…
06-03 20:43:40	btc updown 5m 1780519200	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb6073d…
06-03 20:27:36	btc updown 5m 1780518300	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x51c14e…
06-03 20:27:28	btc updown 5m 1780518300	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x425b18…
06-03 20:23:46	btc updown 5m 1780518000	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb4eddc…
06-03 20:22:13	btc updown 5m 1780518000	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8fb771…
06-03 20:21:19	btc updown 5m 1780518000	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7932cf…
06-03 20:17:34	btc updown 5m 1780517700	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbfcaad…
06-03 20:13:01	btc updown 5m 1780517400	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x18ac9e…
06-03 20:09:25	btc updown 5m 1780517100	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xce989f…
06-03 20:08:34	btc updown 5m 1780517100	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb80a99…
06-03 20:07:45	btc updown 5m 1780517100	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x74e701…
06-03 20:02:55	btc updown 5m 1780516800	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x64e014…
06-03 20:02:10	btc updown 5m 1780516800	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x252a3f…
06-03 19:59:21	btc updown 5m 1780516500	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1efd04…
06-03 19:58:36	btc updown 5m 1780516500	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x8e8b51…
06-03 19:42:04	btc updown 5m 1780515600	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xb5eff8…
06-03 19:41:04	btc updown 5m 1780515600	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x83874d…
06-03 19:38:45	btc updown 5m 1780515300	Down	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x13f44a…
06-03 19:38:22	btc updown 5m 1780515300	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x64db51…
06-03 19:37:04	btc updown 5m 1780515300	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x616006…
06-03 19:34:34	btc updown 5m 1780515000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa9ec7d…
06-03 19:31:15	btc updown 5m 1780515000	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xec6b35…
06-03 19:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x64a7c9…
06-03 19:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbb108e…
06-03 19:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4b2006…
06-03 19:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6aa72b…
06-03 19:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3c13a1…
06-03 18:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x465203…
06-01 19:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xcd0815…
06-01 19:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x178f81…
06-01 19:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa1e3ab…
06-01 19:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x05c608…
06-01 18:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf555d4…
06-01 18:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x0b93e7…
06-01 17:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x663078…
06-01 17:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd4ee3c…
06-01 16:07:12	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8ab61f…
06-01 16:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5373ec…
06-01 16:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xdc58f7…
06-01 16:01:31	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x108cf8…
06-01 15:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5fd53b…
06-01 15:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4855a9…
06-01 15:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe27c67…
06-01 15:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdc3dcf…
06-01 14:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1467c8…
06-01 14:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x637bca…
06-01 14:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xce0b4b…
06-01 14:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4abdf2…
06-01 14:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf7ab88…
06-01 14:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6ee299…
06-01 14:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8ba639…
06-01 14:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xab87f0…
06-01 14:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x419848…
06-01 14:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x705044…
06-01 14:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb6794c…
06-01 14:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x10e00d…
06-01 11:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4ce090…
06-01 11:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x3a6f41…
06-01 11:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xaa0efa…
06-01 10:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x444e6b…
06-01 10:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd14a82…
06-01 10:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3e8d59…
06-01 10:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x5729e5…
06-01 10:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x479683…
06-01 10:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xabddf8…
06-01 10:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7a4670…
06-01 10:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3e7079…
06-01 09:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x065338…
06-01 09:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcaf7cf…
06-01 09:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x5f3cc1…
06-01 09:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5e6ab9…
06-01 09:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc477ab…
06-01 09:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x0e274c…
06-01 09:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1d8e6f…
06-01 09:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x041f03…
06-01 09:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6650f5…
06-01 09:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa63c49…