Exalted-Mantel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.8%

Resolved

Trades

292

lifetime

Volume

$4.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 05-27 06:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

65% — —

Crypto

27% 60% $-0

Politics

3% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	4	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	05-25 05:51
will the total number of tsa passengers for april 6 april 12 be between 16500000 and 17000000	5	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	04-13 11:00
highest temperature in shanghai on april 21 2026 20c	3	$63	31	31	+0	open	—	04-21 07:01
solana above 70 on april 15	3	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	04-15 12:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	2	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	05-27 05:50
ethereum above 2600 on april 20	3	$56	34	22	+11	open	—	04-20 01:09
highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 25c	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	04-19 14:21
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	$-0	05-10 20:24
bitcoin above 82k on april 20	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	04-19 23:52
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	2	$49	24	24	+0	open	—	01-27 10:14
highest temperature in beijing on april 22 2026 29c	6	$49	24	24	+0	open	—	04-22 04:54
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	05-03 12:09
highest temperature in chongqing on march 28 2026 22c	1	$48	48	0	+48	open	—	03-28 07:44
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on April 27?	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-26 22:21
will procreate pocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 17	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	04-16 12:35
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 21	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	04-21 07:03
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 29	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	03-29 05:06
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 2 2026 33corhigher	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	04-02 02:30
highest temperature in dallas on march 30 2026 98forhigher	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	03-30 04:27
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	02-02 19:17
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 22 2026 13c	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	04-22 10:24
highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 22corhigher	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-24 00:34
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on April 25?	3	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	04-25 02:10
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 24	2	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	04-24 00:36
highest temperature in dallas on april 1 2026 78 79f	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	04-01 10:11
highest temperature in london on april 4 2026 13c	1	$42	43	0	+43	open	—	04-04 04:02
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C on April 25?	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	04-25 12:43
will tonalenergy tuner metronome be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 21	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-21 07:04
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on April 25?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-25 12:45
highest temperature in taipei on april 16 2026 36corhigher	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-16 12:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 06:02:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa63a65…
05-27 05:50:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$28	0x2a224d…
05-27 03:54:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x81bbad…
05-26 23:01:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x9d05c6…
05-26 09:58:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0x244dd7…
05-26 04:03:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x43e981…
05-25 12:47:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x02b420…
05-25 05:51:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xf26092…
05-24 20:16:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x378803…
05-24 18:52:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0x28c5af…
05-24 18:49:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xa31d75…
05-24 07:26:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd47148…
05-24 06:13:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x01d8b0…
05-24 00:46:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xbea87c…
05-20 14:09:27	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xbad9fa…
05-20 03:51:53	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x52fcba…
05-20 03:15:11	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x7993d7…
05-19 17:09:53	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbdbfb2…
05-19 11:35:52	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x904bf7…
05-19 06:40:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 19?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6467ec…
05-19 05:44:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 19?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xae2fed…
05-19 04:54:04	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8b0553…
05-19 04:26:20	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x38e7d3…
05-18 21:49:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x373ab1…
05-18 16:50:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc85c27…
05-16 13:42:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 16?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$17	0x209b47…
05-16 10:15:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 16?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x6574a4…
05-15 18:03:00	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $197 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb90534…
05-15 07:31:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc3613e…
05-14 07:37:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x43df12…
05-14 05:22:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd27339…
05-14 01:06:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc03b64…
05-13 07:52:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1dcce1…
05-11 22:35:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f4431…
05-11 01:47:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x29019e…
05-10 20:45:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2fb929…
05-10 20:30:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xff9593…
05-10 20:24:05	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xc52f87…
05-10 12:29:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3487fa…
05-10 10:07:03	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6725cf…
05-06 20:52:54	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on May 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x519b4a…
05-06 04:44:22	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on May 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x430bba…
05-03 12:09:54	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x6863de…
05-03 11:37:06	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xfae485…
05-01 04:45:04	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xbf2e6f…
04-30 02:52:54	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x56c15a…
04-30 00:02:38	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x653b27…
04-29 23:09:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc197cb…
04-29 15:18:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 29?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc1f3ed…
04-29 12:02:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1ceacf…
04-29 09:36:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 29?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x48fe02…
04-29 08:23:02	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfab309…
04-29 06:23:30	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xcc19b3…
04-29 00:45:32	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf53340…
04-28 23:51:40	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x493bc5…
04-28 19:58:14	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc9c34f…
04-27 20:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be -2°C on April 28?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe524ac…
04-27 20:08:04	Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xda684f…
04-27 18:42:40	will paul hounkp be the next president of benin	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xefee20…
04-27 12:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 27°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb9549d…
04-27 12:27:26	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C on April 27?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x18052b…
04-27 12:20:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C on April 27?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf68675…
04-27 11:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be -2°C on April 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8c4e33…
04-27 06:37:08	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C on April 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1761c6…
04-27 05:01:42	Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x5ba986…
04-27 03:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x976657…
04-26 22:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on April 27?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xf3804d…
04-26 20:33:46	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,800 on April 27?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe7fbdd…
04-26 20:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 27?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xab04df…
04-26 17:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on April 27?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc7a752…
04-26 15:10:08	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,800 on April 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x051cdc…
04-26 12:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x77d1b4…
04-26 07:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 26?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb802af…
04-26 06:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 26?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc12049…
04-26 00:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on April 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x67f38d…
04-25 20:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on April 26?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0dff23…
04-25 20:27:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on April 26?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xeb38ac…
04-25 20:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on April 26?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0ddc95…
04-25 16:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on April 26?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x648551…
04-25 13:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xac1e08…
04-25 13:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on April 25?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0xa6861c…
04-25 12:46:26	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 24, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xef0005…
04-25 12:45:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on April 25?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd1d3e2…
04-25 12:43:42	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C on April 25?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x87231c…
04-25 09:47:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on April 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x5f9555…
04-25 07:16:34	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C on April 25?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5e68e8…
04-25 06:14:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd7fe8b…
04-25 02:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x86a1b0…
04-25 01:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3d47fc…
04-24 22:53:54	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 24, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6ca187…
04-24 18:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on April 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x151be1…
04-24 16:16:58	highest temperature in madrid on april 24 2026 26c	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x09265e…
04-24 13:55:06	highest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 22c	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4552c0…
04-24 12:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe84d5b…
04-24 09:45:28	highest temperature in madrid on april 24 2026 26c	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x86ce59…
04-24 04:24:18	highest temperature in moscow on april 24 2026 2c	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf7f5c4…
04-24 03:14:26	highest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 22c	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4695da…
04-24 01:32:40	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 24 2026 22c	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xef4cf6…
04-24 00:40:00	will drop dead olivia rodrigo be the 1 song on spotify this week	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x893648…
04-24 00:38:46	highest temperature in manila on april 24 2026 29corbelow	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x4c0f6c…